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Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci Result & Analysis

Date: 03/11/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Sesvete
Sesvete
Vs
51%
31%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Sesvete win✓ Hit
51.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci win✗ Miss
18.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L12L10W10W22D11D10W20W11DH·DUB28/08A·JAR02/09H·VUK08/09A·SOL16/09H·SIB23/09A·ZRI29/09H·ORI06/10A·HNK14/10H·BSK20/10A·DUG28/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.830.830.830.830.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.830.830.830.830.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D00D12L25L22D00D00D04L62W51WA·DUG25/08A·BSK02/09H·DUB10/09A·JAR16/09H·VUK24/09A·SOL30/09H·SIB08/10A·ZRI14/10H·ORI22/10H·HNK29/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.272.000.860.621.62
vs Stronger (3)1.671.671.671.67--
vs Similar (26)1.191.232.090.640.531.67
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
61.5%
Under 1.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.3%
Under 2.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.9%
Under 3.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.2%
No
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
16.3%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
Sesvete goals ↓
Croatia Zmijavci goals →
01234
014%7.9%3.2%0.7%0.1%
116%13%4.2%1.0%0.2%
212%8.2%2.8%0.7%0.1%
35.2%3.6%1.3%0.3%0.1%
41.8%1.2%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sesvete goals (down), columns = Croatia Zmijavci goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sibenik
2.48
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.45
Vukovar
1.76
Sesvete
1.27
Jarun
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Dugopolje
1.12
Orijent 1919
1.11
Croatia Zmijavci
1.09
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.03
Solin
0.73
Kustosija
0.00
Sesvete is 0.18 points better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.09).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sibenik
2.06
Vukovar
1.70
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.61
Croatia Zmijavci
1.18
Dugopolje
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
Orijent 1919
1.09
Jarun
1.06
Solin
1.00
Kustosija
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Sesvete is 0.09 goals worse than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.18).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sibenik
0.55
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.55
Vukovar
1.09
Sesvete
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Dugopolje
1.36
Jarun
1.39
Orijent 1919
1.43
Croatia Zmijavci
1.45
Solin
1.52
HNK Cibalia
1.73
Kustosija
2.00
Sesvete is 0.21 goals better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.45).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L10W10W00D01L11D10W00D01LH·DUB28/08A·JAR02/09H·VUK08/09A·SOL16/09H·SIB23/09A·ZRI29/09H·ORI06/10A·HNK14/10H·BSK20/10A·DUG28/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.420.330.330.330.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.330.420.330.330.330.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %58% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D21W11D00D00D03L30W20WA·DUG25/08A·BSK02/09H·DUB10/09A·JAR16/09H·VUK24/09A·SOL30/09H·SIB08/10A·ZRI14/10H·ORI22/10H·HNK29/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.860.360.380.69
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.671.00--
vs Similar (26)0.580.500.910.180.330.73
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L00D10W21W00D00D20W10WH·DUB28/08A·JAR02/09H·VUK08/09A·SOL16/09H·SIB23/09A·ZRI29/09H·ORI06/10A·HNK14/10H·BSK20/10A·DUG28/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.420.500.500.500.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.420.500.500.500.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D12L04L11D00D00D01L32W31WA·DUG25/08A·BSK02/09H·DUB10/09A·JAR16/09H·VUK24/09A·SOL30/09H·SIB08/10A·ZRI14/10H·ORI22/10H·HNK29/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.731.140.500.250.94
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.000.67--
vs Similar (26)0.620.731.180.450.200.93
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Sesvete's squad is €2m more valuable than Croatia Zmijavci's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Sesvete and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Sesvete and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Sesvete and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SES wins
1
Draws
0
CZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci · H/A from SES
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/23ACroatia Zmijavci Vs SES0-0

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23ADugopolje Vs SES1-1
20/10/23HSES Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-0
14/10/23AHNK Cibalia Vs SES0-1
06/10/23HSES Vs Orijent 19191-1
29/09/23AZrinski Jurjevac Vs SES2-2
23/09/23HSES Vs Sibenik1-0
16/09/23ASolin Vs SES0-1
08/09/23HSES Vs Vukovar1-2
02/09/23AJarun Vs SES2-0
28/08/23HSES Vs Dubrava Zagreb0-1

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23HCZ Vs HNK Cibalia5-1
22/10/23HCZ Vs Orijent 19196-2
14/10/23AZrinski Jurjevac Vs CZ4-0
08/10/23HCZ Vs Sibenik0-0
30/09/23ASolin Vs CZ0-0
24/09/23HCZ Vs Vukovar2-2
16/09/23AJarun Vs CZ5-2
10/09/23HCZ Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-2
02/09/23ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs CZ0-0
25/08/23ADugopolje Vs CZ1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD1.33
HomeLLWDW1.17
AwayLWDWD1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%33%
AVG goals1.671.671.67
Over 1.5 %50%50%50%
Over 2.5 %17%17%17%
Over 3.5 %8%0%17%
Scored0.830.830.83
Conceded0.830.830.83
BTTS33%33%33%
Clean Sheet42%33%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.22
HomeLDDWW1.73
AwayDDLDL0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%50%13%
AVG goals2.582.772.39
Over 1.5 %73%82%65%
Over 2.5 %51%55%48%
Over 3.5 %27%23%30%
Scored1.201.730.70
Conceded1.381.051.70
BTTS49%55%43%
Clean Sheet31%32%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SibenikSibenik3382
79%
2.5
6818+50
2.6
73%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.5
-
2Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac3381
79%
2.5
5318+35
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.5
-
3VukovarVukovar3358
48%
1.8
5636+20
2.8
79%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
4SesveteSesvete3342
36%
1.3
3641-5
2.3
67%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.2
-
5JarunJarun3340
33%
1.2
3546-11
2.5
70%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193539
26%
1.1
3850-12
2.5
60%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.4
-
7Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3338
30%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
73%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
8DugopoljeDugopolje3337
24%
1.1
3845-7
2.5
82%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
9HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3337
33%
1.1
3757-20
2.8
76%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
10Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3336
24%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3334
21%
1.0
3044-14
2.2
64%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.3
-
12SolinSolin3324
12%
0.7
3350-17
2.5
73%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
13KustosijaKustosija20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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