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Segesta Sisak vs Karlovac 1919 Prediction & Stats

Date: 26/09/2026
Time: 15:00
Segesta Sisak
Segesta Sisak
Vs
60%
25%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Karlovac 1919
Karlovac 1919
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Segesta Sisak is the clear favourite, with a 60% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 15% chance of a Karlovac 1919 win. The model expects 2.6 goals on average, most likely 2 total goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Segesta, a 12.1% chance. Segesta’s home form shows an average of 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similarly-matched opponents, while Karlovac 1919 on the road averages 0.88 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (98.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.1%), Home +2 handicap (95.0%), Under 5.5 (95.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (89.1%), and Under 4.5 (87.5%). Segesta’s recent draw against Kustosija and Karlovac’s 2-2 draw with Dugopolje set the stage for a tight contest, but the numbers favour a Segesta win and a low-scoring 1-0 finish.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Segesta Sisak win
59.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 win
15.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W02L00DH·ORI22/08A·VUK28/08H·KUS02/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.500.500.002.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.501.503.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L03L03L03L01L21W13L03L21W22DA·HNK18/04H·DUG24/04A·SES01/05H·RUD08/05A·ORI16/05H·JAR22/05A·OPA29/05A·SES21/08H·OPA29/08A·DUG02/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.531.141.070.881.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.001.531.141.070.881.94
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Segesta Sisak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
Segesta Sisak goals ↓
Karlovac 1919 goals →
01234
08.4%4.9%2.4%0.7%0.1%
112%12%4.4%1.2%0.2%
212%9.7%3.9%1.1%0.2%
37.1%5.8%2.4%0.6%0.1%
43.2%2.6%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Segesta Sisak goals (down), columns = Karlovac 1919 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Vukovar
1.68
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.39
Segesta Sisak
1.38
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Jadran LP
1.14
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Kustosija
1.02
Mladost Ždralovi
0.51
Segesta Sisak is 0.11 points better than Karlovac 1919 in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Vukovar
1.43
Sesvete
1.27
Dugopolje
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.18
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Jadran LP
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Kustosija
0.86
Mladost Ždralovi
0.43
Segesta Sisak is 0.04 goals worse than Karlovac 1919 in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Vukovar
0.96
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Dugopolje
1.15
Opatija
1.15
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.17
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Orijent 1919
1.24
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Jadran LP
1.42
Hrvace
1.45
Kustosija
1.59
Mladost Ždralovi
3.18
Segesta Sisak is 0.19 goals better than Karlovac 1919 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Segesta Sisak or Draw
84.6%
Avg Implied -
60%
25%
15%
covers Segesta Sisak + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak or Karlovac 1919
75.2%
Avg Implied -
60%
25%
15%
covers Segesta Sisak + Karlovac 1919
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Karlovac 1919
40.2%
Avg Implied -
60%
25%
15%
covers Draw + Karlovac 1919
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Segesta Sisak over/under 0.5
Over
83.5%
Under
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 1.5
Over
53.8%
Under
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 2.5
Over
27.1%
Under
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 3.5
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 0.5
Over
55.7%
Under
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 1.5
Over
19.6%
Under
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 2.5
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Segesta Sisak, so a minus line means Segesta Sisak give that many goals of a start and Karlovac 1919 receive them. At -1, Segesta Sisak must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Segesta Sisak win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Segesta Sisak)
Segesta Sisak -2
16.5%
Draw -2
18.9%
Karlovac 1919 +2
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Segesta Sisak)
Segesta Sisak -1
35.4%
Draw -1
24.4%
Karlovac 1919 +1
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Segesta Sisak)
Segesta Sisak +1
84.6%
Draw +1
10.4%
Karlovac 1919 -1
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Segesta Sisak)
Segesta Sisak +2
95.0%
Draw +2
3.8%
Karlovac 1919 -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00DH·ORI22/08A·VUK28/08H·KUS02/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.331.000.000.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L03L01L00D11D11D00D10W01LA·HNK18/04H·DUG24/04A·SES01/05H·RUD08/05A·ORI16/05H·JAR22/05A·OPA29/05A·SES21/08H·OPA29/08A·DUG02/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.570.500.310.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.670.570.500.310.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Segesta Sisak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Segesta Sisak over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L00DH·ORI22/08A·VUK28/08H·KUS02/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D02L01L10W02L03L11D21WA·HNK18/04H·DUG24/04A·SES01/05H·RUD08/05A·ORI16/05H·JAR22/05A·OPA29/05A·SES21/08H·OPA29/08A·DUG02/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.570.570.561.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.870.570.570.561.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Segesta Sisak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Segesta Sisak over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Segesta Sisak over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals99.0%-------
Under 6.598.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals95.1%-------
Home +2 handicap95.0%-------
Under 5.595.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals89.1%-------
Under 4.587.5%-------
Home or Draw84.6%-------
Home +1 handicap84.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals83.5%-------
Away under 1.5 goals80.4%-------
Home or Away75.2%-------
Over 1.574.7%-------
Under 3.573.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals72.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
JL (9)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
DZU (2)
€1m
MŽ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (10)
€2m
VUK (6)
€1m
HRV (8)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
DZU (1)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
MŽ (4)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
DZU (1)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
JL (1)
€0m
MŽ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
MŽ (0)
€0m
DZU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SS wins
0
Draws
0
K1 wins

Head-to-head

Segesta Sisak vs Karlovac 1919 · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HSS Vs Kustosija0-0
28/08/26AVukovar Vs SS2-0
22/08/26HSS Vs Orijent 19193-1

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ADugopolje Vs K12-2
29/08/26HK1 Vs Opatija2-1
21/08/26ASesvete Vs K13-0
29/05/26AOpatija Vs K13-1
22/05/26HK1 Vs Jarun2-1
16/05/26AOrijent 1919 Vs K11-0
08/05/26HK1 Vs Rudes0-3
01/05/26ASesvete Vs K13-0
24/04/26HK1 Vs Dugopolje0-3
18/04/26AHNK Cibalia Vs K12-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Segesta Sisak
Segesta Sisak
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLD1.33
HomeWD2.00
AwayL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%0%
AVG goals2.002.002.00
Over 1.5 %67%50%100%
Over 2.5 %33%50%0%
Over 3.5 %33%50%0%
Scored1.001.500.00
Conceded1.000.502.00
BTTS33%50%0%
Clean Sheet33%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Karlovac 1919
Karlovac 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.28
HomeWLLWW1.89
AwayLLLLD0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%61%17%
AVG goals2.642.442.83
Over 1.5 %75%61%89%
Over 2.5 %58%50%67%
Over 3.5 %22%17%28%
Scored1.221.500.94
Conceded1.420.941.89
BTTS42%28%56%
Clean Sheet22%39%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.3
-
2Mladost ŽdraloviMladost Ždralovi37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
3Jadran LPJadran LP35
33%
1.7
74+3
3.7
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.3
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.71.3
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 191934
33%
1.3
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.0
-
7OpatijaOpatija34
33%
1.3
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.3
-
8Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
9Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo34
33%
1.3
22+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.70.7
-
10VukovarVukovar34
33%
1.3
57-2
4.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.72.3
-
11Karlovac 1919Karlovac 191934
33%
1.3
46-2
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.32.0
-
12SesveteSesvete33
33%
1.0
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.0
-
13Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U2133
33%
1.0
66+0
4.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.0
-
14KustosijaKustosija32
0%
0.7
23-1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.71.0
-
15Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb31
0%
0.3
35-2
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.7
-
16HrvaceHrvace30
0%
0.0
18-7
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.32.7
-
Croatia: First NL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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