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Sibenik vs Solin Result & Analysis

Date: 06/11/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Sibenik
Sibenik
Vs
74%
17%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Solin
Solin
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Sibenik win✓ Hit
74.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Solin win✗ Miss
8.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SibenikSibenik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W30W45L20W01L11D00D41W30W11DH·BSK26/08H·ZRI01/09A·ORI09/09H·HNK18/09A·SES23/09H·DUG02/10A·CRO08/10H·DUB14/10A·JAR23/10A·VUK28/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.531.671.531.001.53
vs Stronger (6)0.832.331.672.000.002.67
vs Similar (24)1.461.331.671.421.251.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SolinSolin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L41W13L01L11D00D11D11D22D11DA·ZRI26/08H·ORI02/09A·HNK10/09H·SES16/09A·DUG22/09H·CRO30/09A·DUB09/10H·JAR14/10A·VUK21/10A·BSK28/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.831.501.381.142.36
vs Stronger (3)1.333.672.005.001.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.381.651.571.141.172.25
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.5%
Under 2.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.2%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-0 ✓
9.1%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
6.2%
0-0
4.7%
Sibenik goals ↓
Solin goals →
01234
04.7%2.3%1.1%0.3%0.1%
19.1%8.2%2.8%0.7%0.1%
212%9.2%3.5%0.9%0.2%
310%7.5%2.8%0.7%0.1%
46.2%4.7%1.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sibenik goals (down), columns = Solin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sibenik
2.48
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.45
Vukovar
1.76
Sesvete
1.27
Jarun
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Dugopolje
1.12
Orijent 1919
1.11
Croatia Zmijavci
1.09
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.03
Solin
0.73
Kustosija
0.00
Sibenik is 1.76 points better than Solin in terms of average points per game (2.48 vs 0.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sibenik
2.06
Vukovar
1.70
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.61
Croatia Zmijavci
1.18
Dugopolje
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
Orijent 1919
1.09
Jarun
1.06
Solin
1.00
Kustosija
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Sibenik is 1.06 goals better than Solin in terms of goals scored per game (2.06 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sibenik
0.55
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.55
Vukovar
1.09
Sesvete
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Dugopolje
1.36
Jarun
1.39
Orijent 1919
1.43
Croatia Zmijavci
1.45
Solin
1.52
HNK Cibalia
1.73
Kustosija
2.00
Sibenik is 0.97 goals better than Solin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.55 vs 1.52).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SibenikSibenik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W31W10W00D01L00D21W00D11DH·BSK26/08H·ZRI01/09A·ORI09/09H·HNK18/09A·SES23/09H·DUG02/10A·CRO08/10H·DUB14/10A·JAR23/10A·VUK28/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.670.730.530.33
vs Stronger (6)0.500.501.000.670.000.33
vs Similar (24)0.620.540.580.750.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SolinSolin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D01L11D00D11D10W20W00DA·ZRI26/08H·ORI02/09A·HNK10/09H·SES16/09A·DUG22/09H·CRO30/09A·DUB09/10H·JAR14/10A·VUK21/10A·BSK28/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.380.500.641.00
vs Stronger (3)1.001.671.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.460.650.360.500.580.83
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SibenikSibenik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W10W14L10W01L10W00D20W30W00DH·BSK26/08H·ZRI01/09A·ORI09/09H·HNK18/09A·SES23/09H·DUG02/10A·CRO08/10H·DUB14/10A·JAR23/10A·VUK28/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.001.000.800.471.20
vs Stronger (6)0.331.830.671.330.002.33
vs Similar (24)0.830.791.080.670.580.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SolinSolin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L30W13L00D00D00D00D01L02L11DA·ZRI26/08H·ORI02/09A·HNK10/09H·SES16/09A·DUG22/09H·CRO30/09A·DUB09/10H·JAR14/10A·VUK21/10A·BSK28/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.101.120.880.501.36
vs Stronger (3)0.332.001.004.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.921.001.210.640.581.42
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.9%-------✗ Miss
Home win74.3%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Sibenik · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Santini19%
Lovre KuluÅĄić15%
Ivan Laća12%
Jakov Anton Vasilj12%
Å ime GrÅūan8%
Morrison Agyemang6%
Josip Majić5%
Ante Kavelj4%
Leonard Å―uta4%
Stefan Perić3%
Ivan BoÅūić3%
Roberto Punčec0%
Ivan Delić0%
Ivan Filipović0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Ivan Roca0%
Josip Gačić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Antonio JakoliÅĄ0%
Zoran NiÅūić0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Iker Pozo0%
Bruno Zdunić0%
Elvir Duraković0%
Ognjen Bakić0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Ivan Baković0%
Marin Prekodravac0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josip Gačić60%
Iker Pozo37%
Ivan Santini35%
Zoran NiÅūić25%
Josip Majić23%
Stefan Perić21%
Ivan BoÅūić20%
Marin Prekodravac19%
Lovro Cvek19%
Ognjen Bakić19%
Morrison Agyemang16%
Roberto Punčec16%
Antonio Đaković15%
Leonard Å―uta15%
Ivan Filipović14%
Ivan Roca14%
Jakov Anton Vasilj12%
Å ime GrÅūan12%
Ante Kavelj9%
Bruno Zdunić8%
Elvir Duraković6%
Toni Kolega4%
Lovre KuluÅĄić4%
Ivan Delić0%
Antonio JakoliÅĄ0%
Ivan Laća0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Ivan Baković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Laća12%
Josip Majić9%
Ivan BoÅūić7%
Elvir Duraković6%
Marin Prekodravac5%
Toni Kolega4%
Å ime GrÅūan4%
Leonard Å―uta4%
Ivan Santini3%
Morrison Agyemang3%
Stefan Perić0%
Roberto Punčec0%
Ivan Delić0%
Ivan Filipović0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Ivan Roca0%
Josip Gačić0%
Antonio JakoliÅĄ0%
Zoran NiÅūić0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Iker Pozo0%
Jakov Anton Vasilj0%
Bruno Zdunić0%
Ognjen Bakić0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Ivan Baković0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Lovre KuluÅĄić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Santini26%
Josip Majić9%
Ivan BoÅūić7%
Ivan Roca5%
Ivan Laća4%
Å ime GrÅūan4%
Lovre KuluÅĄić4%
Stefan Perić0%
Roberto Punčec0%
Ivan Delić0%
Ivan Filipović0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Gačić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Antonio JakoliÅĄ0%
Leonard Å―uta0%
Zoran NiÅūić0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Iker Pozo0%
Jakov Anton Vasilj0%
Bruno Zdunić0%
Elvir Duraković0%
Ognjen Bakić0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Ivan Baković0%
Marin Prekodravac0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Morrison Agyemang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SIB wins
0
Draws
0
SOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sibenik vs Solin · H/A from SIB
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/23ASolin Vs SIB2-3

SibenikSibenik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23AVukovar Vs SIB1-1
23/10/23AJarun Vs SIB0-3
14/10/23HSIB Vs Dubrava Zagreb4-1
08/10/23ACroatia Zmijavci Vs SIB0-0
02/10/23HSIB Vs Dugopolje1-1
23/09/23ASesvete Vs SIB1-0
18/09/23HSIB Vs HNK Cibalia2-0
09/09/23AOrijent 1919 Vs SIB5-4
01/09/23HSIB Vs Zrinski Jurjevac3-0
26/08/23HSIB Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo3-0

SolinSolin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs SOL1-1
21/10/23AVukovar Vs SOL2-2
14/10/23HSOL Vs Jarun1-1
09/10/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs SOL1-1
30/09/23HSOL Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-0
22/09/23ADugopolje Vs SOL1-1
16/09/23HSOL Vs Sesvete0-1
10/09/23AHNK Cibalia Vs SOL3-1
02/09/23HSOL Vs Orijent 19194-1
26/08/23AZrinski Jurjevac Vs SOL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sibenik
Sibenik
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD1.06
HomeWWWDW1.21
AwayLLDWD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%33%17%
AVG goals2.462.752.17
Over 1.5 %73%88%58%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %21%25%17%
Scored1.061.290.83
Conceded1.401.461.33
BTTS40%50%29%
Clean Sheet31%25%38%
Corners8.947.5010.39
Cards4.734.614.87
Solin
Solin
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDD1.18
HomeLWLDD1.48
AwayLDDDD0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%39%18%
AVG goals2.932.743.14
Over 1.5 %78%70%86%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %38%35%41%
Scored1.331.571.09
Conceded1.601.172.05
BTTS51%43%59%
Clean Sheet24%35%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SibenikSibenik3382
79%
2.5
6818+50
2.6
73%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.5
-
2Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac3381
79%
2.5
5318+35
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.5
-
3VukovarVukovar3358
48%
1.8
5636+20
2.8
79%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
4SesveteSesvete3342
36%
1.3
3641-5
2.3
67%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.2
-
5JarunJarun3340
33%
1.2
3546-11
2.5
70%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193539
26%
1.1
3850-12
2.5
60%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.4
-
7Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3338
30%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
73%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
8DugopoljeDugopolje3337
24%
1.1
3845-7
2.5
82%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
9HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3337
33%
1.1
3757-20
2.8
76%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
10Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3336
24%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3334
21%
1.0
3044-14
2.2
64%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.3
-
12SolinSolin3324
12%
0.7
3350-17
2.5
73%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
13KustosijaKustosija20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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