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Sesvete vs Dugopolje Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Sesvete
Sesvete
Vs
57%
27%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Sesvete enter the match on a positive streak, having won their last game 3-0 against Karlovac 1919, while Dugopolje come off a 1-1 draw with Kustosija. The model’s strongest edge lies in the home win probability of 57%, a clear favourite over the 27% draw and 16% away win chances. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, with the most likely total of two goals carrying a 28% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-0 for Sesvete, with a 14.3% chance. Sesvete’s home form shows they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.44 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Dugopolje’s away record yields 0.79 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Under 5.5 (96.8% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (96.1% with an 8% edge), and Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.9%).

Results analysis

The upset came early as Dugopolje snatched a 2-1 victory, extending their recent run of wins and leaving Sesvete still on a losing streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was given a 57% chance but proved wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Under 6.5 at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2%, Under 5.5 at 96.8%, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.1%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.9%. The final score of 1-2 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s predictions on total goals and halves, but the favourite call was incorrect.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sesvete win✗ Miss
57.0%
Avg Implied 40.4% · @ 2.24
Edge
+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.32
Betano
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Superbet
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.02
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.15
1xBet
3.10
Bet365
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Dugopolje win✓ Hit
15.9%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.04
Edge
-13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.60
Dafabet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.05
Betano
3.05
Superbet
3.05

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W24L11D31W30W02L12L21W13L30WH·OPA02/04A·HRV11/04H·CRO18/04A·DUB25/04H·KAR01/05A·HNK09/05H·DUG16/05H·BSK22/05A·RUD29/05H·KAR21/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.831.530.531.231.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.330.671.500.441.091.00
vs Weaker (3)2.002.332.002.002.002.50
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W11D43W30W21W12L21W03L03L11DH·HRV04/04A·CRO12/04H·DUB18/04A·KAR24/04H·HNK04/05H·BSK09/05A·SES16/05H·RUD23/05A·ORI30/05H·KUS22/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.071.690.940.791.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.281.071.730.930.791.21
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
@ 1.37+2.0%
Under 1.5
31.1%
@ 2.76-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.74
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.4%
@ 2.17-1.0%
Under 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.60+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.61
BetVictor
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.9%
@ 3.95-2.4%
Under 3.5
79.1%
@ 1.19+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.20
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Under
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.8%
@ 1.88-6.2%
No
57.2%
@ 1.80+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Superbet
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
1xBet
1.86
No
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.80

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.3%@ 6.47+8.3%
1-1
12.5%@ 5.72+5.8%
2-0
12.4%@ 10.10+8.6%
0-0
10.8%@ 7.53+5.6%
2-1
9.1%@ 9.09+4.9%
3-0
6.6%@ 21.66+4.8%
0-1
6.0%@ 7.69+0.9%
3-1
4.9%@ 19.68+2.9%
Sesvete goals ↓
Dugopolje goals →
01234
011%6.0%2.6%0.6%0.1%
114%13%4.2%1.0%0.2%
212%9.1%3.4%0.8%0.2%
36.6%4.9%1.8%0.4%0.1%
42.6%2.0%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sesvete goals (down), columns = Dugopolje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Vukovar
1.68
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.39
Segesta Sisak
1.38
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Jadran LP
1.14
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Kustosija
1.02
Mladost Ždralovi
0.51
Sesvete is 0.09 points better than Dugopolje in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Vukovar
1.43
Sesvete
1.27
Dugopolje
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.18
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Jadran LP
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Kustosija
0.86
Mladost Ždralovi
0.43
Sesvete is 0.06 goals better than Dugopolje in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Vukovar
0.96
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Dugopolje
1.15
Opatija
1.15
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.17
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Orijent 1919
1.24
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Jadran LP
1.42
Hrvace
1.45
Kustosija
1.59
Mladost Ždralovi
3.18
Sesvete is 0.30 goals better than Dugopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sesvete or Draw✗ Miss
84.1%
Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.30
Edge
+13.7%
57%
27%
16%
covers Sesvete + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Sesvete or Dugopolje✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied 70.2% · @ 1.30
Edge
+2.7%
57%
27%
16%
covers Sesvete + Dugopolje
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Draw or Dugopolje✓ Hit
43.0%
Avg Implied 59.4% · @ 1.54
Edge
-16.4%
57%
27%
16%
covers Draw + Dugopolje
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.66
Betano
1.60
William Hil
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Superbet
1.53

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sesvete over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.9%
@ 1.31+9.4%
Under
20.1%
@ 3.14-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Sesvete over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.6%
@ 2.47+10.2%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.47-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.50
Pinnacle
2.45
Superbet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.43
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Sesvete over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.7%
@ 5.84+6.0%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.09-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.30
Under
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Sesvete over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 11.00-0.6%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.02+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
Dugopolje over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
52.1%
@ 1.44-12.2%
Under
47.9%
@ 2.60+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.71
BetVictor
2.70
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Dugopolje over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
16.9%
@ 3.07-13.1%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.31+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.04
BetVictor
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.90
Under
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Dugopolje over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 7.80-7.9%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.04+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
6.60
Under
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Dugopolje over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 15.00-5.6%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.01+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Under
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Sesvete, so a minus line means Sesvete give that many goals of a start and Dugopolje receive them. At -1, Sesvete must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sesvete win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sesvete)Actual: Dugopolje
Sesvete -2
13.5%
@ 9.75+4.6%
Draw -2
18.0%
@ 5.47+2.2%
Dugopolje +2
68.4%
@ 1.16-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Sesvete)Actual: Dugopolje
Sesvete -1
31.6%
@ 4.70+12.6%
Draw -1
25.4%
@ 3.72+1.5%
Dugopolje +1
43.0%
@ 1.56-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Away
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Handicap +1 (Sesvete)Actual: Draw
Sesvete +1
84.1%
@ 1.32+17.1%
Draw +1
11.1%
@ 4.42-9.0%
Dugopolje -1
4.8%
@ 6.80-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Handicap +2 (Sesvete)Actual: Sesvete
Sesvete +2
95.2%
@ 1.10+9.5%
Draw +2
3.8%
@ 10.00-5.6%
Dugopolje -2
1.0%
@ 19.00-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
19.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D20W30W01L01L10W11D00DH·OPA02/04A·HRV11/04H·CRO18/04A·DUB25/04H·KAR01/05A·HNK09/05H·DUG16/05H·BSK22/05A·RUD29/05H·KAR21/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.300.590.180.690.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.260.560.120.640.45
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L31W30W21W11D10W02L01L10WH·HRV04/04A·CRO12/04H·DUB18/04A·KAR24/04H·HNK04/05H·BSK09/05A·SES16/05H·RUD23/05A·ORI30/05H·KUS22/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.880.560.430.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.660.660.870.600.430.71
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.5%
@ 1.45+3.4%
Under 0.5
33.5%
@ 2.49-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.46
Betfair
1.45
Under
William Hil
2.62
Pinnacle
2.56
Betfair
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
29.5%
@ 3.15+0.3%
Under 1.5
70.5%
@ 1.30-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
3.12
Under
BetVictor
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
10.3%
@ 8.35-0.8%
Under 2.5
89.7%
@ 1.04+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.00
BetVictor
9.00
1xBet
8.80
Bet365
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Under
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.2%
@ 2.14+8.9%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.63-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.59
Sesvete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 7.10+4.4%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.05-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
Under
1xBet
1.05
Sesvete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
31.4%
@ 2.41-7.0%
Under
68.6%
@ 1.50+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.44
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.41
Superbet
2.37
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.49
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
5.8%
@ 9.20-4.2%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Under
1xBet
1.02
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L11D11D00D01L11D11D02L30WH·OPA02/04A·HRV11/04H·CRO18/04A·DUB25/04H·KAR01/05A·HNK09/05H·DUG16/05H·BSK22/05A·RUD29/05H·KAR21/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.940.350.540.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.740.410.940.310.450.55
vs Weaker (3)1.001.671.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W12L00D00D01L11D01L02L01LH·HRV04/04A·CRO12/04H·DUB18/04A·KAR24/04H·HNK04/05H·BSK09/05A·SES16/05H·RUD23/05A·ORI30/05H·KUS22/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.430.810.380.360.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.620.410.870.330.360.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.28+6.3%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 3.23-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.2%
@ 2.35+7.1%
Under 1.5
53.8%
@ 1.50-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Under
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.6%
@ 5.45+2.7%
Under 2.5
80.4%
@ 1.11-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
63.2%
@ 1.83+12.8%
Under
36.8%
@ 1.86-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Sesvete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
27.1%
@ 5.20+9.5%
Under
72.9%
@ 1.11-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.11
Sesvete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.4%
@ 2.06-3.5%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.68+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.02
Under
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.66
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 6.70-4.0%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.06+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Under
1xBet
1.06
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.8%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+2.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.1%1.04
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
--+7.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.9%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap95.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+9.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.2%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+4.2%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals92.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals92.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+0.6%✓ Hit
Under 4.591.2%1.04
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+2.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals90.3%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+4.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.7%1.04
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+0.8%✗ Miss
Home or Draw84.1%1.30
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+13.7%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap84.1%1.32
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
---+17.1%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals83.1%1.31
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+13.1%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.7%1.05
1xBet
1.05
-----4.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals80.4%1.11
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
--2.7%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals79.9%1.31
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.29
-+9.4%✓ Hit
Under 3.579.1%1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+2.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals78.3%1.09
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
--6.0%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals78.0%1.28
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+6.3%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals72.9%1.11
1xBet
1.11
-----9.5%✓ Hit
Home or Away72.9%1.30
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+2.7%✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals70.5%1.30
BetVictor
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
-0.3%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
JL (9)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
DZU (2)
€1m
MŽ (4)
€0m
Sesvete's squad is €1m more valuable than Dugopolje's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (10)
€2m
VUK (6)
€1m
HRV (8)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
DZU (1)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
MŽ (4)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Sesvete and Dugopolje have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
DZU (1)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
JL (1)
€0m
MŽ (0)
€0m
Sesvete and Dugopolje have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
MŽ (0)
€0m
DZU (0)
€0m
Sesvete and Dugopolje have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
SES wins
3
Draws
1
DUG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sesvete vs Dugopolje · H/A from SES
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HSES Vs Dugopolje1-2
07/03/26HSES Vs Dugopolje3-0
12/10/25ADugopolje Vs SES1-1
04/04/25HSES Vs Dugopolje1-0
22/11/24HSES Vs Dugopolje3-1
14/09/24ADugopolje Vs SES0-0
13/04/24ADugopolje Vs SES1-3
28/10/23ADugopolje Vs SES1-1

