This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Solin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.60
1.07
1.47
0.93
1.73
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.25
1.00
2.33
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.96
1.50
1.08
1.25
0.86
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.3%
No
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
15.4%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
10.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-1 â
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
5.3%
Sibenik goals ↓
Solin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
3.4%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
1
14%
9.4%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
2
15%
8.7%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
3
10%
5.9%
1.7%
0.3%
0.0%
4
5.3%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sibenik goals (down), columns = Solin goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Sibenik
2.48
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.45
Vukovar
1.76
Sesvete
1.27
Jarun
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Dugopolje
1.12
Orijent 1919
1.11
Croatia Zmijavci
1.09
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.03
Solin
0.73
Kustosija
0.00
Sibenik is 1.76 points better than Solin in terms of average points per game (2.48 vs 0.73).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sibenik
2.06
Vukovar
1.70
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.61
Croatia Zmijavci
1.18
Dugopolje
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
Orijent 1919
1.09
Jarun
1.06
Solin
1.00
Kustosija
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Sibenik is 1.06 goals better than Solin in terms of goals scored per game (2.06 vs 1.00).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sibenik
0.55
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.55
Vukovar
1.09
Sesvete
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Dugopolje
1.36
Jarun
1.39
Orijent 1919
1.43
Croatia Zmijavci
1.45
Solin
1.52
HNK Cibalia
1.73
Kustosija
2.00
Sibenik is 0.97 goals better than Solin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.55 vs 1.52).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sibenik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.67
0.20
0.80
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.29
0.67
0.20
0.92
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Solin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.33
0.53
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
0.33
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.42
0.54
0.33
0.42
0.50
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sibenik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
1.20
0.40
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
1.07
0.50
1.20
0.40
0.92
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Solin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.03
0.73
0.93
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.96
0.75
0.83
0.36
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home win
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Sibenik · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Santini19%
Lovre KuluÅĄiÄ15%
Ivan LaÄa12%
Jakov Anton Vasilj12%
Å ime GrÅūan8%
Morrison Agyemang6%
Josip MajiÄ5%
Ante Kavelj4%
Leonard Å―uta4%
Stefan PeriÄ3%
Ivan BoÅūiÄ3%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Ivan DeliÄ0%
Ivan FilipoviÄ0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Ivan Roca0%
Josip GaÄiÄ0%
Toni Kolega0%
Antonio JakoliÅĄ0%
Zoran NiÅūiÄ0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Iker Pozo0%
Bruno ZduniÄ0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Ognjen BakiÄ0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje DujmoviÄ0%
Ivan BakoviÄ0%
Marin Prekodravac0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josip GaÄiÄ60%
Iker Pozo37%
Ivan Santini35%
Zoran NiÅūiÄ25%
Josip MajiÄ23%
Stefan PeriÄ21%
Ivan BoÅūiÄ20%
Marin Prekodravac19%
Lovro Cvek19%
Ognjen BakiÄ19%
Morrison Agyemang16%
Roberto PunÄec16%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ15%
Leonard Å―uta15%
Ivan FilipoviÄ14%
Ivan Roca14%
Jakov Anton Vasilj12%
Å ime GrÅūan12%
Ante Kavelj9%
Bruno ZduniÄ8%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Toni Kolega4%
Lovre KuluÅĄiÄ4%
Ivan DeliÄ0%
Antonio JakoliÅĄ0%
Ivan LaÄa0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje DujmoviÄ0%
Ivan BakoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan LaÄa12%
Josip MajiÄ9%
Ivan BoÅūiÄ7%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Marin Prekodravac5%
Toni Kolega4%
Å ime GrÅūan4%
Leonard Å―uta4%
Ivan Santini3%
Morrison Agyemang3%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Ivan DeliÄ0%
Ivan FilipoviÄ0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Ivan Roca0%
Josip GaÄiÄ0%
Antonio JakoliÅĄ0%
Zoran NiÅūiÄ0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Iker Pozo0%
Jakov Anton Vasilj0%
Bruno ZduniÄ0%
Ognjen BakiÄ0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje DujmoviÄ0%
Ivan BakoviÄ0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Lovre KuluÅĄiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Santini26%
Josip MajiÄ9%
Ivan BoÅūiÄ7%
Ivan Roca5%
Ivan LaÄa4%
Å ime GrÅūan4%
Lovre KuluÅĄiÄ4%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Ivan DeliÄ0%
Ivan FilipoviÄ0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip GaÄiÄ0%
Toni Kolega0%
Antonio JakoliÅĄ0%
Leonard Å―uta0%
Zoran NiÅūiÄ0%
Lovro Cvek0%
Iker Pozo0%
Jakov Anton Vasilj0%
Bruno ZduniÄ0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Ognjen BakiÄ0%
Carlos Torres0%
Duje DujmoviÄ0%
Ivan BakoviÄ0%
Marin Prekodravac0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Morrison Agyemang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Croatia: First NL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →