This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.30
1.79
1.36
1.62
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.22
1.11
1.22
1.44
1.22
vs Weaker (12)
2.33
1.42
3.00
1.60
1.86
1.29
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-0 ✓
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
SK Beveren goals ↓
Lommel United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.4%
3.8%
1.5%
0.4%
1
8.4%
12%
6.5%
2.6%
0.8%
2
8.2%
9.6%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
3
4.7%
5.5%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.0%
2.4%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SK Beveren goals (down), columns = Lommel United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
SK Beveren is 1.09 points better than Lommel United in terms of average points per game (2.75 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
SK Beveren is 0.47 goals better than Lommel United in terms of goals scored per game (2.31 vs 1.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
SK Beveren is 0.72 goals better than Lommel United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.72 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
SK Beveren is 0.4 percentage points better than Lommel United in terms of average possession (56% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SK Beveren
For 8.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lommel United
For 4.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SK Beveren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.7
3.5
3.3
3.7
23.8
24.3
23.3
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
9.9
10.0
9.7
3.8
3.7
3.9
23.8
24.3
23.4
vs Weaker (3)
9.0
-
9.0
0.7
0.0
1.0
22.0
-
22.0
% over line
47%
59%
37%
46%
42%
50%
58%
59%
58%
% under line
53%
41%
63%
54%
58%
50%
42%
41%
42%
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.1
10.0
3.4
3.6
3.2
24.8
24.9
24.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
8.7
7.7
9.8
3.1
3.4
2.9
24.6
24.9
24.2
vs Weaker (21)
