PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Slovan Ljubljana vs Tabor Sežana Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 5-1
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Vs
27%
27%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Slovan Ljubljana a 27% win probability against Tabor Sežana in the Slovenia: 2. SNL on 2026-05-17, with 27% for the draw and 46% for Tabor Sežana. The model estimates around 2.8 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.8%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (78%).

Results analysis

Slovan Ljubljana finished 5-1 against Tabor Sežana (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 27% home win, 27% draw and 46% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (78%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovan Ljubljana win✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana win✗ Miss
45.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L12L04L21W22D12L03L11D10W15LA·BRI15/03H·TRI20/03A·RUD03/04H·ILI08/04H·KRK12/04A·DRA19/04H·GOR25/04A·KRŠ30/04H·JES07/05A·DEK10/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.731.131.670.871.80
vs Stronger (12)0.922.081.142.290.601.80
vs Similar (16)0.941.561.141.290.781.78
vs Weaker (2)2.001.001.000.003.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W22D20W32W12L02L12L02L12L01LH·KRŠ14/03A·JES21/03H·DEK28/03A·ILI03/04A·BIS12/04H·NAF17/04A·BIL26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI06/05H·TRI10/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.070.800.671.671.47
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (22)1.321.180.910.731.731.64
vs Weaker (4)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
Slovan Ljubljana goals ↓
Tabor Sežana goals →
01234
07.2%8.6%7.8%4.2%1.7%
16.1%13%9.4%5.0%2.0%
24.3%7.0%5.6%3.0%1.2%
31.7%2.8%2.2%1.2%0.5%
40.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Ljubljana goals (down), columns = Tabor Sežana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.60 points worse than Tabor Sežana in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.17 goals worse than Tabor Sežana in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.63 goals worse than Tabor Sežana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.10).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L00D20W01L01L02L00D10W14LA·BRI15/03H·TRI20/03A·RUD03/04H·ILI08/04H·KRK12/04A·DRA19/04H·GOR25/04A·KRŠ30/04H·JES07/05A·DEK10/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.530.800.330.93
vs Stronger (12)0.501.080.571.000.401.20
vs Similar (16)0.380.750.430.710.330.78
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W10W02L00D02L10W00D02L00DH·KRŠ14/03A·JES21/03H·DEK28/03A·ILI03/04A·BIS12/04H·NAF17/04A·BIL26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI06/05H·TRI10/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.330.330.730.67
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.550.500.450.360.640.64
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.000.001.500.50
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TS (43)
€3m
BRI (26)
€3m
BEL (31)
€2m
NAF (24)
€2m
TRI (32)
€2m
BIS (39)
€2m
DEK (50)
€2m
RUD (52)
€2m
SL (36)
€2m
BIL (46)
€2m
ILI (46)
€2m
KRK (42)
€2m
DRA (34)
€1m
KRŠ (36)
€1m
JES (35)
€1m
Slovan Ljubljana's squad is €1m less valuable than Tabor Sežana's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (0)
€0m
NAF (0)
€0m
BEL (0)
€0m
BIL (0)
€0m
BIS (0)
€0m
DEK (0)
€0m
DRA (0)
€0m
ILI (0)
€0m
JES (0)
€0m
KRK (0)
€0m
KRŠ (0)
€0m
RUD (0)
€0m
SL (0)
€0m
TS (0)
€0m
TRI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (0)
€0m
NAF (0)
€0m
BEL (0)
€0m
BIL (0)
€0m
BIS (0)
€0m
DEK (0)
€0m
DRA (0)
€0m
ILI (0)
€0m
JES (0)
€0m
KRK (0)
€0m
KRŠ (0)
€0m
RUD (0)
€0m
SL (0)
€0m
TS (0)
€0m
TRI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (0)
€0m
NAF (0)
€0m
BEL (0)
€0m
BIL (0)
€0m
BIS (0)
€0m
DEK (0)
€0m
DRA (0)
€0m
ILI (0)
€0m
JES (0)
€0m
KRK (0)
€0m
KRŠ (0)
€0m
RUD (0)
€0m
SL (0)
€0m
TS (0)
€0m
TRI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Slovan Ljubljana vs Tabor Sežana · H/A from SL
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25ATabor Sežana Vs SL1-0
07/05/25ATabor Sežana Vs SL1-2
27/10/24HSL Vs Tabor Sežana0-2

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26ADekani Vs SL5-1
07/05/26HSL Vs Jesenice1-0
30/04/26AKrško Vs SL1-1
25/04/26HSL Vs Gorica0-3
19/04/26ADravinja Vs SL2-1
12/04/26HSL Vs Krka2-2
08/04/26HSL Vs Ilirija2-1
03/04/26ARudar Vs SL4-0
20/03/26HSL Vs Triglav1-2
15/03/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs SL2-1

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HTS Vs Triglav0-1
06/05/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs TS2-1
02/05/26HTS Vs Beltinci0-2
26/04/26ABilje Vs TS2-1
17/04/26HTS Vs Nafta0-2
12/04/26ABistrica Vs TS2-1
03/04/26AIlirija Vs TS2-3
28/03/26HTS Vs Dekani2-0
21/03/26AJesenice Vs TS2-2
14/03/26HTS Vs Krško1-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.16
HomeLWDLW1.36
AwayLLLDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.662.562.76
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %20%16%24%
Scored1.101.121.08
Conceded1.561.441.68
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.72
HomeWWLLL1.75
AwayDWLLL1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals2.522.172.85
Over 1.5 %70%62%77%
Over 2.5 %44%29%58%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.461.291.62
Conceded1.060.881.23
BTTS50%38%62%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches