Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin Result & Analysis

Slask Wroclaw face Pogon Szczecin in a match the model favours an away win, with a 42% probability for Pogon, 29% for a home win and 29% for a draw. The expected total goals hover at 2.6, with the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.7% chance. Slask, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.55 conceded, while Pogon, on the road, averages 1.27 scored and 1.55 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 86.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 78.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 75.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.5%, Under 3.5 goals at 73.6%, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.3%. Each pick is listed with its probability and noted edge where applicable.

The draw shocked the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, which had a 42% chance. Slask Wroclaw and Pogon Szczecin finished 1-1, a result that the model missed. The game extended Slask’s recent run of draws, while Pogon returned to a draw after a win. The model’s selections performed unevenly: Over 2.5 cards hit at 86.2%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 78.9%, Under 11.5 corners missed at 75.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 74.5%, Under 3.5 hit at 73.6%, and Over 3.5 cards missed at 71.3%. The expected total of 2.6 goals, with 2 most likely, proved close to the 2-goal final tally.