This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.80
1.27
1.33
1.20
2.27
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.20
1.00
1.25
1.00
2.83
vs Similar (20)
1.35
1.60
1.36
1.36
1.33
1.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.0%
Under 2.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
Shelbourne goals ↓
Sligo Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
5.9%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.7%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.8%
9.6%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.4%
5.3%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.2%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shelbourne goals (down), columns = Sligo Rovers goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Shelbourne is 0.50 points better than Sligo Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.14).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
Shelbourne is 0.17 goals better than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
Shelbourne is 0.47 goals better than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.50).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
Shelbourne is 8.4 percentage points better than Sligo Rovers in terms of average possession (57% vs 49%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Shelbourne
For 5.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 8.7 · Total 19.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
For 4.1 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shelbourne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.7
8.4
5.1
5.0
5.2
23.2
23.6
22.8
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
6.0
10.0
2.5
4.0
1.0
20.5
22.0
19.0
vs Similar (48)
8.6
8.9
8.3
5.2
5.0
5.4
23.3
23.7
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
48%
32%
74%
77%
71%
60%
61%
59%
% under line
60%
52%
68%
26%
23%
29%
40%
39%
41%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.2
10.5
5.0
5.1
5.0
25.1
26.0
24.3
vs Stronger (16)
9.7
9.0
10.2
6.1
5.9
6.2
25.6
26.0
25.3
vs Similar (34)
10.0
9.3
10.7
4.5
4.8
4.2
24.9
26.0
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
39%
67%
66%
68%
64%
81%
91%
71%
% under line
47%
61%
33%
34%
32%
36%
19%
9%
29%
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Cork City
10.6
Bohemians
10.6
Waterford
10.2
Drogheda United
9.9
Galway United
9.8
Sligo Rovers
9.7
St Patrick's Athl.
9.7
Shamrock Rovers
9.2
Derry City
8.9
Shelbourne
8.8
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Shelbourne
5.9
Bohemians
5.8
Derry City
5.5
Waterford
5.4
Sligo Rovers
5.4
Shamrock Rovers
5.2
Cork City
5.2
St Patrick's Athl.
5.2
Galway United
4.8
Drogheda United
4.4
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cork City
25.2
Sligo Rovers
25.1
Waterford
24.8
Derry City
24.7
Bohemians
24.4
Galway United
24.0
Shelbourne
23.8
St Patrick's Athl.
23.7
Drogheda United
22.5
Shamrock Rovers
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.2%
Under 9.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.6%
Under 3.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.0%
Under 21.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.50
0.56
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.45
0.66
0.53
0.60
0.36
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.10
0.25
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.70
0.36
0.73
0.78
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.33
0.62
0.31
0.50
0.36
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.34
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.93
0.67
0.53
1.27
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.10
0.75
0.75
0.50
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.90
1.00
0.64
0.56
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Shelbourne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Wood20%
Ademipo Odubeko18%
Alistair Coote15%
John Martin13%
Daniel Kelly12%
Kerr McInroy11%
Sean Boyd8%
Jack Henry-Francis7%
Sam Bone7%
Evan Caffrey5%
Ellis Chapman4%
Mark Coyle3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sean Gannon0%
Conor Kearns0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
James Norris0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Lewis Temple0%
Milan Mbeng0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark Coyle42%
Rayhaan Tulloch33%
Tyreke Wilson29%
Sean Boyd28%
Paddy Barrett28%
Sam Bone27%
Sean Gannon26%
Harry Wood25%
John Martin18%
John O'Sullivan18%
James Norris18%
Jack Henry-Francis14%
Milan Mbeng13%
Jonathan Lunney13%
Kameron Ledwidge11%
Ademipo Odubeko11%
Evan Caffrey10%
Daniel Kelly8%
Kerr McInroy8%
Lewis Temple8%
Alistair Coote6%
Wessel Speel6%
Ellis Chapman4%
Conor Kearns0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kerr McInroy11%
Harry Wood10%
Sean Boyd8%
Ademipo Odubeko8%
Evan Caffrey8%
Tyreke Wilson7%
Daniel Kelly4%
Sean Gannon4%
Mark Coyle3%
James Norris3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
John Martin3%
Kameron Ledwidge3%
Ellis Chapman0%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sam Bone0%
Conor Kearns0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Alistair Coote0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Wessel Speel0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Lewis Temple0%
Milan Mbeng0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ademipo Odubeko26%
Kerr McInroy16%
Harry Wood15%
Ellis Chapman11%
Jack Henry-Francis7%
Milan Mbeng7%
Alistair Coote6%
John Martin5%
Evan Caffrey5%
Sean Boyd4%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sean Gannon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Conor Kearns0%
Mark Coyle0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
James Norris0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Lewis Temple0%
Sligo Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Owen Elding33%
Ryan O'Kane18%
Francely Lomboto17%
Jad Hakiki16%
Cian Kavanagh15%
Patrick McClean14%
Wilson Waweru12%
Gareth McElroy11%
Reece Hutchinson10%
Oliver Denham5%
Stephen Mallon0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Connor Malley0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
John Mahon0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Ronan Manning0%
Matthew Wolfe0%
Oskar van Hattum0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Sean Stewart0%
Harvey Lintott0%
Seb Quirk0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jake Doyle Hayes53%
John Mahon47%
Connor Malley40%
Ciaron Harkin33%
Edwin Agbaje33%
Cian Kavanagh23%
Conor Reynolds22%
Matthew Wolfe19%
Jad Hakiki19%
Harvey Lintott18%
Daire Patton17%
Oliver Denham16%
Gareth McElroy16%
James McManus15%
Owen Elding15%
Reece Hutchinson15%
Patrick McClean14%
Francely Lomboto13%
William Fitzgerald12%
Ronan Manning12%
Oskar van Hattum10%
Sean Stewart10%
Seb Quirk8%
Kyle McDonagh7%
Sam Sargeant7%
Stephen Mallon0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Conor Walsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Fitzgerald18%
Owen Elding12%
Jake Doyle Hayes12%
Ciaron Harkin11%
Connor Malley10%
Oskar van Hattum10%
Matthew Wolfe10%
Harvey Lintott9%
Daire Patton8%
Ronan Manning6%
Gareth McElroy5%
Reece Hutchinson5%
Cian Kavanagh4%
Jad Hakiki3%
Stephen Mallon0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Patrick McClean0%
John Mahon0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Oliver Denham0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Francely Lomboto0%
Sean Stewart0%
Seb Quirk0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Owen Elding33%
Jad Hakiki25%
Ryan O'Kane18%
Cian Kavanagh15%
Gareth McElroy11%
Seb Quirk8%
Francely Lomboto4%
Stephen Mallon0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Connor Malley0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Patrick McClean0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
John Mahon0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ronan Manning0%
Matthew Wolfe0%
Oskar van Hattum0%
Oliver Denham0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Sean Stewart0%
Harvey Lintott0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers have a similar squad value (both €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Galway United
Cork City
Bray Wanderers