Samsunspor’s home form shows a modest 1.0 goal per game and 1.4 conceded, while Trabzonspor’s away attack averages 3.67 goals and 1.67 conceded against similar opposition, hinting at a high-scoring encounter. The model predicts an average of 3.7 goals, with the most likely total being three goals at 21%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.3% chance. The favoured result is an away win, with probabilities of 27% for a home win, 23% for a draw, and 51% for an away win.
The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 goals 96.7%, Home under 3.5 goals93.1%, Under 6.592.2%, Over 19.5 fouls91.2%, Over 2.5 cards87.3%, and Away +2 handicap87.3%. The model’s other picks - Over 1.5, Away over 0.5 goals - are expected to miss. This preview reflects the attacking edge of Trabzonspor and the defensive vulnerability of Samsunspor, making a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome while still favouring an away victory.
Results analysis
The final score was a 0-0 draw, a shock that left the pre-match favourite, the away win, wrong. The model had given the away side a 51% chance to triumph, yet the result was a stalemate. The match saw several of the model’s selections hit: Under 7.5 goals at 96.7%, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.1%, Under 6.5 at 92.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 91.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.3% and the Away +2 handicap at 87.3%. Two picks missed: Over 1.5 at 88.8% and Away over 0.5 goals at 88.1%. Samsunspor, coming off a win, and Trabzonspor, also fresh from a win, both struggled to break the deadlock.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Samsunspor win✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor win✗ Miss
50.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Samsunspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.33
1.29
1.14
1.44
1.50
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.67
2.33
vs Similar (15)
0.93
1.53
1.00
1.40
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (11)
1.82
0.82
2.00
0.33
1.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trabzonspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
1.13
2.00
0.93
2.53
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (6)
2.83
2.00
2.00
2.33
3.67
1.67
vs Weaker (22)
2.23
0.95
2.00
0.55
2.45
1.36
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.7%
Under 2.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.6%
Under 3.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.8%
No
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
Samsunspor goals ↓
Trabzonspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
4.7%
5.9%
4.1%
2.2%
1
3.1%
9.3%
8.9%
6.3%
3.4%
2
3.0%
6.4%
6.8%
4.8%
2.6%
3
1.5%
3.3%
3.5%
2.5%
1.3%
4
0.6%
1.3%
1.3%
0.9%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Samsunspor goals (down), columns = Trabzonspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
İstanbulspor
2.50
Bursaspor
2.50
Göztepe
2.50
Etimesgut SK
2.40
Konyaspor
2.38
Bayburt İÖİ
2.33
Galatasaray
2.33
Muş Sport Klübü
2.33
Fenerbahçe
2.25
Beşiktaş
2.25
Kocaelispor
2.25
Çorluspor 1947
2.25
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
2.25
Trabzonspor
2.17
Hatayspor
2.00
Fatih Karagümrük
2.00
Bodrum FK
2.00
Yeni Orduspor
2.00
Alanyaspor
2.00
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
2.00
Tire 2021 FK
2.00
Karaman FK
2.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
2.00
Kilis Belediyespor
2.00
Osmaniyespor
2.00
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
2.00
Düzcespor
2.00
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
2.00
Kırklarelispor
1.86
Ankaragücü
1.83
İskenderunspor
1.83
Gaziantep FK
1.80
Rizespor
1.80
Eyüpspor
1.75
Başakşehir
1.67
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.50
Keçiörengücü
1.50
Serik Spor
1.50
Ümraniyespor
1.50
Esenler Erokspor
1.50
Adana Demirspor
1.50
Pazarspor
1.50
İnegölspor
1.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
1.50
Sebat Gençlikspor
1.50
Talasgücü Belediyespor
1.50
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1.50
Amed
1.50
Çorum FK
1.50
Mardin 1969
1.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
1.50
Nilüfer Belediye
1.50
Silivrispor
1.50
Amasyaspor 1968
1.50
Uşak Spor
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Güzide Gebzespor
1.50
Kütahyaspor
1.50
1461 Trabzon FK
1.50
Ağrı 1970
1.50
Ayvalikgucu
1.50
Alanya 1221 FK
1.50
Menemen FK
1.50
Adana 01 FK
1.50
Batman Petrolspor
1.50
Zonguldak Kömürspor
1.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
1.50
Karaköprü Belediyespor
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Elazığspor
1.50
Anadolu Üniversitesi
1.50
Somaspor
1.50
Bucaspor 1928
1.50
24 Erzincanspor
1.50
Kastamonuspor
1.50
Antalyaspor
1.40
Sarıyer
1.33
Fethiyespor
1.33
Ankara Demirspor
1.33
Erzurumspor FK
1.20
Eskisehirspor
1.01
Kestel Çilek
1.01
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.01
Kahta 02 Spor
1.01
1926 Bulancak
1.01
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.01
Galata
1.01
İnkılapspor
1.01
Şiran
1.01
Kapadokyaspor
1.01
Bilecik Sogut
1.01
Denizli İYG
1.01
Ezinespor
1.01
Muğlaspor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Sivasspor
0.75
Boluspor
0.75
Kasımpaşa
0.75
Vanspor FK
0.50
Samsunspor
0.50
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
0.50
Kepezspor
0.50
Karsiyaka
0.50
Adanaspor
0.00
Kayserispor
0.00
Sakaryaspor
0.00
Pendikspor
0.00
Bandırmaspor
0.00
Manisa F.K.
0.00
Beykoz Anadolu
0.00
Giresunspor
0.00
Altay
0.00
Silifke Belediyespor
0.00
Balıkesirspor
0.00
Çankaya FK
0.00
Erbaaspor
0.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0.00
Orduspor 1967
0.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
0.00
Afjet Afyonspor
0.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
0.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0.00
Iğdır FK
0.00
Altınordu
0.00
Şanlıurfaspor
0.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
0.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0.00
Edirnespor
0.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
0.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.00
Kurtalanspor
0.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
0.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
0.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0.00
Ankaraspor
0.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
0.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0.00
Dersimspor
0.00
Bornova 1877
0.00
12 Bingölspor
0.00
Aliağa FAŞ
0.00
Kars 36
0.00
Söke 1970
0.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
0.00
Türk Metal 1963
0.00
1074 Çankırıspor
0.00
Sinopspor
0.00
Nazilli Spor
0.00
Artvin Hopaspor
0.00
Diyarbekirspor
0.00
Bartınspor
0.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
0.00
Çayelispor
0.00
Hakkari Zapspor
0.00
Samsunspor is 1.67 points worse than Trabzonspor in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3.67
24 Erzincanspor
3.50
Fenerbahçe
3.25
Bodrum FK
3.20
Hatayspor
3.00
Sebat Gençlikspor
3.00
Mardin 1969
3.00
Altınordu
3.00
Nilüfer Belediye
3.00
Silivrispor
3.00
Konyaspor
2.75
Çorluspor 1947
2.75
Galatasaray
2.67
Rizespor
2.60
İstanbulspor
2.50
Keçiörengücü
2.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
2.50
Trabzonspor
2.50
Kocaelispor
2.50
Menemen FK
2.50
Somaspor
2.50
Alanyaspor
2.40
Göztepe
2.33
Osmaniyespor
2.33
Çorum FK
2.25
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
2.25
Kırklarelispor
2.14
Kayserispor
2.00
Bandırmaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Ümraniyespor
2.00
Başakşehir
2.00
Adana Demirspor
2.00
Muğlaspor
2.00
Antalyaspor
2.00
Erbaaspor
2.00
Iğdır FK
2.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
2.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
2.00
Amasyaspor 1968
2.00
Uşak Spor
2.00
Muş Sport Klübü
2.00
Ağrı 1970
2.00
Ayvalikgucu
2.00
Aliağa FAŞ
2.00
Zonguldak Kömürspor
2.00
Düzcespor
2.00
Anadolu Üniversitesi
2.00
Kastamonuspor
2.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
2.00
Ankaragücü
1.83
Bursaspor
1.75
Yeni Orduspor
1.67
Tire 2021 FK
1.67
Kilis Belediyespor
1.67
İskenderunspor
1.67
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
1.67
Fethiyespor
1.67
Ankara Demirspor
1.67
Gaziantep FK
1.60
Etimesgut SK
1.60
Boluspor
1.50
Eyüpspor
1.50
Esenler Erokspor
1.50
Beşiktaş
1.50
Fatih Karagümrük
1.50
Pazarspor
1.50
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1.50
Amed
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Güzide Gebzespor
1.50
1461 Trabzon FK
1.50
Alanya 1221 FK
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
1.50
Bayburt İÖİ
1.33
Eskisehirspor
1.29
Kestel Çilek
1.29
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.29
Kahta 02 Spor
1.29
1926 Bulancak
1.29
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.29
Galata
1.29
İnkılapspor
1.29
Şiran
1.29
Kapadokyaspor
1.29
Bilecik Sogut
1.29
Denizli İYG
1.29
Ezinespor
1.29
Sarıyer
1.00
Adanaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
1.00
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Silifke Belediyespor
1.00
Orduspor 1967
1.00
İnegölspor
1.00
Talasgücü Belediyespor
1.00
Samsunspor
1.00
Karaman FK
1.00
Kurtalanspor
1.00
Ankaraspor
1.00
Adana 01 FK
1.00
Kars 36
1.00
Karaköprü Belediyespor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Elazığspor
1.00
Söke 1970
1.00
Bucaspor 1928
1.00
Türk Metal 1963
1.00
1074 Çankırıspor
1.00
Nazilli Spor
1.00
Artvin Hopaspor
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.50
Serik Spor
0.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
0.50
Kütahyaspor
0.50
Karsiyaka
0.50
Batman Petrolspor
0.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
0.50
Kasımpaşa
0.25
Sakaryaspor
0.00
Beykoz Anadolu
0.00
Giresunspor
0.00
Altay
0.00
Balıkesirspor
0.00
Çankaya FK
0.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
0.00
Afjet Afyonspor
0.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
0.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0.00
Şanlıurfaspor
0.00
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
0.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0.00
Edirnespor
0.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
0.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
0.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
0.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
0.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0.00
Kepezspor
0.00
Dersimspor
0.00
Bornova 1877
0.00
12 Bingölspor
0.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
0.00
Sinopspor
0.00
Diyarbekirspor
0.00
Bartınspor
0.00
Çayelispor
0.00
Hakkari Zapspor
0.00
Samsunspor is 1.50 goals worse than Trabzonspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bayburt İÖİ
0.00
Hatayspor
0.33
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.50
Göztepe
0.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
0.50
Uşak Spor
0.50
Kütahyaspor
0.50
Ağrı 1970
0.50
Batman Petrolspor
0.50
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
0.50
Fenerbahçe
0.75
Bursaspor
0.75
Konyaspor
0.75
Galatasaray
0.83
Eyüpspor
1.00
Esenler Erokspor
1.00
Beşiktaş
1.00
Başakşehir
1.00
Gaziantep FK
1.00
Giresunspor
1.00
Altay
1.00
Pazarspor
1.00
Çankaya FK
1.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
1.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
1.00
İnegölspor
1.00
Şanlıurfaspor
1.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1.00
Karaman FK
1.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
1.00
Edirnespor
1.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
1.00
Güzide Gebzespor
1.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1.00
Karsiyaka
1.00
Adana 01 FK
1.00
Düzcespor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Somaspor
1.00
Diyarbekirspor
1.00
Fatih Karagümrük
1.17
Etimesgut SK
1.20
Kırklarelispor
1.29
İstanbulspor
1.33
Yeni Orduspor
1.33
Tire 2021 FK
1.33
Kilis Belediyespor
1.33
Muş Sport Klübü
1.33
İskenderunspor
1.33
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
1.33
Ankara Demirspor
1.33
Sivasspor
1.50
Ankaragücü
1.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
1.50
Trabzonspor
1.50
Amed
1.50
Kocaelispor
1.50
Çorluspor 1947
1.50
Nilüfer Belediye
1.50
Amasyaspor 1968
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
1.50
Menemen FK
1.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Elazığspor
1.50
Antalyaspor
1.60
Alanyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.67
Osmaniyespor
1.67
Boluspor
1.75
Bodrum FK
1.80
Rizespor
1.80
Eskisehirspor
1.90
Kestel Çilek
1.90
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.90
Kahta 02 Spor
1.90
1926 Bulancak
1.90
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.90
Galata
1.90
İnkılapspor
1.90
Şiran
1.90
Kapadokyaspor
1.90
Bilecik Sogut
1.90
Denizli İYG
1.90
Ezinespor
1.90
Adanaspor
2.00
Sakaryaspor
2.00
Pendikspor
2.00
Ümraniyespor
2.00
Muğlaspor
2.00
Silifke Belediyespor
2.00
Balıkesirspor
2.00
Orduspor 1967
2.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
2.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2.00
Sebat Gençlikspor
2.00
Talasgücü Belediyespor
2.00
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
2.00
Samsunspor
2.00
Mardin 1969
2.00
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
2.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
2.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
2.00
Ankaraspor
2.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
2.00
Ayvalikgucu
2.00
Bornova 1877
2.00
12 Bingölspor
2.00
Fethiyespor
2.00
Zonguldak Kömürspor
2.00
Karaköprü Belediyespor
2.00
Söke 1970
2.00
Anadolu Üniversitesi
2.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
2.00
1074 Çankırıspor
2.00
Sinopspor
2.00
Bartınspor
2.00
Çayelispor
2.00
Hakkari Zapspor
2.00
Erzurumspor FK
2.20
Kasımpaşa
2.50
Adana Demirspor
2.50
Çorum FK
2.50
Silivrispor
2.50
1461 Trabzon FK
2.50
Alanya 1221 FK
2.50
Bucaspor 1928
2.50
Bandırmaspor
3.00
Keçiörengücü
3.00
Serik Spor
3.00
Beykoz Anadolu
3.00
Erbaaspor
3.00
Iğdır FK
3.00
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3.00
Aliağa FAŞ
3.00
Kars 36
3.00
24 Erzincanspor
3.00
Türk Metal 1963
3.00
Artvin Hopaspor
3.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
3.00
Kastamonuspor
3.50
Kayserispor
4.00
Manisa F.K.
