This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karpaty
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.07
2.00
1.20
1.20
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
5.00
-
-
2.00
5.00
vs Similar (5)
1.40
1.60
1.67
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.62
0.79
2.08
1.00
1.17
0.58
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
0-1 ✓
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
Ruh Lviv goals ↓
Karpaty goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
5.9%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
5.1%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.5%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
5.9%
5.2%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ruh Lviv goals (down), columns = Karpaty goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2.33
Oleksandria
2.23
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.07
Polessya
1.60
Kryvbas KR
1.57
Karpaty
1.53
Kudrivka
1.50
Zorya Luhansk
1.33
Ruh Lviv
1.27
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Veres Rivne
1.20
Obolon'-Brovar
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
0.94
Livyi Bereh
0.88
Inhulets
0.80
Chornomorets
0.77
Minai
0.50
Ruh Lviv is 0.27 points worse than Karpaty in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Dynamo Kyiv
2.03
Oleksandria
1.53
Minai
1.50
Karpaty
1.40
Polessya
1.27
Zorya Luhansk
1.13
Kryvbas KR
1.13
Veres Rivne
1.10
Kudrivka
1.00
Ruh Lviv
1.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
0.83
Vorskla Poltava
0.81
Inhulets
0.70
Chornomorets
0.67
Livyi Bereh
0.65
Obolon'-Brovar
0.63
Ruh Lviv is 0.40 goals worse than Karpaty in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.33
Dynamo Kyiv
0.63
Oleksandria
0.73
Kolos Kovalivka
0.83
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.87
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Ruh Lviv
0.90
Polessya
0.93
Kudrivka
1.00
Karpaty
1.20
LNZ Cherkasy
1.23
Livyi Bereh
1.24
Vorskla Poltava
1.25
Zorya Luhansk
1.30
Obolon'-Brovar
1.43
Veres Rivne
1.47
Chornomorets
1.50
Inhulets
1.57
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Minai
3.00
Ruh Lviv is 0.30 goals better than Karpaty in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Minai
66%
Shakhtar Donetsk
63%
Dynamo Kyiv
60%
LNZ Cherkasy
56%
Karpaty
54%
Oleksandria
51%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Polessya
51%
Vorskla Poltava
51%
Zorya Luhansk
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
46%
Veres Rivne
45%
Ruh Lviv
44%
Obolon'-Brovar
43%
Livyi Bereh
38%
Ruh Lviv is 9.8 percentage points worse than Karpaty in terms of average possession (44% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ruh Lviv
For 4.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 9.9 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Karpaty
For 3.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 8.7 · Total 17.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ruh Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.9
9.8
3.6
3.9
3.3
23.5
23.7
23.2
vs Stronger (23)
10.5
10.2
10.8
3.0
3.8
2.4
22.9
25.5
21.0
vs Similar (27)
8.7
8.2
9.1
4.1
3.9
4.3
23.8
22.8
24.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
33%
53%
56%
58%
54%
65%
72%
58%
% under line
57%
67%
47%
44%
42%
46%
35%
28%
42%
This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karpaty
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.0
8.0
5.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
17.3
14.0
24.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
5.0
5.0
5.0
0.6
0.3
1.0
17.5
11.0
24.0
vs Weaker (39)
11.0
11.0
-
0.1
0.2
0.0
17.0
17.0
-
% over line
33%
50%
0%
4%
4%
4%
33%
0%
100%
% under line
67%
50%
100%
96%
96%
96%
67%
100%
0%
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Polessya
10.2
Veres Rivne
10.0
Vorskla Poltava
9.9
Zorya Luhansk
9.8
Kolos Kovalivka
9.7
LNZ Cherkasy
9.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.6
Dynamo Kyiv
9.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.5
Ruh Lviv
9.4
Minai
9.2
Oleksandria
9.1
Obolon'-Brovar
9.1
Livyi Bereh
9.1
Kryvbas KR
9.1
Inhulets
9.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.0
Chornomorets
8.5
Karpaty
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
5.5
Obolon'-Brovar
5.4
Vorskla Poltava
5.2
Ruh Lviv
5.2
Dynamo Kyiv
4.9
Livyi Bereh
4.9
Veres Rivne
4.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.8
LNZ Cherkasy
4.6
Oleksandria
4.6
Chornomorets
4.5
Kolos Kovalivka
4.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.5
Inhulets
4.5
Minai
4.4
Zorya Luhansk
4.2
Kryvbas KR
4.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.5
Karpaty
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
27.5
Vorskla Poltava
26.2
Inhulets
25.3
Minai
24.6
Livyi Bereh
24.2
Dynamo Kyiv
24.1
Kryvbas KR
23.9
Ruh Lviv
23.7
LNZ Cherkasy
23.7
Kolos Kovalivka
23.1
Oleksandria
23.0
Veres Rivne
22.6
Chornomorets
22.6
Polessya
22.4
Zorya Luhansk
22.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
22.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.8
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
20.5
Karpaty
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
34.0%
Under 9.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.7%
Under 3.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.6%
Under 21.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ruh Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.38
0.46
0.76
0.35
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.62
0.33
0.67
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.24
0.43
0.29
0.70
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karpaty
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
1.20
0.53
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.60
1.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (24)
0.88
0.33
1.17
0.42
0.58
0.25
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ruh Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ruh Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
1.08
0.23
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.54
0.83
0.33
0.14
0.71
vs Similar (17)
1.18
0.47
1.29
0.14
1.10
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karpaty
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.80
0.67
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (5)
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
0.75
0.46
0.92
0.58
0.58
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ruh Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ruh Lviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Igor Krasnopir60%
Illia Kvasnytsya40%
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim33%
Baboucarr Faal33%
Oleg Horin14%
Yaroslav Karabin13%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Artur Ryabov11%
Ostap Prytula11%
Yevhenii Pastukh8%
Vitaliy Kholod8%
Roman Didyk7%
Rostyslav Liakh0%
Edson Fernando0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Denys Sliusar0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Denys Pidgurskyi0%
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Beknaz Almazbekov0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Andriy Kitela0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleg Horin43%
Artur Ryabov33%
Andriy Kitela33%
Edson Fernando25%
Denys Sliusar25%
Oleksii Sych20%
Vasyl Runich20%
Illia Kvasnytsya20%
Denys Pidgurskyi15%
Roman Didyk14%
Yaroslav Karabin13%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Rostyslav Liakh10%
Vitalii Roman8%
Ostap Prytula0%
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Beknaz Almazbekov0%
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim0%
Vitaliy Kholod0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Baboucarr Faal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yaroslav Karabin40%
Edson Fernando25%
Oleksii Sych20%
Illia Kvasnytsya20%
Ostap Prytula11%
Baboucarr Faal11%
Denys Pidgurskyi8%
Vitaliy Kholod8%
Rostyslav Liakh0%
Artur Ryabov0%
Yurii Klymchuk0%
Oleg Horin0%
Roman Didyk0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Denys Sliusar0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Beknaz Almazbekov0%
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Andriy Kitela0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Illia Kvasnytsya20%
Yaroslav Karabin13%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Artur Ryabov11%
Denys Pidgurskyi8%
Rostyslav Liakh0%
Edson Fernando0%
Oleg Horin0%
Roman Didyk0%
Ostap Prytula0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Denys Sliusar0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Beknaz Almazbekov0%
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim0%
Vitaliy Kholod0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Andriy Kitela0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Baboucarr Faal0%
Karpaty
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ambrosiy Chachua31%
Bruninho23%
Shakh Artur18%
Pavlo Polehenko15%
Vladyslav Babohlo14%
Igor Neves12%
Jean Pedroso12%
Igor Krasnopir10%
Yan Kostenko8%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Vladislav Klimenko0%
Yevhen Pidlepenets0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Pablo Alvarez0%
Stênio0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Illia Kvasnytsya0%
Yakiv Kinareykin0%
Oleg Fedor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denys Miroshnichenko43%
Yan Kostenko31%
Vladyslav Babohlo29%
Pablo Alvarez27%
Yakiv Kinareykin22%
Vladislav Klimenko17%
Tymur Stetskov14%
Ambrosiy Chachua12%
Igor Neves12%
Jean Pedroso12%
Igor Krasnopir10%
Shakh Artur9%
Bruninho8%
Pavlo Polehenko8%
Oleg Ocheretko7%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Yevhen Pidlepenets0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Stênio0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Illia Kvasnytsya0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vladislav Klimenko17%
Illia Kvasnytsya17%
Bruninho15%
Pavlo Polehenko8%
Yan Kostenko8%
Denys Miroshnichenko7%
Oleg Ocheretko7%
Ambrosiy Chachua6%
Igor Neves6%
Vladyslav Babohlo0%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Yevhen Pidlepenets0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Pablo Alvarez0%
Stênio0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Yakiv Kinareykin0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Shakh Artur0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Jean Pedroso0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruninho23%
Igor Krasnopir10%
Yan Kostenko8%
Yevhen Pidlepenets7%
Ambrosiy Chachua6%
Igor Neves6%
Vladyslav Babohlo0%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Vladislav Klimenko0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Pablo Alvarez0%
Stênio0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Illia Kvasnytsya0%
Yakiv Kinareykin0%
Shakh Artur0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Jean Pedroso0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →