This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.37
1.21
1.29
2.19
1.44
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
3.33
1.00
3.00
3.00
4.00
vs Similar (15)
2.20
1.40
0.86
1.14
3.38
1.62
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.83
1.80
0.80
0.71
0.86
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.6%
0-0 ✓
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
Skalica goals ↓
Žilina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
7.7%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.8%
14%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
2
5.5%
7.1%
4.6%
2.0%
0.6%
3
2.0%
2.6%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skalica goals (down), columns = Žilina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.12
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.75
Žilina
1.62
Zemplín Michalovce
1.38
FK Košice
1.34
Podbrezová
1.31
AS Trencin
1.31
Ružomberok
1.09
Skalica
1.09
Komárno
1.00
Tatran Prešov
0.94
Skalica is 0.53 points worse than Žilina in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
1.94
Žilina
1.84
Podbrezová
1.72
Dunajska Streda
1.72
FK Košice
1.59
Spartak Trnava
1.59
Zemplín Michalovce
1.38
Komárno
1.06
Ružomberok
1.06
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.06
Tatran Prešov
0.91
Skalica is 0.78 goals worse than Žilina in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
1.06
Slovan Bratislava
1.16
Spartak Trnava
1.16
Žilina
1.28
Tatran Prešov
1.34
Skalica
1.41
Komárno
1.44
Ružomberok
1.56
Podbrezová
1.59
AS Trencin
1.59
Zemplín Michalovce
1.62
FK Košice
1.72
Skalica is 0.12 goals worse than Žilina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slovan Bratislava
59%
Spartak Trnava
56%
Dunajska Streda
53%
Zemplín Michalovce
52%
Podbrezová
51%
AS Trencin
51%
Žilina
50%
FK Košice
49%
Komárno
48%
Tatran Prešov
47%
Ružomberok
43%
Skalica
42%
Skalica is 7.8 percentage points worse than Žilina in terms of average possession (42% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Skalica
For 4.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
For 6.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Skalica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.3
10.0
4.3
4.4
4.3
27.9
27.8
28.0
vs Stronger (19)
8.5
7.1
10.1
4.0
4.0
4.0
28.4
28.7
28.1
vs Similar (31)
10.2
10.6
9.9
4.5
4.7
4.4
27.6
27.3
28.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
46%
57%
66%
67%
65%
89%
92%
87%
% under line
49%
54%
43%
34%
33%
35%
11%
8%
13%
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.1
9.9
3.4
3.6
3.2
26.3
25.8
26.8
vs Stronger (6)
9.7
11.7
7.7
3.0
3.3
2.7
27.0
24.7
29.3
vs Similar (24)
10.0
9.8
10.2
3.0
3.3
2.8
25.6
26.1
25.2
vs Weaker (20)
10.1
10.0
10.2
4.0
4.0
3.9
26.7
25.9
27.7
% over line
59%
59%
59%
50%
57%
44%
84%
77%
91%
% under line
41%
41%
41%
50%
43%
56%
16%
23%
9%
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slovan Bratislava
11.1
Podbrezová
10.6
AS Trencin
10.3
Komárno
10.3
Zemplín Michalovce
10.0
Dunajska Streda
9.9
FK Košice
9.9
Ružomberok
9.8
Žilina
9.6
Skalica
9.4
Tatran Prešov
9.3
Spartak Trnava
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tatran Prešov
5.0
Dunajska Streda
4.6
Skalica
4.6
Spartak Trnava
4.5
Komárno
4.5
Podbrezová
4.4
Zemplín Michalovce
4.4
Ružomberok
4.4
AS Trencin
4.2
Slovan Bratislava
4.2
Žilina
4.0
FK Košice
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tatran Prešov
28.0
Zemplín Michalovce
27.8
Skalica
27.6
Spartak Trnava
27.2
Dunajska Streda
26.6
Komárno
26.4
Žilina
25.9
Podbrezová
25.7
AS Trencin
25.7
Ružomberok
25.2
Slovan Bratislava
24.6
FK Košice
24.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.8%
Under 9.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.2%
Under 3.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.5%
Under 21.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Skalica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.29
0.29
0.50
1.19
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
1.23
0.40
0.60
0.38
1.62
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.41
0.22
0.11
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
0.50
0.57
1.38
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
1.33
0.73
0.57
0.71
2.00
0.75
vs Weaker (12)
0.50
0.33
0.60
0.20
0.43
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skalica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Skalica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.79
0.43
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.77
0.40
0.60
0.75
0.88
vs Similar (17)
1.00
0.41
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.71
0.71
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.67
0.29
0.43
1.38
0.88
vs Weaker (12)
0.67
0.50
1.20
0.60
0.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skalica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Skalica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Petr Pudhorocký24%
Roman Potočný23%
Adam Ravas20%
Marek Švec14%
Philip Onyedika14%
Erik Daniel13%
Tomáš Smejkal12%
Mário Hollý11%
Lukáš Šimko11%
Marek Ujlaky11%
Lukas Leginus8%
Samuel Suľa8%
Adam Morong7%
Mario Šuver6%
Damián Bariš6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Lukáš Fabiš0%
Marek Fábry0%
Martin Nagy0%
Sean Seitz0%
Martin Mášik0%
Martin Junas0%
Adam Gaži0%
Martin Černek0%
Abbati Abdullahi Samaila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Branislav Niňaj50%
Oliver Podhorín33%
Marek Ujlaky33%
Roman Potočný23%
Adam Gaži21%
Erik Daniel20%
Martin Mášik18%
Martin Junas16%
Adam Morong14%
Philip Onyedika14%
Tomáš Smejkal12%
Petr Pudhorocký12%
Damián Bariš11%
Mário Hollý11%
Lukáš Šimko11%
Abbati Abdullahi Samaila11%
Lukas Leginus8%
Samuel Suľa8%
Martin Nagy8%
Mario Šuver6%
Martin Černek6%
Lukáš Fabiš0%
Marek Fábry0%
Sean Seitz0%
Marek Švec0%
Adam Ravas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukáš Fabiš25%
Abbati Abdullahi Samaila22%
Tomáš Smejkal12%
Lukáš Šimko11%
Samuel Suľa8%
Roman Potočný8%
Martin Nagy8%
Adam Morong7%
Adam Gaži7%
Martin Mášik6%
Petr Pudhorocký6%
Martin Černek6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Erik Daniel0%
Marek Fábry0%
Damián Bariš0%
Mario Šuver0%
Sean Seitz0%
Lukas Leginus0%
Mário Hollý0%
Martin Junas0%
Marek Švec0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Adam Ravas0%
Philip Onyedika0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erik Daniel27%
Roman Potočný15%
Marek Švec14%
Abbati Abdullahi Samaila11%
Adam Morong7%
Petr Pudhorocký6%
Martin Černek6%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Lukáš Fabiš0%
Marek Fábry0%
Damián Bariš0%
Martin Nagy0%
Tomáš Smejkal0%
Mario Šuver0%
Sean Seitz0%
Lukas Leginus0%
Martin Mášik0%
Mário Hollý0%
Martin Junas0%
Lukáš Šimko0%
Adam Gaži0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Adam Ravas0%
Philip Onyedika0%
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Michal Faško25%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Ďatko18%
Marko Roginić16%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Samuel Kopásek11%
Miroslav Káčer11%
Xavier Adang11%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Regő Szánthó7%
Timotej Hranica7%
Filip Kaša6%
Patrik Iľko5%
Krisztián Bari5%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ridwan Sanusi67%
Miroslav Káčer26%
Filip Kaša25%
Lukas Prokop20%
Tobias Paliscak18%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Andrei Florea12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Xavier Adang11%
Jakub Badzgon10%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Samuel Ďatko6%
Regő Szánthó0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Michal Faško0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Kopásek22%
Michal Faško20%
Patrik Iľko16%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Regő Szánthó7%
Miroslav Káčer5%
Xavier Adang5%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Roginić21%
Michal Faško20%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Lukas Prokop10%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Krisztián Bari5%
Xavier Adang5%
Regő Szánthó0%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Miroslav Káčer0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
TP (19)
€2m
Skalica's squad is €10m less valuable than Žilina's (€2m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
Skalica's attack is €4m less valuable than Žilina's (€0m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
Skalica and Žilina have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
Skalica's defence is €5m less valuable than Žilina's (€1m vs €6m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Podbrezová
AS Trencin
Ružomberok
Komárno
Tatran Prešov