9.6
8.6
10.4
3.8
3.9
3.6
25.1
24.9
25.3
% over line
37%
25%
48%
46%
58%
35%
66%
75%
57%
% under line
63%
75%
52%
54%
42%
65%
34%
25%
43%
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Beerschot VA
10.7
Liège
10.6
KRC Genk II
10.2
RWDM
10.1
Kortrijk
10.0
SK Beveren
9.8
AS Eupen
9.5
RSC Anderlecht II
9.5
Seraing United
9.5
Francs Borains
9.5
Patro Eisden
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.4
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
KAA Gent II
9.1
Lommel United
9.0
Olympic Charleroi
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
Patro Eisden
5.8
Francs Borains
5.7
K. Lierse S.K.
5.7
Seraing United
5.3
SK Beveren
5.0
Liège
5.0
RSC Anderlecht II
4.9
AS Eupen
4.8
Beerschot VA
4.5
Kortrijk
4.5
Club Brugge II
4.5
RWDM
4.4
Lommel United
4.4
Olympic Charleroi
4.3
KRC Genk II
4.2
KAA Gent II
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Patro Eisden
28.4
Lokeren-Temse
28.2
K. Lierse S.K.
27.2
Francs Borains
27.2
RSC Anderlecht II
27.1
Club Brugge II
26.5
KAA Gent II
26.5
Seraing United
26.3
KRC Genk II
25.8
Liège
25.6
Olympic Charleroi
25.6
AS Eupen
25.4
Lommel United
24.7
RWDM
24.4
SK Beveren
24.3
Kortrijk
23.3
Beerschot VA
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.9%
Under 3.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.0%
Under 21.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.56
0.50
1.00
0.36
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.41
0.50
0.43
0.85
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.79
0.64
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.33
0.56
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
1.00
1.20
1.20
0.71
0.86
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SK Beveren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.50
1.12
0.44
1.50
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.33
0.52
1.21
0.43
1.46
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
1.00
0.71
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.89
0.56
0.89
0.78
0.89
vs Weaker (12)
1.42
0.42
1.80
0.40
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SK Beveren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lennart Mertens48%
Kurt Abrahams40%
Ferre Slegers26%
Christian Brüls25%
Ilyes Najim25%
Jearl Margaritha18%
Chris Lokesa18%
Jannes Van Hecke10%
Viktor Boone6%
Bruno Godeau5%
Dante Rigo0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Laurent Jans0%
Beau Reus0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Abdul Ouedraogo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christophe Janssens40%
Sieben Dewaele29%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona25%
Lennart Mertens19%
Chris Lokesa18%
Guillaume De Schryver18%
Ferre Slegers16%
Bruno Godeau11%
Jannes Van Hecke10%
Laurent Jans9%
Viktor Boone6%
Christian Brüls5%
Kurt Abrahams5%
Beau Reus5%
Dante Rigo0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Abdul Ouedraogo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jearl Margaritha50%
Christian Brüls35%
Jannes Van Hecke14%
Ferre Slegers11%
Christophe Janssens10%
Lennart Mertens10%
Chris Lokesa9%
Guillaume De Schryver6%
Viktor Boone6%
Laurent Jans5%
Dante Rigo0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Beau Reus0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Abdul Ouedraogo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lennart Mertens76%
Jearl Margaritha27%
Christian Brüls20%
Kurt Abrahams20%
Ferre Slegers16%
Viktor Boone6%
Christophe Janssens5%
Jannes Van Hecke5%
Dante Rigo0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Laurent Jans0%
Beau Reus0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Ilyes Najim0%
Dylan Dassy0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Abdul Ouedraogo0%
Lommel United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ralf Seuntjens46%
Lucas Schoofs34%
Robin van Duiven22%
Zalán Vancsa17%
Jason van Duiven15%
Tom Reyners14%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri12%
Sam De Grand11%
Joey Pelupessy11%
Dries Wouters10%
Nicolas Rommens8%
Jhon Banguera7%
Timothy Eyoma6%
Rubin Seigers0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Henry Oware0%
John Edwin Montaño0%
Lautaro López0%
Alexander Reumers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rubin Seigers25%
Jason van Duiven22%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri19%
Ralf Seuntjens18%
Jesper Tolinsson16%
Sam De Grand15%
Matthias Pieklak14%
Henry Oware13%
Lautaro López12%
Timothy Eyoma12%
Nicolas Rommens12%
Jhon Banguera11%
Robin van Duiven11%
Dries Wouters10%
Lucas Schoofs7%
Zalán Vancsa4%
Joey Pelupessy4%
Tom Reyners0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
John Edwin Montaño0%
Alexander Reumers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rubin Seigers50%
Tom Reyners31%
Sam De Grand30%
Ralf Seuntjens21%
Lucas Schoofs17%
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri15%
Lautaro López12%
Jason van Duiven11%
Robin van Duiven11%
Jesper Tolinsson5%
Nicolas Rommens4%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Dries Wouters0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Zalán Vancsa0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Jhon Banguera0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Henry Oware0%
John Edwin Montaño0%
Alexander Reumers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri23%
Tom Reyners21%
Ralf Seuntjens18%
Zalán Vancsa17%
Jason van Duiven15%
Robin van Duiven11%
Sam De Grand4%
Lucas Schoofs3%
Timothy Eyoma0%
Rubin Seigers0%
Dries Wouters0%
Nicolas Rommens0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Jhon Banguera0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Henry Oware0%
John Edwin Montaño0%
Lautaro López0%
Alexander Reumers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
AE (26)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KGI (19)
€6m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
RWD (7)
€2m
OC (11)
€2m
SK Beveren's squad is €14m less valuable than Lommel United's (€12m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOR (9)
€9m
LU (10)
€8m
AE (9)
€7m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KGI (7)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
PE (7)
€1m
RWD (2)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
OC (2)
€0m
SK Beveren's attack is €3m less valuable than Lommel United's (€4m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
KOR (5)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KGI (4)
€1m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
RWD (1)
€0m
OC (2)
€0m
SK Beveren's midfield is €12m less valuable than Lommel United's (€3m vs €15m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
OC (7)
€1m
RWD (4)
€1m
SK Beveren and Lommel United have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →