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Sfîntul Gheorghe vs Milsami Orhei Result & Analysis

Date: 02/04/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 1-1
Sfîntul Gheorghe
Sfîntul Gheorghe
Vs
39%
32%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sfîntul Gheorghe win✗ Miss
39.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei win✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D12L03L10W20W10W04L01L00D11DA·ZIM11/09H·PET17/09A·SHE02/10H·DAC08/10A·DIN15/10H·MIL23/10A·CSF28/10H·ZIM09/11A·ZIM11/03H·CSF17/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.501.111.221.221.78
vs Stronger (7)1.001.710.672.001.251.50
vs Similar (11)1.271.361.330.831.202.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D10W12L11D01L11D02L12L03LA·SHE11/09A·DIN16/09H·CSF01/10A·PET08/10H·DAC15/10A·SFÎ23/10A·ZIM27/10H·SHE09/11A·PET11/03H·ZIM18/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.250.901.300.901.20
vs Stronger (4)0.752.500.503.001.002.00
vs Similar (10)0.901.201.201.200.601.20
vs Weaker (6)1.000.500.670.331.330.67
Clean sheet %35% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sfîntul Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.8%
Under 1.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.7%
Under 2.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.0%
Under 3.5
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.6%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
Sfîntul Gheorghe goals ↓
Milsami Orhei goals →
01234
012%9.8%5.6%1.9%0.5%
112%15%6.7%2.2%0.6%
28.0%8.0%4.0%1.3%0.3%
33.2%3.2%1.6%0.5%0.1%
40.9%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sfîntul Gheorghe goals (down), columns = Milsami Orhei goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.38
Floreşti
2.17
Petrocub
2.00
Speranis Nisporeni
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.75
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.33
Zimbru
1.29
Milsami Orhei
1.17
Dinamo-Auto
1.11
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
0.92
Făleşti
0.00
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Real Succes
0.00
Sucleia
0.00
Sfîntul Gheorghe is 0.08 points worse than Milsami Orhei in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Speranis Nisporeni
3.00
Văsieni
3.00
Floreşti
2.33
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Spartanii Selemet
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.67
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.62
Petrocub
1.50
Dinamo-Auto
1.33
Zimbru
1.12
Făleşti
1.00
Real Succes
1.00
Sucleia
1.00
Milsami Orhei
0.92
Sfîntul Gheorghe
0.92
CSF Bălți
0.75
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Sfîntul Gheorghe and Milsami Orhei are level in goals scored per game (both 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.38
Petrocub
0.71
Dacia-Buiucani
0.71
Floreşti
0.92
Speranis Nisporeni
1.00
Zimbru
1.08
CSF Bălți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.25
Dinamo-Auto
1.41
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.46
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.92
Victoria Bardar
2.69
Speranța Drochia
4.00
Făleşti
4.91
Sucleia
6.00
Real Succes
7.00
Sfîntul Gheorghe is 0.21 goals worse than Milsami Orhei in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L00D10W10W00D01L01L00D10WA·ZIM11/09H·PET17/09A·SHE02/10H·DAC08/10A·DIN15/10H·MIL23/10A·CSF28/10H·ZIM09/11A·ZIM11/03H·CSF17/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.610.440.560.440.670.44
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.331.331.000.00
vs Similar (11)0.550.360.670.000.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L00D10W00D00D00D01L10W01LA·SHE11/09A·DIN16/09H·CSF01/10A·PET08/10H·DAC15/10A·SFÎ23/10A·ZIM27/10H·SHE09/11A·PET11/03H·ZIM18/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.300.600.400.400.20
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.501.000.000.50
vs Similar (10)0.700.201.000.400.400.00
vs Weaker (6)0.330.170.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Sfîntul Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sfîntul Gheorghe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sfîntul Gheorghe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sfîntul Gheorghe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D03L00D10W10W03L00D00D01LA·ZIM11/09H·PET17/09A·SHE02/10H·DAC08/10A·DIN15/10H·MIL23/10A·CSF28/10H·ZIM09/11A·ZIM11/03H·CSF17/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.561.060.560.780.561.33
vs Stronger (7)0.291.140.330.670.251.50
vs Similar (11)0.731.000.670.830.801.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W02L11D01L11D01L02L02LA·SHE11/09A·DIN16/09H·CSF01/10A·PET08/10H·DAC15/10A·SFÎ23/10A·ZIM27/10H·SHE09/11A·PET11/03H·ZIM18/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.950.300.900.501.00
vs Stronger (4)0.501.750.002.001.001.50
vs Similar (10)0.201.000.200.800.201.20
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.670.330.670.33
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sfîntul Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sfîntul Gheorghe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sfîntul Gheorghe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sfîntul Gheorghe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
SG wins
0
Draws
0
MO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sfîntul Gheorghe vs Milsami Orhei · H/A from SG
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/22HSG Vs Milsami Orhei1-0
28/08/22AMilsami Orhei Vs SG2-3

Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/23HSG Vs CSF Bălți1-1
11/03/23AZimbru Vs SG0-0
09/11/22HSG Vs Zimbru0-1
28/10/22ACSF Bălți Vs SG4-0
23/10/22HSG Vs Milsami Orhei1-0
15/10/22ADinamo-Auto Vs SG0-2
08/10/22HSG Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-0
02/10/22ASheriff Tiraspol Vs SG3-0
17/09/22HSG Vs Petrocub1-2
11/09/22AZimbru Vs SG3-3

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HMO Vs Zimbru0-3
11/03/23APetrocub Vs MO2-1
09/11/22HMO Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-2
27/10/22AZimbru Vs MO1-1
23/10/22ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs MO1-0
15/10/22HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-1
08/10/22APetrocub Vs MO2-1
01/10/22HMO Vs CSF Bălți1-0
16/09/22ADinamo-Auto Vs MO1-1
11/09/22ASheriff Tiraspol Vs MO2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sfîntul Gheorghe
Sfîntul Gheorghe
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.17
HomeLWWLD1.11
AwayDLWLD1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%33%
AVG goals2.672.333.00
Over 1.5 %78%67%89%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %22%11%33%
Scored1.171.111.22
Conceded1.501.221.78
BTTS44%56%33%
Clean Sheet33%33%33%
Corners13.0016.0010.00
Cards4.00-4.00
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.10
HomeWWDLL1.40
AwayDLLDL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%40%10%
AVG goals2.152.202.10
Over 1.5 %70%60%80%
Over 2.5 %30%30%30%
Over 3.5 %15%20%10%
Scored0.900.900.90
Conceded1.251.301.20
BTTS45%30%60%
Clean Sheet35%50%20%
Corners8.5011.006.00
Cards4.004.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2457
71%
2.4
399+30
2.0
71%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.60.4
-
2PetrocubPetrocub2448
58%
2.0
3617+19
2.2
62%
46%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2442
50%
1.8
4017+23
2.4
62%
33%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.70.7
-
4ZimbruZimbru2431
29%
1.3
2726+1
2.2
62%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
5Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto2730
30%
1.1
3638-2
2.7
74%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2428
29%
1.2
2230-8
2.2
71%
33%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.2
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1226
67%
2.2
2811+17
3.2
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
8Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe2426
29%
1.1
2235-13
2.4
75%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
9CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2422
21%
0.9
1826-8
1.8
54%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.1
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1216
42%
1.3
2423+1
3.9
100%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.9
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1313
31%
1.0
2635-9
4.7
100%
92%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.7
-
12Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni24
50%
2.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
13VăsieniVăsieni23
50%
1.5
63+3
4.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.5
-
14Sheriff IISheriff II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16SucleiaSucleia10
0%
0.0
16-5
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.06.0
-
17Real SuccesReal Succes10
0%
0.0
17-6
8.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.07.0
-
18FăleştiFăleşti110
0%
0.0
1154-43
5.9
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.9
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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