This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.00
1.79
0.64
1.44
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.59
1.24
1.62
0.50
1.56
1.89
vs Weaker (13)
1.62
0.69
2.00
0.83
1.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.3%
Under 2.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.9%
No
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
SK Beveren goals ↓
Lommel United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
4.2%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
1
8.0%
11%
5.7%
2.1%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.9%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.7%
6.4%
3.6%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.8%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SK Beveren goals (down), columns = Lommel United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
SK Beveren is 0.26 points worse than Lommel United in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
SK Beveren is 0.18 goals worse than Lommel United in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.65).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
SK Beveren is 0.33 goals worse than Lommel United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
SK Beveren is 4.1 percentage points worse than Lommel United in terms of average possession (55% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SK Beveren
For 9.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 14.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lommel United
For 4.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SK Beveren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.3
10.3
1.1
1.0
1.2
24.4
23.4
25.5
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
22.0
22.0
-
vs Similar (43)
10.9
11.5
10.3
1.3
1.2
1.3
24.6
23.7
25.5
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
69%
86%
50%
16%
16%
16%
69%
71%
67%
% under line
31%
14%
50%
84%
84%
84%
31%
29%
33%
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
10.0
10.0
10.0
0.6
0.5
0.7
23.7
23.7
23.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
10.5
12.0
10.0
0.8
0.4
1.1
25.5
31.0
23.7
vs Weaker (17)
9.0
9.0
-
0.4
0.7
0.0
20.0
20.0
-
% over line
50%
67%
33%
12%
10%
14%
67%
67%
67%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
88%
90%
86%
33%
33%
33%
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
K. Lierse S.K.
13.5
Liège
12.7
Club Brugge II
11.4
Beerschot VA
11.0
KRC Genk II
10.7
Deinze
10.6
SK Beveren
10.5
Oostende
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.1
Lommel United
10.0
Standard Liège II
9.6
Seraing United
9.4
RSC Anderlecht II
9.4
Dender
9.3
Patro Eisden
9.0
Francs Borains
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
K. Lierse S.K.
6.8
RSC Anderlecht II
6.6
KRC Genk II
6.4
Seraing United
6.4
Dender
6.3
Patro Eisden
6.0
Standard Liège II
5.9
Francs Borains
5.6
Liège
5.5
Beerschot VA
5.0
Oostende
4.6
Lommel United
4.5
Deinze
4.3
Zulte Waregem
4.3
SK Beveren
4.2
Club Brugge II
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Patro Eisden
31.7
Dender
30.9
Seraing United
29.9
Deinze
29.1
RSC Anderlecht II
28.9
KRC Genk II
28.7
Francs Borains
27.9
Standard Liège II
27.6
K. Lierse S.K.
26.3
Beerschot VA
25.4
SK Beveren
25.1
Club Brugge II
24.9
Oostende
24.2
Liège
24.0
Lommel United
23.7
Zulte Waregem
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.4%
Under 9.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
79.4%
Under 3.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
83.8%
Under 21.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.87
0.53
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.46
0.92
0.54
0.69
0.38
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
0.64
0.21
0.69
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.35
0.25
0.00
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.31
1.17
0.50
0.29
0.14
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.60
1.53
0.53
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.27
0.65
1.62
0.62
0.92
0.69
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.14
0.43
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.88
1.38
0.50
0.56
1.22
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
0.38
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SK Beveren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Goduine Koyalipou44%
Taofeek Ismaheel24%
Anthony Limbombe17%
Sheldon Bateau13%
Erdon Daci11%
David Hrnčár10%
Jakov Filipović8%
Jenthe Mertens8%
Jay-Dee Geusens5%
Mathis Servais5%
Dries Wuytens5%
Kylian Hazard0%
Sander Coopman0%
Louis Verstraete0%
Petar Vitanov0%
Beau Reus0%
Everton Luiz0%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili0%
Bryan Goncalves0%
Gabriel Kyeremateng0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Tiago Cukur0%
Yousef Salech0%
Hüseyin Ertürk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Everton Luiz36%
Louis Verstraete35%
Bryan Goncalves30%
Petar Vitanov25%
Anthony Limbombe25%
Jenthe Mertens23%
Tiago Cukur23%
Jay-Dee Geusens21%
Jakov Filipović21%
Sheldon Bateau13%
Erdon Daci11%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili11%
Dries Wuytens10%
Goduine Koyalipou8%
Beau Reus8%
Taofeek Ismaheel8%
Mathis Servais5%
Kylian Hazard0%
Sander Coopman0%
David Hrnčár0%
Gabriel Kyeremateng0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Yousef Salech0%
Hüseyin Ertürk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anthony Limbombe29%
Bryan Goncalves22%
David Hrnčár20%
Jenthe Mertens15%
Tiago Cukur15%
Petar Vitanov12%
Erdon Daci11%
Jakov Filipović8%
Taofeek Ismaheel8%
Yousef Salech7%
Jay-Dee Geusens5%
Mathis Servais5%
Louis Verstraete5%
Sheldon Bateau4%
Kylian Hazard0%
Sander Coopman0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
Dries Wuytens0%
Beau Reus0%
Everton Luiz0%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili0%
Gabriel Kyeremateng0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Hüseyin Ertürk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Goduine Koyalipou52%
Erdon Daci33%
David Hrnčár15%
Yousef Salech14%
Taofeek Ismaheel12%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili11%
Jay-Dee Geusens11%
Bryan Goncalves4%
Anthony Limbombe4%
Sheldon Bateau0%
Kylian Hazard0%
Sander Coopman0%
Louis Verstraete0%
Jakov Filipović0%
Jenthe Mertens0%
Petar Vitanov0%
Dries Wuytens0%
Beau Reus0%
Everton Luiz0%
Gabriel Kyeremateng0%
Mathis Servais0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Tiago Cukur0%
Hüseyin Ertürk0%
Lommel United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Arthur Sales38%
Igor Vetokele36%
Zalán Vancsa30%
Lucas Schoofs26%
Leon Lalić25%
Diego Rosa18%
Karim Dermane12%
Juho Talvitie11%
Dries Wouters8%
Amar Ahmed7%
Sam De Grand5%
Kluiverth Aguilar4%
Jari De Busser0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Alex Granell0%
Rob Nizet0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Jamal Baptiste0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Henry Oware0%
Álvaro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leon Lalić50%
Rob Nizet43%
Alex Granell33%
Henry Oware33%
Karim Dermane32%
Sam De Grand30%
Dries Wouters24%
Lucas Schoofs19%
Diego Rosa18%
Jesper Tolinsson13%
Zalán Vancsa11%
Yeboah Amankwah10%
Arthur Sales10%
Kluiverth Aguilar8%
Juho Talvitie7%
Jari De Busser0%
Igor Vetokele0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Jamal Baptiste0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Amar Ahmed0%
Álvaro Santos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sam De Grand25%
Leon Lalić25%
Alex Granell21%
Lucas Schoofs19%
Diego Rosa18%
Zalán Vancsa11%
Karim Dermane8%
Juho Talvitie7%
Arthur Sales5%
Kluiverth Aguilar4%
Dries Wouters0%
Jari De Busser0%
Igor Vetokele0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Rob Nizet0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Jamal Baptiste0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Amar Ahmed0%
Henry Oware0%
Álvaro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arthur Sales38%
Zalán Vancsa22%
Lucas Schoofs19%
Igor Vetokele18%
Diego Rosa9%
Juho Talvitie7%
Dries Wouters0%
Jari De Busser0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Alex Granell0%
Kluiverth Aguilar0%
Rob Nizet0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Jamal Baptiste0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Karim Dermane0%
Sam De Grand0%
Amar Ahmed0%
Leon Lalić0%
Henry Oware0%
Álvaro Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
ZW (27)
€20m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
SK Beveren's squad is €14m less valuable than Lommel United's (€12m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
SK Beveren's attack is €3m less valuable than Lommel United's (€4m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
ZW (4)
€4m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
FB (5)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
SK Beveren's midfield is €12m less valuable than Lommel United's (€3m vs €15m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (13)
€9m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
SK Beveren and Lommel United have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
Liège
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II