Shamrock Rovers are expected to dominate against Egnatia Rrogozhinë, as they're on a 2-game winning run. The model predicts a home win, with a 58% probability, while a draw is 26% likely and an away win 17% likely. The expected total goals is 2.6, with 2 goals being the most likely total. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.2% probability.
Shamrock Rovers have a strong home form, scoring 1.67 goals and conceding 0.5 per match. Egnatia Rrogozhinë, on the other hand, have struggled on the road, scoring 1.25 goals and conceding 1 per match. The model suggests Over 1.5 goals (74%) and Under 3.5 goals (74%) as its selections, with a 3% edge for the former. The home win percentage is 58%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 17%.
The home team, Shamrock Rovers, secured a 3-1 win over Egnatia Rrogozhinë, extending their run to three consecutive victories. The model's call for a home win was correct, with the pre-match favourite, Shamrock Rovers, holding a 58% probability of success. The model's selection of Shamrock Rovers to win was indeed the correct call. The model's suggested picks included Over 1.5, with a 74% probability, which hit, and Under 3.5, with a 74% probability, which missed.
Shamrock Rovers| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.57 | 0.97 | 1.87 | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.88 | 0.50 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 1.53 | 1.06 | 2.00 | 1.17 | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+7pp vs league) | |||||
Egnatia Rrogozhinë| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 1.07 | 1.73 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 2.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 1.43 | 1.00 | 1.64 | 0.86 | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12% | 12% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Shamrock Rovers| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 22.3 | 21.6 | 23.0 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 20.5 | 21.0 | 20.0 |
| vs Similar (19) | 7.8 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 22.9 | 21.3 | 25.0 |
| vs Weaker (25) | 8.4 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 22.2 | 22.0 | 22.3 |
| % over line | 26% | 29% | 24% | 60% | 44% | 76% | 57% | 48% | 67% |
| % under line | 74% | 71% | 76% | 40% | 56% | 24% | 43% | 52% | 33% |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (4) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (46) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
Shamrock Rovers| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.40 | 1.13 | 0.27 | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 0.82 | 0.41 | 1.50 | 0.17 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
Egnatia Rrogozhinë| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 0.61 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Shamrock Rovers| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.57 | 0.73 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 0.67 | 0.42 | 0.88 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.45 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
Egnatia Rrogozhinë| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.53 | 1.13 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 0.82 | 0.50 | 1.07 | 0.36 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+33pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 81.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 81.6% | 1.26 | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.23 | +9.0% | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 78.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 74.0% | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.30 | +3.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 74.0% | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | +0.9% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 10.5 corners | 72.2% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.44 | 1.42 | 1.38 | +8.4% | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Shamrock Rovers| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 28/07/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/07/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 26/06/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 22/06/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 19/06/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 12/06/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 29/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/05/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 22/05/26 | H | 1-2 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 22/07/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 31/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 06/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 0-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Beşiktaş | 5 | 15 | 100% | 3.0 | 8 | 0 | +8 | 1.6 | 40% | 20% | 0% | 15.0 | 100% | 5.0 | 75% | 17.5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | - |
| 2 | Anderlecht | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 8.7 | 67% | 5.5 | 100% | 29.3 | 100% | 126 | 46 | 38 | 42 | 2.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 5 | 11 | 60% | 2.2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | 9.5 | 50% | 3.0 | 50% | 24.0 | 50% | 40 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 45% |
| 4 | Benfica | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 4.2 | 100% | 80% | 60% | 10.0 | 50% | 4.2 | 75% | 25.5 | 100% | 288 | 105 | 93 | 90 | 3.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 13 | 0 | +13 | 4.3 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 10.0 | 33% | 4.7 | 67% | 23.3 | 100% | 53 | 21 | 8 | 23 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 38% |
| 6 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 3.2 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 4.0 | 0% | 5.0 | 67% | 38.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 43% |
| 7 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 8.0 | 50% | 5.0 | 100% | 31.0 | 100% | 62 | 43 | 2 | 17 | 2.3 | 0.7 | - |
| 8 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 2.7 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 10.5 | 50% | 3.0 | 50% | 21.5 | 50% | 192 | 93 | 40 | 59 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 45% |
| 9 | PAOK | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 3.2 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 6.0 | 0% | 4.0 | 67% | 38.0 | 100% | 96 | 50 | 24 | 23 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 48% |
| 10 | Hradec Králové | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 11.0 | 50% | 4.3 | 67% | 20.5 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | - |
| 11 | Qarabag | 3 | 5 | 33% | 1.7 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 1.0 | 33% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | 4.0 | 33% | - | 0% | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - |
| 12 | Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 5 | 33% | 1.7 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 2.3 | 100% | 33% | 0% | 10.0 | 50% | 3.5 | 50% | 27.0 | 50% | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 1.3 | 1.0 | - |
| 13 | CSKA Sofia | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 60% | 20% | 4.5 | 0% | 5.8 | 75% | 25.5 | 50% | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 14 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3.3 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 10.0 | 100% | 2.5 | 0% | 28.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | - |
| 15 | Pafos | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 3.2 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 14.0 | 100% | 5.0 | 100% | 24.0 | 100% | 28 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 16 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1.3 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 8.0 | 0% | 5.0 | 50% | 30.5 | 100% | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | - |
| 17 | Saburtalo | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2.3 | 67% | 67% | 33% | 11.0 | 100% | 5.3 | 67% | 41.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | - |
| 18 | OFI | 1 | 3 | 100% | 3.0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | 13.0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - |
| 19 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 3 | 100% | 3.0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 0% | 6.0 | 100% | 11.0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 49% |
| 20 | Žilina | 1 | 3 | 100% | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | - | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 21 | St. Truiden | 1 | 3 | 100% | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.0 | 0% | 3.0 | 0% | 22.0 | 100% | 53 | 29 | 10 | 13 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - |
| 22 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5.0 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | 3.0 | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 23 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4.0 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 10.0 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | 20.0 | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 2.5 | - |
| 24 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 15.0 | 100% | 4.7 | 100% | - | 0% | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - |
| 25 | FC ST. Gallen | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.5 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4.0 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 41 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 26 | FC Thun | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5.0 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 9.0 | 50% | 3.5 | 50% | 22.0 | 50% | 30 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 1.7 | 3.3 | - |
| 27 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 2.0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | 20.0 | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 28 | Lillestrom | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 | 100% | 2.0 | 0% | 28.0 | 100% | 14 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |
| 29 | Twente | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | 2.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 84 | 26 | 13 | 45 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - |
| 30 | KuPS | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 8.0 | 0% | 3.0 | 0% | 34.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 46% |
| 31 | Rangers | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 6.0 | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | 26.0 | 100% | 127 | 59 | 28 | 40 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 50% |
| 32 | Larne | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 12.0 | 100% | 5.0 | 50% | 46.0 | 100% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - |
| 33 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 7.0 | 0% | 1.0 | 0% | 21.0 | 0% | 29 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - |
| 34 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 | 0% | 7.0 | 100% | 39.0 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 43% |
| 35 | Hammarby FF | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 10.0 | 100% | 5.5 | 100% | 22.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - |
| 36 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 8.0 | 0% | 6.0 | 100% | 24.0 | 100% | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | - |
| 37 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 | 100% | 6.0 | 100% | 27.0 | 100% | 116 | 48 | 23 | 45 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 38 | Mjallby AIF | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.0 | 0% | 1.0 | 0% | 19.0 | 0% | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 39 | Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4.0 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 12.0 | 100% | 3.0 | 0% | 27.0 | 100% | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 40 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | 3.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 85 | 31 | 24 | 30 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 44% |
| 41 | Tromso | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 9.0 | 0% | 3.5 | 50% | 25.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | - |
| 42 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 4.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 120 | 62 | 27 | 32 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 51% |
| 43 | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 10.0 | 100% | 6.0 | 100% | 28.0 | 100% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 44 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 0% | 6.0 | 100% | 11.0 | 0% | 57 | 15 | 22 | 20 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 45% |
| 45 | Kauno Žalgiris | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 17.0 | 100% | 5.0 | 100% | 19.0 | 0% | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 46 | Vestri | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | - | 0% | 0.0 | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 47 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | 4.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 48 | KI Klaksvik | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 11.0 | 50% | 5.5 | 100% | 23.0 | 100% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - |