This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.62
1.25
1.00
1.25
2.25
1.25
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
0.00
-
-
6.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
38% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.4%
Under 2.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.0%
Under 3.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.2%
No
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
Servette FC goals ↓
FC Luzern goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
5.8%
5.6%
3.0%
1.2%
1
5.4%
12%
8.6%
4.7%
1.9%
2
5.0%
8.1%
6.6%
3.6%
1.5%
3
2.5%
4.2%
3.4%
1.8%
0.8%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Servette FC goals (down), columns = FC Luzern goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.06
Servette FC
1.61
FC Lugano
1.58
FC Luzern
1.39
FC Basel 1893
1.31
FC ST. Gallen
1.25
Grasshoppers
1.22
FC Zurich
1.22
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion
0.82
Servette FC is 0.22 points better than FC Luzern in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.28
FC ST. Gallen
1.83
FC Lugano
1.64
Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Luzern
1.50
Servette FC
1.47
FC Basel 1893
1.42
FC Zurich
1.14
FC Sion
1.13
FC Winterthur
0.89
Servette FC is 0.03 goals worse than FC Luzern in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.83
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.00
Servette FC
1.28
FC Lugano
1.31
FC Basel 1893
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.44
FC Luzern
1.44
FC Zurich
1.53
Grasshoppers
1.78
FC Winterthur
1.83
FC Sion
2.08
Servette FC is 0.17 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
57%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Basel 1893
54%
FC ST. Gallen
53%
Servette FC
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC Zurich
48%
FC Sion
48%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
41%
Servette FC is 0.6 percentage points better than FC Luzern in terms of average possession (50% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Servette FC
For 5.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
For 6.1 · Against 6.5 · Total 12.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Servette FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (9)
9.4
10.0
9.0
5.8
6.2
5.4
21.3
24.5
18.8
vs Stronger (1)
5.0
-
5.0
4.0
-
4.0
17.0
-
17.0
vs Similar (7)
10.0
10.0
10.0
5.7
5.7
5.8
22.4
26.7
19.2
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
10.0
-
8.0
8.0
-
18.0
18.0
-
% over line
56%
75%
40%
89%
75%
100%
56%
75%
40%
% under line
44%
25%
60%
11%
25%
0%
44%
25%
60%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
12.6
15.8
9.5
5.4
7.0
3.8
20.6
18.8
22.5
vs Stronger (1)
19.0
19.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
23.0
23.0
-
vs Similar (6)
12.7
14.7
10.7
5.8
7.7
4.0
20.0
17.3
22.7
vs Weaker (1)
6.0
-
6.0
3.0
-
3.0
22.0
-
22.0
% over line
75%
100%
50%
75%
100%
50%
75%
50%
100%
% under line
25%
0%
50%
25%
0%
50%
25%
50%
0%
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Luzern
12.6
FC Sion
12.3
Grasshoppers
11.9
FC Basel 1893
10.4
FC ST. Gallen
9.7
Servette FC
9.4
BSC Young Boys
9.2
FC Lugano
9.2
FC Zurich
9.1
FC Winterthur
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Basel 1893
6.8
FC ST. Gallen
5.9
FC Sion
5.8
Servette FC
5.8
FC Zurich
5.7
FC Luzern
5.4
FC Winterthur
5.1
Grasshoppers
5.0
BSC Young Boys
4.6
FC Lugano
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Zurich
25.3
Grasshoppers
25.0
FC Lugano
24.7
BSC Young Boys
24.2
FC Sion
24.1
FC Basel 1893
23.8
FC ST. Gallen
23.3
FC Winterthur
22.1
Servette FC
21.3
FC Luzern
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.9%
Under 3.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.1%
Under 21.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Servette FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.56
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.57
1.33
0.67
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.12
0.50
1.00
0.75
1.25
0.25
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Servette FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.25
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.14
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
78% (+57pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.83
0.00
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Servette FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Bedia39%
Miroslav Stevanović23%
Enzo Crivelli21%
Hussayn Touati18%
Patrick Pflücke17%
Theo Valls12%
Dereck Kutesa10%
Moritz Bauer10%
Boubacar Fofana9%
Yoan Severin7%
Alexis Antunes7%
Timothé Cognat6%
David Douline6%
Steve Rouiller5%
Ronny Rodelin4%
Gaël Clichy4%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Anthony Baron0%
Moussa Diallo0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Boris Cespedes0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Théo Magnin0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Samba Diba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Douline39%
Diogo Monteiro33%
Boris Cespedes29%
Moussa Diallo27%
Dimitri Oberlin25%
Kevin Mbabu19%
Steve Rouiller18%
Timothé Cognat18%
Chris Bedia17%
Enzo Crivelli16%
Gaël Clichy15%
Alexis Antunes14%
Samba Diba13%
Nicolas Vouilloz13%
Théo Magnin12%
Dereck Kutesa10%
Moritz Bauer10%
Hussayn Touati9%
Miroslav Stevanović9%
Ronny Rodelin8%
Patrick Pflücke8%
Theo Valls8%
Yoan Severin4%
Jeremy Frick3%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Anthony Baron0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dereck Kutesa21%
Kevin Mbabu19%
Anthony Baron18%
Miroslav Stevanović17%
Samba Diba13%
Timothé Cognat12%
Hussayn Touati9%
Chris Bedia9%
Ronny Rodelin8%
Theo Valls8%
Patrick Pflücke6%
Enzo Crivelli5%
Boubacar Fofana5%
Gaël Clichy4%
Alexis Antunes4%
Jeremy Frick3%
Moritz Bauer0%
David Douline0%
Moussa Diallo0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Yoan Severin0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Boris Cespedes0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Théo Magnin0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Bedia26%
Patrick Pflücke19%
Miroslav Stevanović11%
Enzo Crivelli11%
Boubacar Fofana9%
Dereck Kutesa7%
Ronny Rodelin4%
Yoan Severin4%
Timothé Cognat3%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Moritz Bauer0%
Theo Valls0%
Anthony Baron0%
David Douline0%
Moussa Diallo0%
Dimitri Oberlin0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Alexis Antunes0%
Boris Cespedes0%
Gaël Clichy0%
Hussayn Touati0%
Diogo Monteiro0%
Théo Magnin0%
Alexandre Dias Patricio0%
Samba Diba0%
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Max Meyer31%
Dejan Sorgić26%
Sofyan Chader19%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka17%
Pascal Schürpf17%
Luuk Breedijk17%
Marco Burch12%
Asumah Abubakar11%
Martin Frýdek10%
Christian Gentner10%
Jakub Kadák10%
Vars Villiger9%
Pius Dorn9%
Nicky Medja Beloko7%
Mohamed Dräger6%
Ismajl Beka5%
Ardon Jashari3%
Marius Müller0%
Vaso Vasic0%
Ibrahima Ndiaye0%
Samuele Campo0%
Varol Tasar0%
Denis Simani0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Thibault Klidje0%
Lorik Emini0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Nando Toggenburg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicky Medja Beloko47%
Ismajl Beka41%
Denis Simani36%
Varol Tasar33%
Lorik Emini33%
Vars Villiger27%
Severin Ottiger25%
Max Meyer24%
Mohamed Dräger23%
Martin Frýdek21%
Marco Burch20%
Sofyan Chader19%
Marius Müller16%
Ardon Jashari15%
Pascal Schürpf13%
Pascal Loretz12%
Pius Dorn12%
Asumah Abubakar11%
Christian Gentner10%
Jakub Kadák10%
Luca Jaquez10%
Mamady Diambou8%
Thibault Klidje7%
Vaso Vasic0%
Ibrahima Ndiaye0%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Samuele Campo0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Leny Meyer0%
Nando Toggenburg0%
Luuk Breedijk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Varol Tasar33%
Pius Dorn18%
Martin Frýdek17%
Max Meyer14%
Pascal Schürpf13%
Christian Gentner10%
Sofyan Chader10%
Vars Villiger9%
Ardon Jashari9%
Severin Ottiger8%
Asumah Abubakar7%
Mohamed Dräger6%
Ismajl Beka5%
Marco Burch4%
Nicky Medja Beloko3%
Marius Müller0%
Vaso Vasic0%
Ibrahima Ndiaye0%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Samuele Campo0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
Denis Simani0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Jakub Kadák0%
Thibault Klidje0%
Lorik Emini0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Nando Toggenburg0%
Luuk Breedijk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakub Kadák30%
Max Meyer28%
Pascal Schürpf23%
Sofyan Chader19%
Dejan Sorgić17%
Mohamed Dräger10%
Marco Burch8%
Thibault Klidje7%
Pius Dorn6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Ismajl Beka5%
Asumah Abubakar4%
Martin Frýdek3%
Marius Müller0%
Vaso Vasic0%
Ibrahima Ndiaye0%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Christian Gentner0%
Nicky Medja Beloko0%
Samuele Campo0%
Varol Tasar0%
Denis Simani0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Lorik Emini0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Nando Toggenburg0%
Luuk Breedijk0%
Vars Villiger0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
Servette FC's squad is €4m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€21m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
Servette FC's attack is €8m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€7m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
Servette FC's midfield is €4m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€7m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
Servette FC and FC Luzern have a similar defence value (both €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
Grasshoppers
FC Zurich
FC Winterthur
FC Sion
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy