PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Segesta Sisak vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Segesta Sisak
Segesta Sisak
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Segesta Sisak are tipped to take the win in this Croatia First NL clash, with a 46% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of Dinamo Zagreb U21 winning. The model expects 2.8 goals on average, and the most likely total is two goals, a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.9% chance. Segesta, playing at home against a weaker side, have yet to score or concede in recent matches, while Dinamo Zagreb U21, on the road against a stronger opponent, have averaged six goals scored and two conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Under 5.5 (93.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.2%), Home +2 handicap (88.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (88.5%) and Under 4.5 (85.3%). Segesta’s recent form shows a draw, coming off a 0-0 with Kustosija, while Dinamo Zagreb U21 have won 6-2 over Vukovar.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Segesta Sisak win
46.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 win
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W02L00DH·ORI22/08A·VUK28/08H·KUS02/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.500.500.002.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.501.503.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb U21) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U21

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L03L62WA·BSK23/08A·ORI29/08A·VUK02/09
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Stronger (1)6.002.00--6.002.00
vs Similar (2)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Segesta Sisak) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
Segesta Sisak goals ↓
Dinamo Zagreb U21 goals →
01234
07.5%6.2%4.3%1.7%0.5%
18.8%13%6.9%2.7%0.8%
28.0%9.4%5.5%2.1%0.6%
34.2%5.0%2.9%1.1%0.3%
41.7%2.0%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Segesta Sisak goals (down), columns = Dinamo Zagreb U21 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Vukovar
1.68
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.39
Segesta Sisak
1.38
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Jadran LP
1.14
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Kustosija
1.02
Mladost Ždralovi
0.51
Segesta Sisak is 0.01 points worse than Dinamo Zagreb U21 in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Vukovar
1.43
Sesvete
1.27
Dugopolje
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.18
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Jadran LP
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Kustosija
0.86
Mladost Ždralovi
0.43
Segesta Sisak is 0.01 goals worse than Dinamo Zagreb U21 in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Vukovar
0.96
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Dugopolje
1.15
Opatija
1.15
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.17
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Orijent 1919
1.24
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Jadran LP
1.42
Hrvace
1.45
Kustosija
1.59
Mladost Ždralovi
3.18
Segesta Sisak is 0.01 goals worse than Dinamo Zagreb U21 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Segesta Sisak or Draw
73.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Segesta Sisak + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak or Dinamo Zagreb U21
72.8%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Segesta Sisak + Dinamo Zagreb U21
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dinamo Zagreb U21
54.0%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Draw + Dinamo Zagreb U21
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Segesta Sisak over/under 0.5
Over
79.7%
Under
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 1.5
Over
47.3%
Under
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 2.5
Over
21.5%
Under
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 3.5
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 0.5
Over
69.1%
Under
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 1.5
Over
32.8%
Under
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 2.5
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Segesta Sisak, so a minus line means Segesta Sisak give that many goals of a start and Dinamo Zagreb U21 receive them. At -1, Segesta Sisak must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Segesta Sisak win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Segesta Sisak)
Segesta Sisak -2
10.0%
Draw -2
14.3%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 +2
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Segesta Sisak)
Segesta Sisak -1
24.3%
Draw -1
21.6%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 +1
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Segesta Sisak)
Segesta Sisak +1
73.1%
Draw +1
15.6%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 -1
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Segesta Sisak)
Segesta Sisak +2
88.7%
Draw +2
7.7%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 -2
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00DH·ORI22/08A·VUK28/08H·KUS02/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.331.000.000.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb U21) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U21

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L31WA·BSK23/08A·ORI29/08A·VUK02/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.33--1.001.33
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Segesta Sisak) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Segesta Sisak over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L00DH·ORI22/08A·VUK28/08H·KUS02/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb U21) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U21

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L31WA·BSK23/08A·ORI29/08A·VUK02/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.67--1.000.67
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Segesta Sisak) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Segesta Sisak over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.2%-------
Under 6.597.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.9%-------
Under 5.593.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals92.2%-------
Home +2 handicap88.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals88.5%-------
Under 4.585.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals79.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals78.5%-------
Over 1.577.5%-------
Away +2 handicap75.7%-------
Home or Draw73.1%-------
Home +1 handicap73.1%-------
Home or Away72.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
JL (9)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
DZU (2)
€1m
MŽ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (10)
€2m
VUK (6)
€1m
HRV (8)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
DZU (1)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
MŽ (4)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
DZU (1)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
JL (1)
€0m
MŽ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
MŽ (0)
€0m
DZU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SS wins
0
Draws
0
DZU wins

Head-to-head

Segesta Sisak vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HSS Vs Kustosija0-0
28/08/26AVukovar Vs SS2-0
22/08/26HSS Vs Orijent 19193-1

Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U21

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26AVukovar Vs DZU2-6
29/08/26AOrijent 1919 Vs DZU3-0
23/08/26ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs DZU1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Segesta Sisak
Segesta Sisak
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLD1.33
HomeWD2.00
AwayL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%0%
AVG goals2.002.002.00
Over 1.5 %67%50%100%
Over 2.5 %33%50%0%
Over 3.5 %33%50%0%
Scored1.001.500.00
Conceded1.000.502.00
BTTS33%50%0%
Clean Sheet33%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLW1.00
Home--
AwayLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%-33%
AVG goals4.00-4.00
Over 1.5 %67%-67%
Over 2.5 %67%-67%
Over 3.5 %33%-33%
Scored2.00-2.00
Conceded2.00-2.00
BTTS33%-33%
Clean Sheet0%-0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.3
-
2Mladost ŽdraloviMladost Ždralovi37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
3Jadran LPJadran LP35
33%
1.7
74+3
3.7
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.3
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.71.3
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 191934
33%
1.3
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.0
-
7OpatijaOpatija34
33%
1.3
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.3
-
8Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
9Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo34
33%
1.3
22+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.70.7
-
10VukovarVukovar34
33%
1.3
57-2
4.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.72.3
-
11Karlovac 1919Karlovac 191934
33%
1.3
46-2
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.32.0
-
12SesveteSesvete33
33%
1.0
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.0
-
13Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U2133
33%
1.0
66+0
4.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.0
-
14KustosijaKustosija32
0%
0.7
23-1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.71.0
-
15Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb31
0%
0.3
35-2
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.7
-
16HrvaceHrvace30
0%
0.0
18-7
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.32.7
-
Croatia: First NL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

← all matches