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Slovan Ljubljana vs Krka Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Vs
33%
32%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovan Ljubljana win✗ Miss
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Krka win✗ Miss
35.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L20W24L10W02L12L12L04L21WH·DEK30/10A·TAB08/11H·BIS15/11H·NAF22/11A·BIL28/02H·BEL07/03A·BRI15/03H·TRI20/03A·RUD03/04H·ILI08/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.531.201.530.931.53
vs Stronger (12)1.002.001.292.140.601.80
vs Similar (17)1.001.181.121.000.891.33
vs Weaker (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W10W03L03L11D00D00D00D02LH·KRŠ31/10A·JES08/11H·DEK14/11H·TAB21/11A·BIS28/02H·NAF08/03A·BIL14/03H·BEL20/03A·BRI27/03H·TRI03/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.370.801.530.931.20
vs Stronger (9)1.001.670.401.601.751.75
vs Similar (20)0.701.301.001.500.401.10
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.7%
Under 1.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.6%
Under 2.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
Slovan Ljubljana goals ↓
Krka goals →
01234
012%11%6.9%2.6%0.7%
111%15%7.5%2.8%0.8%
26.5%7.2%4.0%1.5%0.4%
32.3%2.6%1.4%0.5%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Ljubljana goals (down), columns = Krka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.10 points better than Krka in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Slovan Ljubljana and Krka are level in goals scored per game (both 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.03 goals worse than Krka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W02L10W01L12L02L00D20WH·DEK30/10A·TAB08/11H·BIS15/11H·NAF22/11A·BIL28/02H·BEL07/03A·BRI15/03H·TRI20/03A·RUD03/04H·ILI08/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.730.530.730.330.73
vs Stronger (12)0.331.000.290.860.401.20
vs Similar (17)0.530.530.750.620.330.44
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D10W10W00D01L10W00D00D00D01LH·KRŠ31/10A·JES08/11H·DEK14/11H·TAB21/11A·BIS28/02H·NAF08/03A·BIL14/03H·BEL20/03A·BRI27/03H·TRI03/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.470.530.600.60
vs Stronger (9)0.670.670.400.401.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.450.550.500.600.400.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L00D22D00D01L00D10W04L01LH·DEK30/10A·TAB08/11H·BIS15/11H·NAF22/11A·BIL28/02H·BEL07/03A·BRI15/03H·TRI20/03A·RUD03/04H·ILI08/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.670.800.600.80
vs Stronger (12)0.671.001.001.290.200.60
vs Similar (17)0.470.650.380.380.560.89
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W00D03L02L01L00D00D00D01LH·KRŠ31/10A·JES08/11H·DEK14/11H·TAB21/11A·BIS28/02H·NAF08/03A·BIL14/03H·BEL20/03A·BRI27/03H·TRI03/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.800.331.000.330.60
vs Stronger (9)0.331.000.001.200.750.75
vs Similar (20)0.250.750.500.900.000.60
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Slovan Ljubljana and Krka have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Slovan Ljubljana and Krka have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Slovan Ljubljana and Krka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Slovan Ljubljana and Krka have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
SL wins
1
Draws
1
KRK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Slovan Ljubljana vs Krka · H/A from SL
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25AKrka Vs SL2-1
23/11/24HSL Vs Krka2-1
09/08/24AKrka Vs SL1-1

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/26HSL Vs Ilirija2-1
03/04/26ARudar Vs SL4-0
20/03/26HSL Vs Triglav1-2
15/03/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs SL2-1
07/03/26HSL Vs Beltinci0-2
28/02/26ABilje Vs SL0-1
22/11/25HSL Vs Nafta2-4
15/11/25HSL Vs Bistrica2-0
08/11/25ATabor Sežana Vs SL1-0
30/10/25HSL Vs Dekani1-0

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/26HKRK Vs Triglav0-2
27/03/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs KRK0-0
20/03/26HKRK Vs Beltinci0-0
14/03/26ABilje Vs KRK0-0
08/03/26HKRK Vs Nafta1-1
28/02/26ABistrica Vs KRK3-0
21/11/25HKRK Vs Tabor Sežana0-3
14/11/25HKRK Vs Dekani1-0
08/11/25AJesenice Vs KRK0-3
31/10/25HKRK Vs Krško1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.12
HomeWLLLW1.28
AwayWLWLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.522.482.56
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded1.461.401.52
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDL1.16
HomeWLDDL1.29
AwayWWLDD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%19%
AVG goals2.142.292.00
Over 1.5 %64%71%58%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored0.880.920.85
Conceded1.261.381.15
BTTS36%29%42%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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