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HSES Vs Karlovac 19193-0
29/05/26ARudes Vs SES3-1
22/05/26HSES Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-1
16/05/26HSES Vs Dugopolje1-2
09/05/26AHNK Cibalia Vs SES2-0
01/05/26HSES Vs Karlovac 19193-0
25/04/26ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES1-3
18/04/26HSES Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-1
11/04/26AHrvace Vs SES4-2
02/04/26HSES Vs Opatija1-0

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HDUG Vs Kustosija1-1
30/05/26AOrijent 1919 Vs DUG3-0
23/05/26HDUG Vs Rudes0-3
16/05/26ASesvete Vs DUG1-2
09/05/26HDUG Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-2
04/05/26HDUG Vs HNK Cibalia2-1
24/04/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs DUG0-3
18/04/26HDUG Vs Dubrava Zagreb4-3
12/04/26ACroatia Zmijavci Vs DUG1-1
04/04/26HDUG Vs Hrvace3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.64
HomeDWLWW1.67
AwayWLWLL1.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%48%48%
AVG goals2.082.042.13
Over 1.5 %62%59%65%
Over 2.5 %38%44%30%
Over 3.5 %12%7%17%
Scored1.201.261.13
Conceded0.880.781.00
BTTS36%33%39%
Clean Sheet44%48%39%
Corners---
Cards---
Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.40
HomeWWLLD1.92
AwayLDWWL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%56%24%
AVG goals2.482.762.20
Over 1.5 %74%84%64%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %16%24%8%
Scored1.161.560.76
Conceded1.321.201.44
BTTS48%60%36%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.3
-
2Mladost ŽdraloviMladost Ždralovi37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
3Jadran LPJadran LP35
33%
1.7
74+3
3.7
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.3
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.71.3
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 191934
33%
1.3
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.0
-
7OpatijaOpatija34
33%
1.3
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.3
-
8Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
9Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo34
33%
1.3
22+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.70.7
-
10VukovarVukovar34
33%
1.3
57-2
4.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.72.3
-
11Karlovac 1919Karlovac 191934
33%
1.3
46-2
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.32.0
-
12SesveteSesvete33
33%
1.0
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.0
-
13Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U2133
33%
1.0
66+0
4.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.0
-
14KustosijaKustosija32
0%
0.7
23-1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.71.0
-
15Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb31
0%
0.3
35-2
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.7
-
16HrvaceHrvace30
0%
0.0
18-7
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.32.7
-
Croatia: First NL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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