This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.10
1.50
0.94
1.21
1.29
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.86
1.33
1.67
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (15)
1.07
0.87
1.00
0.67
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (8)
2.25
0.88
2.75
1.00
1.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk goals ↓
Dnipro-1 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
5.1%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.0%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.4%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
7.4%
5.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.2%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shakhtar Donetsk goals (down), columns = Dnipro-1 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Shakhtar Donetsk is 0.63 points better than Dnipro-1 in terms of average points per game (2.37 vs 1.73).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Shakhtar Donetsk is 0.77 goals better than Dnipro-1 in terms of goals scored per game (2.10 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
Shakhtar Donetsk is 0.10 goals better than Dnipro-1 in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
Shakhtar Donetsk is 7.1 percentage points better than Dnipro-1 in terms of average possession (59% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk
For 3.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dnipro-1
For 6.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shakhtar Donetsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.6
9.8
3.8
3.4
4.2
21.5
20.4
22.4
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
10.5
9.5
3.2
3.0
3.5
19.8
16.0
23.5
vs Similar (11)
7.2
7.6
6.8
3.8
2.7
5.2
21.2
21.2
21.2
vs Weaker (35)
9.9
8.7
10.7
3.9
3.8
4.0
21.8
20.7
22.6
% over line
37%
35%
38%
46%
43%
48%
54%
50%
58%
% under line
63%
65%
62%
54%
57%
52%
46%
50%
42%
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.5
8.7
3.7
3.3
4.1
23.9
24.6
23.2
vs Stronger (10)
9.8
10.8
8.8
5.1
4.0
6.2
27.1
29.4
24.8
vs Similar (26)
9.1
9.4
8.8
3.6
3.0
4.2
22.9
24.5
21.5
vs Weaker (14)
8.5
8.7
8.2
2.9
3.5
2.5
23.0
20.8
26.2
% over line
50%
50%
50%
54%
48%
60%
69%
71%
67%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
46%
52%
40%
31%
29%
33%
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
10.4
LNZ Cherkasy
10.2
Vorskla Poltava
10.1
Kolos Kovalivka
10.1
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Polessya
10.0
Minai
9.9
Ruh Lviv
9.5
Dynamo Kyiv
9.5
Oleksandria
9.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.3
Dnipro-1
9.1
Obolon'-Brovar
8.9
Kryvbas KR
8.8
Chornomorets
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Obolon'-Brovar
5.8
Ruh Lviv
5.7
Polessya
5.7
Dynamo Kyiv
5.4
Vorskla Poltava
5.2
Veres Rivne
5.1
Chornomorets
4.9
Kolos Kovalivka
4.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.6
LNZ Cherkasy
4.6
Minai
4.6
Zorya Luhansk
4.4
Oleksandria
4.3
Kryvbas KR
4.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.2
Dnipro-1
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vorskla Poltava
27.3
Obolon'-Brovar
27.2
Dynamo Kyiv
24.3
Ruh Lviv
24.3
Minai
24.0
Kolos Kovalivka
24.0
Dnipro-1
23.7
Polessya
23.1
LNZ Cherkasy
23.1
Kryvbas KR
23.0
Chornomorets
22.9
Veres Rivne
22.6
Zorya Luhansk
22.5
Oleksandria
22.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.7%
Under 9.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.9%
Under 21.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Shakhtar Donetsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.92
0.33
0.72
0.78
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
1.00
3.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
0.88
0.42
0.90
0.10
0.86
0.64
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.71
0.33
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.27
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.62
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Shakhtar Donetsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.25
1.17
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
0.00
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (24)
1.12
0.42
0.90
0.30
1.29
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.75
0.44
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
1.00
1.33
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.53
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtar Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Shakhtar Donetsk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danylo Sikan44%
Kevin Kelsy33%
Marlon Gomes33%
Eguinaldo27%
Heorhii Sudakov21%
Mykola Matviyenko17%
Kevin12%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi11%
Marian Shved10%
Newerton Palmares10%
Artem Bondarenko8%
Lassina Traoré0%
Valeriy Bondar0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Dmytro Riznyk0%
Yehor Nazaryna0%
Irakli Azarovi0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Yukhym Konoplia0%
Dmytro Kryskiv0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
Stav Lemkin0%
Pedrinho0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yukhym Konoplia60%
Valeriy Bondar45%
Mykola Matviyenko25%
Kevin25%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi22%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili22%
Dmytro Kryskiv21%
Danylo Sikan19%
Eguinaldo18%
Oleksandr Zubkov17%
Taras Stepanenko15%
Yehor Nazaryna10%
Newerton Palmares10%
Artem Bondarenko8%
Dmytro Riznyk7%
Heorhii Sudakov7%
Lassina Traoré0%
Irakli Azarovi0%
Marian Shved0%
Stav Lemkin0%
Pedrinho0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Kevin Kelsy0%
Marlon Gomes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleksandr Zubkov33%
Lassina Traoré29%
Irakli Azarovi18%
Kevin12%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi11%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili11%
Yehor Nazaryna10%
Yukhym Konoplia10%
Taras Stepanenko8%
Heorhii Sudakov7%
Valeriy Bondar0%
Mykola Matviyenko0%
Dmytro Riznyk0%
Marian Shved0%
Danylo Sikan0%
Artem Bondarenko0%
Dmytro Kryskiv0%
Stav Lemkin0%
Pedrinho0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Kevin Kelsy0%
Eguinaldo0%
Marlon Gomes0%
Newerton Palmares0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Heorhii Sudakov36%
Marian Shved30%
Oleksandr Zubkov25%
Artem Bondarenko25%
Danylo Sikan19%
Marlon Gomes17%
Kevin12%
Yehor Nazaryna10%
Yukhym Konoplia10%
Newerton Palmares10%
Valeriy Bondar9%
Eguinaldo9%
Dmytro Kryskiv7%
Lassina Traoré0%
Mykola Matviyenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi0%
Dmytro Riznyk0%
Irakli Azarovi0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
Stav Lemkin0%
Pedrinho0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Kevin Kelsy0%
Dnipro-1
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleksandr Filippov43%
Maksym Tretyakov33%
Volodymyr Tanchyk33%
Oleg Ocheretko33%
Bogdan Lednev29%
Oleksii Hutsuliak29%
Denys Miroshnichenko20%
Volodymyr Adamyuk12%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksii Hutsuliak43%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko33%
Eduard Sarapiyy33%
Bogdan Lednev14%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksandr Filippov0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleksandr Kapliyenko33%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok20%
Volodymyr Tanchyk17%
Oleksandr Filippov14%
Volodymyr Adamyuk12%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Bogdan Lednev0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Oleksii Hutsuliak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bogdan Lednev57%
Oleksii Hutsuliak43%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok20%
Oleksandr Filippov14%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Dynamo Kyiv
Kryvbas KR
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Oleksandria
Vorskla Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
Chornomorets
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
Minai
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Livyi Bereh
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi