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Slovan Ljubljana vs Dekani Result & Analysis

Date: 30/10/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Vs
39%
30%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovan Ljubljana win✓ Hit
39.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dekani win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L14L21W03L12L01L11D11D32WA·BEL23/08H·BRI30/08A·TRI07/09A·ILI14/09H·RUD21/09A·KRK28/09H·DRA03/10A·GOR12/10H·KRŠ18/10A·JES25/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.431.141.291.381.56
vs Stronger (12)1.331.921.501.751.252.00
vs Similar (17)1.121.061.001.101.291.00
vs Weaker (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L22D31W03L02L02L00D01L11D34LH·KRŠ23/08A·JES30/08H·ILI06/09H·TAB13/09A·BIS21/09H·NAF27/09A·BIL04/10H·BEL12/10A·BRI17/10H·TRI25/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.101.432.360.811.88
vs Stronger (9)1.112.781.403.600.751.75
vs Similar (20)1.051.801.441.670.731.91
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.7%
Under 1.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.1%
Under 2.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.4%
Under 3.5
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
1-0 ✓
10.6%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
Slovan Ljubljana goals ↓
Dekani goals →
01234
011%9.0%5.6%2.1%0.6%
111%14%7.1%2.6%0.7%
27.6%8.3%4.5%1.7%0.5%
33.2%3.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Ljubljana goals (down), columns = Dekani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.03 points worse than Dekani in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.27 goals worse than Dekani in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.20 goals worse than Dekani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L10W02L02L01L11D00D01LA·BEL23/08H·BRI30/08A·TRI07/09A·ILI14/09H·RUD21/09A·KRK28/09H·DRA03/10A·GOR12/10H·KRŠ18/10A·JES25/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.770.430.570.380.94
vs Stronger (12)0.420.920.500.250.381.25
vs Similar (17)0.410.650.400.700.430.57
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W31W01L01L01L00D00D00D31WH·KRŠ23/08A·JES30/08H·ILI06/09H·TAB13/09A·BIS21/09H·NAF27/09A·BIL04/10H·BEL12/10A·BRI17/10H·TRI25/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.791.070.500.69
vs Stronger (9)0.670.891.001.200.250.50
vs Similar (20)0.550.900.671.000.450.82
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L12L11D01L10W00D00D11D31WA·BEL23/08H·BRI30/08A·TRI07/09A·ILI14/09H·RUD21/09A·KRK28/09H·DRA03/10A·GOR12/10H·KRŠ18/10A·JES25/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.710.711.000.62
vs Stronger (12)0.921.001.001.500.880.75
vs Similar (17)0.710.410.600.400.860.43
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L00D02L01L01L00D01L11D03LH·KRŠ23/08A·JES30/08H·ILI06/09H·TAB13/09A·BIS21/09H·NAF27/09A·BIL04/10H·BEL12/10A·BRI17/10H·TRI25/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.230.641.290.311.19
vs Stronger (9)0.441.890.402.400.501.25
vs Similar (20)0.500.900.780.670.271.09
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Slovan Ljubljana and Dekani have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Slovan Ljubljana and Dekani have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Slovan Ljubljana and Dekani have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Slovan Ljubljana and Dekani have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
SL wins
0
Draws
2
DEK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Slovan Ljubljana vs Dekani · H/A from SL
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/25HSL Vs Dekani0-1
07/09/24ADekani Vs SL2-1

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25AJesenice Vs SL2-3
18/10/25HSL Vs Krško1-1
12/10/25AGorica Vs SL1-1
03/10/25HSL Vs Dravinja0-1
28/09/25AKrka Vs SL2-1
21/09/25HSL Vs Rudar0-3
14/09/25AIlirija Vs SL1-2
07/09/25ATriglav Vs SL4-1
30/08/25HSL Vs Brinje-Grosuplje0-3
23/08/25ABeltinci Vs SL0-0

DekaniDekani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25HDEK Vs Triglav3-4
17/10/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs DEK1-1
12/10/25HDEK Vs Beltinci0-1
04/10/25ABilje Vs DEK0-0
27/09/25HDEK Vs Nafta0-2
21/09/25ABistrica Vs DEK2-0
13/09/25HDEK Vs Tabor Sežana0-3
06/09/25HDEK Vs Ilirija3-1
30/08/25AJesenice Vs DEK2-2
23/08/25HDEK Vs Krško1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.07
HomeWLLLD1.15
AwayLWLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%23%
AVG goals2.502.402.59
Over 1.5 %81%80%82%
Over 2.5 %45%45%45%
Over 3.5 %14%10%18%
Scored1.071.001.14
Conceded1.431.401.45
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet12%5%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.04
HomeWLLLL1.19
AwayWDLDD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%35%21%
AVG goals2.743.002.46
Over 1.5 %72%81%62%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %28%35%21%
Scored1.081.350.79
Conceded1.661.651.67
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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