This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.23
0.94
1.38
1.14
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.03
1.23
0.94
1.38
1.14
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.0%
Under 1.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.7%
Under 2.5
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.2%
Under 3.5
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.4%
No
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.7%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2 ✓
5.4%
Sligo Rovers goals ↓
Bohemians goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
11%
5.4%
1.5%
0.3%
1
14%
15%
5.8%
1.7%
0.4%
2
8.3%
7.2%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
3
3.0%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sligo Rovers goals (down), columns = Bohemians goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shelbourne
1.75
Shamrock Rovers
1.69
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.53
Galway United
1.44
Sligo Rovers
1.36
Waterford
1.25
Bohemians
1.17
Drogheda United
1.00
Dundalk
0.72
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Sligo Rovers is 0.19 points better than Bohemians in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
St Patrick's Athl.
1.42
Shamrock Rovers
1.39
Derry City
1.33
Waterford
1.19
Drogheda United
1.19
Shelbourne
1.11
Sligo Rovers
1.11
Bohemians
1.08
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Galway United
0.92
Dundalk
0.64
Sligo Rovers is 0.03 goals better than Bohemians in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shelbourne
0.75
Galway United
0.81
Derry City
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.97
St Patrick's Athl.
1.03
Bohemians
1.19
Waterford
1.31
Dundalk
1.39
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.59
Bray Wanderers
3.00
Sligo Rovers is 0.22 goals worse than Bohemians in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
St Patrick's Athl.
53%
Bohemians
52%
Waterford
50%
Dundalk
48%
Sligo Rovers
48%
Drogheda United
39%
Galway United
39%
Sligo Rovers is 4.6 percentage points worse than Bohemians in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sligo Rovers
For 4.9 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
For 5.0 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 10.9 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
4.9
5.4
4.5
26.2
26.9
25.6
vs Stronger (16)
9.9
9.6
10.2
6.3
7.3
5.6
26.9
27.9
26.2
vs Similar (34)
9.0
9.2
8.7
4.3
4.6
3.9
25.9
26.4
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
39%
50%
70%
75%
65%
89%
96%
83%
% under line
55%
61%
50%
30%
25%
35%
11%
4%
17%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.7
11.2
5.5
6.2
4.7
24.9
24.8
25.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
11.0
10.7
11.2
5.5
6.2
4.7
24.9
24.8
25.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
62%
64%
80%
92%
67%
77%
77%
77%
% under line
38%
38%
36%
20%
8%
33%
23%
23%
23%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
11.0
Shamrock Rovers
10.1
Waterford
10.1
St Patrick's Athl.
9.8
Derry City
9.7
Drogheda United
9.6
Galway United
9.4
Sligo Rovers
9.3
Shelbourne
8.7
Dundalk
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Shelbourne
6.1
Bohemians
5.9
Waterford
5.4
St Patrick's Athl.
5.4
Shamrock Rovers
5.4
Sligo Rovers
5.3
Derry City
5.2
Dundalk
5.1
Galway United
4.7
Drogheda United
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sligo Rovers
26.1
Shelbourne
25.5
Dundalk
25.2
Bohemians
24.9
St Patrick's Athl.
24.9
Waterford
24.9
Derry City
24.3
Galway United
24.2
Shamrock Rovers
23.7
Drogheda United
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.9%
Under 9.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
83.4%
Under 3.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.2%
Under 21.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.64
0.21
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.60
0.25
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.40
0.80
0.30
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.56
0.62
0.79
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.50
0.56
0.62
0.79
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.71
0.50
0.44
1.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.10
1.00
0.25
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.85
0.60
0.60
0.50
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.73
0.38
0.75
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.37
0.73
0.38
0.75
0.36
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sligo Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Wilson Waweru25%
Ellis Chapman21%
Fabrice Hartmann19%
Max Mata14%
Simon Power11%
Luke Pearce10%
Connor Malley9%
William Fitzgerald7%
Reece Hutchinson6%
Kailin Barlow4%
Niall Morahan3%
Stephen Mallon0%
Edward McGinty0%
John Ross Wilson0%
Stefan Radosavljević0%
Nando Pijnaker0%
Oliver Denham0%
Rein Smit0%
Charlie Wiggett0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Owen Elding0%
Gareth McElroy0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Reynolds75%
Nando Pijnaker50%
Niall Morahan38%
Gareth McElroy33%
Charlie Wiggett29%
John Ross Wilson28%
Oliver Denham24%
Reece Hutchinson23%
Connor Malley21%
Luke Pearce20%
Kyle McDonagh20%
Ellis Chapman18%
Rein Smit18%
Stephen Mallon17%
Fabrice Hartmann14%
Kailin Barlow12%
Simon Power11%
Jack Henry-Francis10%
Owen Elding10%
William Fitzgerald7%
Stefan Radosavljević7%
Edward McGinty6%
Wilson Waweru4%
Max Mata0%
Daire Patton0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fabrice Hartmann19%
Nando Pijnaker14%
Max Mata14%
Simon Power11%
William Fitzgerald10%
Jack Henry-Francis10%
Ellis Chapman9%
John Ross Wilson7%
Stefan Radosavljević7%
Oliver Denham6%
Charlie Wiggett5%
Wilson Waweru4%
Niall Morahan3%
Stephen Mallon0%
Connor Malley0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Edward McGinty0%
Luke Pearce0%
Rein Smit0%
Kailin Barlow0%
Owen Elding0%
Gareth McElroy0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Power22%
Ellis Chapman12%
Luke Pearce10%
Fabrice Hartmann10%
Nando Pijnaker7%
Max Mata7%
William Fitzgerald7%
Stefan Radosavljević7%
Connor Malley6%
Stephen Mallon0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Edward McGinty0%
Niall Morahan0%
John Ross Wilson0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Oliver Denham0%
Rein Smit0%
Charlie Wiggett0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Kailin Barlow0%
Owen Elding0%
Gareth McElroy0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dawson Devoy33%
Ross Tierney23%
Dayle Rooney21%
Archie Meekison20%
James Akintunde19%
Sten Reinkort12%
Daniel Grant11%
Filip Piszczek10%
James Clarke9%
Jordan Flores7%
Aboubacar Keita6%
Jevon Mills4%
Declan McDaid4%
Jake Carroll0%
Adam McDonnell0%
Luke Matheson0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Liam Smith0%
Michael Lilander0%
Martin Miller0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Brian McManus0%
Alex Greive0%
James McManus0%
Nickson Okosun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dawson Devoy50%
Leigh Kavanagh43%
Jordan Flores39%
Filip Piszczek38%
Paddy Kirk28%
Cian Byrne28%
Aboubacar Keita25%
Ross Tierney23%
Daniel Grant21%
James Clarke21%
Dylan Connolly21%
Martin Miller21%
Adam McDonnell21%
James McManus18%
Jevon Mills17%
Declan McDaid15%
Dayle Rooney15%
Jake Carroll12%
Brian McManus12%
Liam Smith11%
Archie Meekison10%
James Akintunde4%
Kacper Chorążka3%
Luke Matheson0%
Michael Lilander0%
Sten Reinkort0%
Alex Greive0%
Nickson Okosun0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dayle Rooney24%
Dawson Devoy17%
Dylan Connolly11%
Luke Matheson10%
James Akintunde7%
Aboubacar Keita6%
Adam McDonnell6%
Declan McDaid4%
Jordan Flores4%
Daniel Grant4%
Paddy Kirk3%
James Clarke3%
Jake Carroll0%
Filip Piszczek0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
Michael Lilander0%
Martin Miller0%
Sten Reinkort0%
Ross Tierney0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Brian McManus0%
Alex Greive0%
James McManus0%
Jevon Mills0%
Nickson Okosun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ross Tierney23%
Dawson Devoy17%
Dayle Rooney15%
James Akintunde7%
Jordan Flores7%
James Clarke6%
Filip Piszczek5%
Declan McDaid4%
Daniel Grant4%
Adam McDonnell3%
Jake Carroll0%
Luke Matheson0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
Michael Lilander0%
Martin Miller0%
Sten Reinkort0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Cian Byrne0%
Aboubacar Keita0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Brian McManus0%
Alex Greive0%
James McManus0%
Jevon Mills0%
Nickson Okosun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
BW (1)
€0m
Sligo Rovers's squad is €2m less valuable than Bohemians's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and Bohemians have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and Bohemians have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
BW (0)
€0m
Sligo Rovers and Bohemians have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Galway United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Bray Wanderers