4.00
Vanspor FK
4.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
4.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
4.00
Kurtalanspor
4.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
4.00
Kepezspor
4.50
Afjet Afyonspor
5.00
Nazilli Spor
5.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
6.00
Altınordu
7.00
Dersimspor
7.00
Samsunspor is 0.50 goals worse than Trabzonspor in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Trabzonspor
61%
Galatasaray
54%
Beşiktaş
52%
Fenerbahçe
51%
Göztepe
44%
Konyaspor
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Samsunspor
For 5.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 12.4 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Trabzonspor
For 5.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Samsunspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.5
4.1
3.8
4.4
25.1
25.0
25.2
vs Stronger (5)
8.6
9.5
8.0
5.2
5.0
5.3
25.8
24.5
26.7
vs Similar (26)
10.0
8.8
11.5
4.1
3.3
5.2
24.6
25.6
23.5
vs Weaker (19)
9.9
9.8
10.1
3.7
4.2
3.3
25.5
24.1
27.1
% over line
54%
46%
64%
52%
54%
50%
74%
75%
73%
% under line
46%
54%
36%
48%
46%
50%
26%
25%
27%
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trabzonspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.2
3.7
3.8
3.7
25.8
25.2
26.4
vs Stronger (4)
11.7
11.5
12.0
3.5
4.0
2.0
22.7
23.5
21.0
vs Similar (11)
10.0
12.0
8.0
5.2
6.0
4.5
24.8
23.2
26.4
vs Weaker (35)
8.9
8.5
9.4
3.3
3.2
3.5
26.4
26.1
26.7
% over line
42%
41%
43%
46%
44%
48%
77%
77%
76%
% under line
58%
59%
57%
54%
56%
52%
23%
23%
24%
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Beşiktaş
10.1
Kayserispor
9.9
Konyaspor
9.9
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.8
Gaziantep FK
9.8
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.8
Samsunspor
9.7
Adanaspor
9.6
Giresunspor
9.6
Başakşehir
9.4
Sivasspor
9.4
Rizespor
9.4
Antalyaspor
9.4
Trabzonspor
9.4
Kasımpaşa
9.3
Eyüpspor
9.3
Bandırmaspor
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Iğdır FK
9.2
Bursaspor
9.1
Adana Demirspor
9.1
Fatih Karagümrük
9.0
Galatasaray
9.0
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Hatayspor
9.0
Çorum FK
8.9
Serik Spor
8.9
Amed
8.8
Beykoz Anadolu
8.8
Bodrum FK
8.8
Esenler Erokspor
8.7
Ankaragücü
8.6
Altınordu
8.6
Altay
8.6
Pendikspor
8.5
Sakaryaspor
8.5
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Şanlıurfaspor
8.4
İstanbulspor
8.4
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.0
Boluspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
6.2
Fenerbahçe
5.8
Konyaspor
5.4
Sakaryaspor
5.4
Alanyaspor
5.3
Beşiktaş
5.3
Pendikspor
5.2
Çorum FK
5.2
Vanspor FK
5.2
Boluspor
5.2
Kasımpaşa
5.2
Adanaspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Erzurumspor FK
5.1
Sivasspor
5.1
Eyüpspor
5.0
Keçiörengücü
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Amed
4.9
Antalyaspor
4.9
Göztepe
4.9
Hatayspor
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.9
Rizespor
4.8
Beykoz Anadolu
4.8
Fatih Karagümrük
4.8
Altay
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.8
Iğdır FK
4.7
Manisa F.K.
4.7
Samsunspor
4.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.7
Kayserispor
4.7
Bursaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.6
Ankaragücü
4.5
Ümraniyespor
4.5
Galatasaray
4.4
Serik Spor
4.4
Trabzonspor
4.4
Şanlıurfaspor
4.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.3
Altınordu
4.2
Bodrum FK
4.0
Adana Demirspor
3.9
Giresunspor
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bursaspor
30.1
Fatih Karagümrük
28.9
Gaziantep FK
28.8
Vanspor FK
28.3
Altay
27.8
Kasımpaşa
27.4
Altınordu
27.1
Başakşehir
27.1
Alanyaspor
26.9
Antalyaspor
26.9
Rizespor
26.7
Pendikspor
26.6
Kocaelispor
26.4
Göztepe
26.3
Beykoz Anadolu
26.2
Boluspor
26.2
Fenerbahçe
26.1
Trabzonspor
25.9
Sakaryaspor
25.9
Eyüpspor
25.8
Konyaspor
25.5
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.1
Kayserispor
25.1
Samsunspor
25.1
Adanaspor
24.9
Erzurumspor FK
24.5
Keçiörengücü
24.3
Bodrum FK
24.2
Ümraniyespor
23.8
Şanlıurfaspor
23.8
Bandırmaspor
23.8
Hatayspor
23.7
Galatasaray
23.6
Manisa F.K.
23.5
Ankaragücü
23.5
Sivasspor
23.4
Sarıyer
23.4
Iğdır FK
23.2
İstanbulspor
23.1
Serik Spor
23.1
Çorum FK
22.9
Giresunspor
22.8
Esenler Erokspor
22.7
Amed
22.3
Adana Demirspor
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
75.3%
Under 9.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.1%
Under 3.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.5%
Under 21.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Samsunspor or Draw✓ Hit
49.4%
Avg Implied -
27%
23%
51%
covers Samsunspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor or Trabzonspor✗ Miss
77.4%
Avg Implied -
27%
23%
51%
covers Samsunspor + Trabzonspor
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Trabzonspor✓ Hit
73.1%
Avg Implied -
27%
23%
51%
covers Draw + Trabzonspor
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Samsunspor over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.2%
Under
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
88.1%
Under
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
62.7%
Under
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.7%
Under
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Samsunspor, so a minus line means Samsunspor give that many goals of a start and Trabzonspor receive them. At -1, Samsunspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Samsunspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Samsunspor)Actual: Trabzonspor
Samsunspor -2
4.8%
Draw -2
8.0%
Trabzonspor +2
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Samsunspor)Actual: Trabzonspor
Samsunspor -1
12.7%
Draw -1
14.1%
Trabzonspor +1
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Samsunspor)Actual: Samsunspor
Samsunspor +1
49.4%
Draw +1
20.0%
Trabzonspor -1
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Samsunspor)Actual: Samsunspor
Samsunspor +2
69.4%
Draw +2
15.4%
Trabzonspor -2
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Samsunspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.50
0.29
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.67
0.60
0.40
0.00
1.20
vs Weaker (11)
0.64
0.36
0.33
0.00
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trabzonspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.17
1.00
1.67
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
0.77
0.55
0.45
0.36
1.09
0.73
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Samsunspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Samsunspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
0.79
0.86
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.87
0.40
1.00
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.45
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trabzonspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.50
1.40
0.33
1.53
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (6)
1.83
0.83
1.00
0.67
2.67
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
1.45
0.41
1.55
0.18
1.36
0.64
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Samsunspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
SAK (17)
€2m
HAT (16)
€2m
AD (23)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
Samsunspor's squad is €117m less valuable than Trabzonspor's (€50m vs €168m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
BF (10)
€6m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
GS (4)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
SAK (6)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
AD (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€0m
HAT (4)
€0m
Samsunspor's attack is €47m less valuable than Trabzonspor's (€20m vs €67m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
AME (4)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
SAK (6)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
SS (5)
€0m
AD (4)
€0m
HAT (3)
€0m
Samsunspor's midfield is €26m less valuable than Trabzonspor's (€12m vs €38m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
HAT (9)
€1m
AD (12)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
SAK (5)
€0m
Samsunspor's defence is €44m less valuable than Trabzonspor's (€18m vs €63m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
Başakşehir
Göztepe
Rizespor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
Kasımpaşa
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Eyüpspor
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor