This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.20
1.69
0.88
2.29
1.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
2.00
1.00
1.25
0.50
2.75
1.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.95
1.27
1.83
1.00
2.10
1.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.6%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.7%
@ 1.50+4.0%
Under 2.5
33.3%
@ 2.52-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.0%
Under 3.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
SK Beveren goals ↓
Genk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
6.2%
7.8%
5.7%
3.1%
1
3.1%
9.6%
9.6%
7.1%
3.9%
2
2.5%
5.4%
6.0%
4.4%
2.4%
3
1.0%
2.2%
2.5%
1.8%
1.0%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SK Beveren goals (down), columns = Genk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.41
Gent
1.90
Charleroi
1.86
Antwerp
1.83
Standard Liege
1.69
Genk
1.52
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.24
Mouscron
1.24
Kortrijk
1.14
St. Truiden
1.14
Eupen
1.03
Cercle Brugge
0.79
Oostende
0.76
SK Beveren
0.69
SK Beveren is 0.83 points worse than Genk in terms of average points per game (0.69 vs 1.52).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gent
2.03
Club Brugge KV
2.00
Charleroi
1.69
Antwerp
1.69
Standard Liege
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
Anderlecht
1.55
Genk
1.55
Zulte Waregem
1.41
Kortrijk
1.38
Mouscron
1.31
St. Truiden
1.14
Oostende
1.00
Eupen
0.97
Cercle Brugge
0.93
SK Beveren
0.72
SK Beveren is 0.83 goals worse than Genk in terms of goals scored per game (0.72 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.48
Charleroi
0.79
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.10
Standard Liege
1.10
Gent
1.17
Mouscron
1.38
Genk
1.45
KV Mechelen
1.48
Kortrijk
1.52
Zulte Waregem
1.69
St. Truiden
1.72
Eupen
1.76
Cercle Brugge
1.86
Oostende
2.00
SK Beveren
2.07
SK Beveren is 0.62 goals worse than Genk in terms of goals conceded per game (2.07 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SK Beveren
For 4.2 · Against 7.9 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 16.3 · Total 32.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Genk
For 6.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 18.7 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SK Beveren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.0
11.5
4.7
5.1
4.3
32.7
30.0
34.0
vs Stronger (24)
11.2
10.2
12.5
5.0
5.8
4.1
30.5
30.0
31.0
vs Similar (15)
10.7
10.0
11.6
3.9
4.2
3.6
-
-
-
vs Weaker (11)
9.6
9.2
9.9
5.0
4.5
5.3
37.0
-
37.0
% over line
62%
52%
72%
66%
76%
56%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
38%
48%
28%
34%
24%
44%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.6
9.7
4.5
4.9
4.0
30.7
32.5
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
10.6
10.9
10.2
4.7
5.0
4.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (38)
10.0
10.5
9.6
4.4
4.8
4.0
30.7
32.5
27.0
% over line
54%
58%
50%
74%
77%
71%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
46%
42%
50%
26%
23%
29%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kortrijk
10.9
Eupen
10.9
Gent
10.8
SK Beveren
10.7
Club Brugge KV
10.3
Genk
10.2
Standard Liege
10.1
Antwerp
9.9
Oostende
9.8
Anderlecht
9.8
St. Truiden
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Mouscron
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.5
KV Mechelen
9.5
Charleroi
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.4
Gent
5.2
St. Truiden
5.0
Cercle Brugge
5.0
Antwerp
4.9
Zulte Waregem
4.8
KV Mechelen
4.8
Oostende
4.8
Anderlecht
4.8
Mouscron
4.8
Charleroi
4.8
SK Beveren
4.7
Genk
4.5
Eupen
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.4
Kortrijk
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Zulte Waregem
36.0
Charleroi
36.0
Kortrijk
34.3
Standard Liege
33.3
SK Beveren
32.7
Gent
32.3
Mouscron
31.3
St. Truiden
31.3
Cercle Brugge
31.0
Genk
30.7
Eupen
30.5
Club Brugge KV
30.0
Antwerp
29.0
Anderlecht
28.3
KV Mechelen
28.3
Oostende
28.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.8%
Under 9.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.3%
Under 3.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
96.2%
Under 21.5
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.33
0.47
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
0.57
0.43
0.43
0.71
0.71
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.78
0.20
0.60
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.29
0.33
0.33
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.56
0.50
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.25
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (22)
0.73
0.55
0.58
0.58
0.90
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.17
0.87
1.20
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (14)
0.79
1.43
0.71
1.14
0.86
1.71
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.22
1.20
1.60
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.57
0.67
0.67
0.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.60
1.12
0.38
1.43
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.38
0.25
0.75
0.25
2.00
0.25
vs Weaker (22)
1.23
0.73
1.25
0.42
1.20
1.10
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SK Beveren · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Lokesa25%
Yoni Gomis25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Christian Brüls0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jearl Margaritha67%
Sieben Dewaele50%
Christophe Janssens25%
Christian Brüls25%
Chris Lokesa25%
Yoni Gomis25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Brüls25%
Ferre Slegers25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Christian Brüls0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Genk · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafiu Durosinmi100%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo67%
Junya Ito33%
Joris Kayembe33%
Ayumu Yokoyama33%
Aaron Bibout33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daan Heymans67%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeppe Erenbjerg67%
Junya Ito33%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
SK Beveren's squad is €101m less valuable than Genk's (€12m vs €113m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
SK Beveren's attack is €35m less valuable than Genk's (€4m vs €39m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
SK Beveren's midfield is €16m less valuable than Genk's (€3m vs €19m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
SK Beveren's defence is €50m less valuable than Genk's (€5m vs €55m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Gent
Charleroi
Antwerp
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
Oostende