This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.03
2.33
1.13
1.93
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.75
1.50
2.50
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (14)
2.00
0.86
2.57
1.00
1.43
0.71
vs Weaker (12)
2.50
1.00
2.33
0.83
2.67
1.17
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.8%
Under 3.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1 ✓
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
Ruh Lviv goals ↓
Zorya Luhansk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
9.2%
4.1%
1.4%
1
8.3%
14%
8.7%
3.9%
1.3%
2
4.5%
6.1%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
3
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ruh Lviv goals (down), columns = Zorya Luhansk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Ruh Lviv is 0.57 points better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Ruh Lviv is 0.50 goals better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
Ruh Lviv is 0.20 goals better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.23).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
Ruh Lviv is 3.4 percentage points better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ruh Lviv
For 3.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 9.7 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zorya Luhansk
For 6.6 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ruh Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
9.2
7.2
10.8
3.9
3.3
4.5
25.2
28.4
22.6
vs Stronger (12)
9.2
7.0
9.6
2.2
1.0
3.5
20.3
37.0
17.0
vs Similar (18)
9.2
7.2
11.8
5.0
4.8
5.2
27.4
27.4
27.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
0%
55%
53%
53%
53%
70%
89%
55%
% under line
70%
100%
45%
47%
47%
47%
30%
11%
45%
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
10.0
10.7
9.3
2.8
2.7
2.9
22.1
18.7
26.1
vs Stronger (4)
8.7
10.0
8.0
3.2
1.5
5.0
22.7
24.0
22.0
vs Similar (16)
10.0
11.1
8.4
3.1
3.2
2.9
23.1
19.7
28.2
vs Weaker (12)
10.7
10.0
11.7
2.3
2.3
2.3
20.3
16.0
26.0
% over line
59%
83%
30%
44%
44%
44%
50%
27%
78%
% under line
41%
17%
70%
56%
56%
56%
50%
73%
22%
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
10.8
Oleksandria
10.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.0
Kolos Kovalivka
10.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Vorskla Poltava
9.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.6
Chornomorets
9.3
Minai
9.2
Dynamo Kyiv
9.2
Ruh Lviv
9.2
Dnipro-1
8.6
Polessya
8.0
Obolon'-Brovar
8.0
Kryvbas KR
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
6.0
Ruh Lviv
5.8
Vorskla Poltava
5.5
Dynamo Kyiv
5.0
Obolon'-Brovar
5.0
Kolos Kovalivka
4.8
Chornomorets
4.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.5
Veres Rivne
4.5
Oleksandria
4.4
Kryvbas KR
4.3
Minai
4.2
Zorya Luhansk
4.1
Dnipro-1
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vorskla Poltava
27.9
Ruh Lviv
25.2
Kolos Kovalivka
25.1
Dynamo Kyiv
25.0
Minai
24.0
Dnipro-1
23.5
Chornomorets
22.4
Zorya Luhansk
22.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.0
Kryvbas KR
21.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.7
Oleksandria
21.2
Veres Rivne
21.2
Polessya
21.0
Obolon'-Brovar
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.1%
Under 9.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.9%
Under 3.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.1%
Under 21.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ruh Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.47
0.33
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.56
0.33
0.33
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.37
0.87
0.27
1.07
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.36
1.00
0.43
1.14
0.29
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ruh Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ruh Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.80
0.67
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.39
0.78
0.44
0.56
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.67
1.47
0.87
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.50
1.57
0.57
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (12)
1.58
0.67
1.67
0.83
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ruh Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ruh Lviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Illia Kvasnytsya50%
Yevhenii Pastukh33%
Talles Brener20%
Roman Didyk17%
Bohdan Slyubyk17%
Ange-Freddy Plumain0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Yaroslav Karabin0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Denys Pidgurskyi0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Oleg Fedor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roman Didyk50%
Ange-Freddy Plumain33%
Vitalii Roman33%
Bohdan Slyubyk33%
Denys Pidgurskyi20%
Oleg Fedor20%
Vasyl Runich17%
Illia Kvasnytsya17%
Talles Brener0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Yaroslav Karabin0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Talles Brener40%
Yaroslav Karabin20%
Ange-Freddy Plumain0%
Roman Didyk0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Denys Pidgurskyi0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Illia Kvasnytsya0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Talles Brener40%
Ange-Freddy Plumain33%
Roman Didyk17%
Vasyl Runich17%
Illia Kvasnytsya17%
Yevhenii Pastukh17%
Oleksii Sych0%
Yaroslav Karabin0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Denys Pidgurskyi0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Zorya Luhansk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eduardo Guerrero31%
Ihor Horbach25%
Danyil Alefirenko20%
Oleksandr Yatsyk18%
Jakov Bašić14%
Denys Nagnoynyi12%
Denys Antyukh12%
Ihor Kyriukhantsev8%
Arsenii Batahov8%
Petar Mićin8%
Bogdan Butko0%
Oleg Danchenko0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Dmytro Myshnov0%
Vladyslav Bugai0%
Ihor Snurnitsyn0%
Roman Vantukh0%
Anderson Jordan0%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Vikentiy Voloshyn0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Oleksii Khakhliov0%
Anton Bol0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Kodjo Aziangbe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kodjo Aziangbe40%
Bogdan Butko38%
Anderson Jordan38%
Anton Bol33%
Ihor Snurnitsyn29%
Arsenii Batahov25%
Eduardo Guerrero25%
Vyacheslav Churko20%
Roman Vantukh20%
Denys Antyukh18%
Dmytro Myshnov15%
Denys Nagnoynyi12%
Oleksandr Saputin10%
Oleksandr Yatsyk9%
Ihor Horbach8%
Petar Mićin8%
Jakov Bašić0%
Oleg Danchenko0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Ihor Kyriukhantsev0%
Vladyslav Bugai0%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Vikentiy Voloshyn0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Oleksii Khakhliov0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Denys Antyukh18%
Anton Bol17%
Ihor Horbach17%
Bogdan Butko12%
Eduardo Guerrero12%
Roman Vantukh10%
Ihor Kyriukhantsev8%
Arsenii Batahov8%
Petar Mićin8%
Dmytro Myshnov8%
Jakov Bašić0%
Oleg Danchenko0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Vladyslav Bugai0%
Ihor Snurnitsyn0%
Anderson Jordan0%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Vikentiy Voloshyn0%
Oleksandr Yatsyk0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Oleksii Khakhliov0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Denys Nagnoynyi0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Kodjo Aziangbe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eduardo Guerrero50%
Danyil Alefirenko20%
Denys Antyukh18%
Ihor Horbach17%
Petar Mićin15%
Ihor Kyriukhantsev8%
Bogdan Butko0%
Jakov Bašić0%
Oleg Danchenko0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Dmytro Myshnov0%
Vladyslav Bugai0%
Ihor Snurnitsyn0%
Roman Vantukh0%
Arsenii Batahov0%
Anderson Jordan0%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Vikentiy Voloshyn0%
Oleksandr Yatsyk0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Oleksii Khakhliov0%
Anton Bol0%
Denys Nagnoynyi0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Kodjo Aziangbe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Kryvbas KR
Dnipro-1
Polessya
LNZ Cherkasy
Oleksandria
Vorskla Poltava
Chornomorets
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
Minai
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Livyi Bereh
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi