This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.17
1.81
1.12
1.00
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.46
1.19
1.93
1.21
0.92
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
SK Beveren goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
5.4%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
1
12%
12%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.6%
4.1%
1.1%
0.2%
3
6.5%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
0.1%
4
2.8%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SK Beveren goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
SK Beveren is 1.09 points better than Liège in terms of average points per game (2.75 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
SK Beveren is 0.94 goals better than Liège in terms of goals scored per game (2.31 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
SK Beveren is 0.50 goals better than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (0.72 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
SK Beveren is 11.1 percentage points better than Liège in terms of average possession (56% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SK Beveren
For 5.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 14.1 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SK Beveren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.1
9.8
3.3
3.0
3.6
23.3
22.6
23.8
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
9.8
9.9
9.8
3.6
3.3
3.9
23.5
23.1
23.9
vs Weaker (4)
11.5
14.0
9.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
18.5
15.0
22.0
% over line
46%
59%
35%
42%
36%
48%
57%
53%
60%
% under line
54%
41%
65%
58%
64%
52%
43%
47%
40%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.3
11.2
3.8
3.5
4.1
25.7
26.3
25.1
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.7
10.0
11.4
4.0
3.8
4.3
25.4
26.2
24.6
vs Weaker (4)
11.0
16.0
6.0
1.8
2.0
1.5
32.0
29.0
35.0
% over line
54%
42%
65%
56%
62%
50%
77%
79%
75%
% under line
46%
58%
35%
44%
38%
50%
23%
21%
25%
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
11.0
Liège
10.7
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
Kortrijk
10.1
SK Beveren
9.9
Francs Borains
9.7
RSC Anderlecht II
9.7
RWDM
9.7
Olympic Charleroi
9.6
AS Eupen
9.6
KAA Gent II
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.5
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Lommel United
9.0
Seraing United
9.0
Patro Eisden
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.7
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.0
Liège
5.0
RSC Anderlecht II
4.8
Beerschot VA
4.8
SK Beveren
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
Kortrijk
4.5
Club Brugge II
4.4
RWDM
4.3
Lommel United
4.1
Olympic Charleroi
4.0
KAA Gent II
3.9
KRC Genk II
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.4
RSC Anderlecht II
27.7
K. Lierse S.K.
27.4
Francs Borains
27.0
Club Brugge II
26.8
KAA Gent II
26.6
Liège
25.9
AS Eupen
25.6
Seraing United
25.6
KRC Genk II
25.4
Lommel United
25.0
RWDM
24.7
Olympic Charleroi
24.7
SK Beveren
24.1
Kortrijk
23.8
Beerschot VA
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.9%
Under 9.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.2%
Under 3.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
72.9%
Under 21.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
0.73
0.40
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.38
0.67
0.33
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.47
1.06
0.50
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.50
1.07
0.57
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.43
1.13
0.33
1.67
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.46
0.46
1.25
0.33
1.64
0.57
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.75
0.62
0.29
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.69
0.86
0.64
0.33
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SK Beveren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lennart Mertens48%
Kurt Abrahams40%
Ferre Slegers26%
Christian Brüls25%
Ilyes Najim25%
Jearl Margaritha18%
Chris Lokesa18%
Jannes Van Hecke10%
Viktor Boone6%
Bruno Godeau5%
Dante Rigo0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Laurent Jans0%
Beau Reus0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Abdul Ouedraogo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christophe Janssens40%
Sieben Dewaele29%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona25%
Lennart Mertens19%
Chris Lokesa18%
Guillaume De Schryver18%
Ferre Slegers16%
Bruno Godeau11%
Jannes Van Hecke10%
Laurent Jans9%
Viktor Boone6%
Christian Brüls5%
Kurt Abrahams5%
Beau Reus5%
Dante Rigo0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Abdul Ouedraogo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jearl Margaritha50%
Christian Brüls35%
Jannes Van Hecke14%
Ferre Slegers11%
Christophe Janssens10%
Lennart Mertens10%
Chris Lokesa9%
Guillaume De Schryver6%
Viktor Boone6%
Laurent Jans5%
Dante Rigo0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Beau Reus0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Abdul Ouedraogo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lennart Mertens76%
Jearl Margaritha27%
Christian Brüls20%
Kurt Abrahams20%
Ferre Slegers16%
Viktor Boone6%
Christophe Janssens5%
Jannes Van Hecke5%
Dante Rigo0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Laurent Jans0%
Beau Reus0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Abdul Ouedraogo0%
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frederic Soelle Soelle33%
Simon Paulet25%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Alexis De Sart12%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Kevin Shkurti7%
Jonathan D'Ostilio6%
Abian Arslan6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Benoit Bruggeman5%
Reno Wilmots0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin45%
Oumar Diouf30%
Reno Wilmots26%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Stephen Reynaerts25%
Kevin Shkurti21%
Alexis Lefebvre19%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Victor Corneillie14%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Martin Wasinski8%
Abian Arslan6%
Alexis De Sart6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Kylian Hazard0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Eric N'jo0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Wasinski21%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Eric N'jo14%
Jonathan D'Ostilio12%
Kylian Hazard11%
Oumar Diouf10%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Alexis De Sart6%
Reno Wilmots4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Abian Arslan0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frederic Soelle Soelle22%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Alexis Lefebvre10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Simon Paulet8%
Alexis De Sart0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Abian Arslan0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Kortrijk
Beerschot VA
Lommel United
Patro Eisden
AS Eupen
Lokeren-Temse
KAA Gent II
K. Lierse S.K.
RWDM
Seraing United
Francs Borains
RSC Anderlecht II
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
Olympic Charleroi