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Solin vs Dubrava Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 4-0
Solin
Solin
Vs
41%
33%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Solin win✓ Hit
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SolinSolin

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-633D03L02L01L04L11D01L06L30W40WA·HRV02/12H·BSK18/02A·RUD25/02H·HNK04/03A·VUK11/03H·DUG19/03H·KUS26/03A·BSK01/04H·HRV08/04A·DUG16/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.461.380.851.152.08
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.000.000.004.00
vs Similar (21)1.331.431.600.901.091.91
vs Weaker (3)1.331.330.501.003.002.00
Clean sheet %31% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L20W52W02L11D11D12L10W11D03LA·HNK03/12H·DUG19/02H·KUS03/03A·CRO08/03A·HRV11/03H·RUD18/03H·BSK25/03A·HRV31/03H·DUG06/04H·ORI17/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.121.571.070.921.17
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)1.271.141.421.081.101.20
vs Weaker (2)2.501.505.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.2%
Under 1.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.8%
Under 2.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.3%
Under 3.5
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
13.7%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
Solin goals ↓
Dubrava Zagreb goals →
01234
014%10%5.0%1.5%0.3%
114%15%5.9%1.7%0.4%
28.8%7.8%3.4%1.0%0.2%
33.4%3.0%1.3%0.4%0.1%
41.0%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Solin goals (down), columns = Dubrava Zagreb goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
1.91
Rudes
1.85
HNK Cibalia
1.64
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.50
Jarun
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Orijent 1919
1.30
Solin
1.30
Dubrava Zagreb
1.27
Dugopolje
1.24
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0.76
Solin is 0.03 points better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.73
Rudes
1.61
Solin
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.36
Jarun
1.30
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
Croatia Zmijavci
1.12
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.00
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
0.91
Solin is 0.27 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.76
HNK Cibalia
0.79
Rudes
0.82
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
1.06
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.12
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Croatia Zmijavci
1.33
Orijent 1919
1.36
Kustosija
1.49
Solin
1.67
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.70
Jarun
1.73
Solin is 0.48 goals worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SolinSolin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L01L00D04L01L00D02L10W30WA·HRV02/12H·BSK18/02A·RUD25/02H·HNK04/03A·VUK11/03H·DUG19/03H·KUS26/03A·BSK01/04H·HRV08/04A·DUG16/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.540.540.230.310.85
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.000.000.004.00
vs Similar (21)0.480.430.600.300.360.55
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W21W00D01L00D01L00D01L02LA·HNK03/12H·DUG19/02H·KUS03/03A·CRO08/03A·HRV11/03H·RUD18/03H·BSK25/03A·HRV31/03H·DUG06/04H·ORI17/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.420.570.570.330.25
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.450.450.500.580.400.30
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %69% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Solin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SolinSolin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D02L01L01L00D10W01L04L20W10WA·HRV02/12H·BSK18/02A·RUD25/02H·HNK04/03A·VUK11/03H·DUG19/03H·KUS26/03A·BSK01/04H·HRV08/04A·DUG16/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.850.920.850.620.851.23
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.861.001.000.600.731.36
vs Weaker (3)1.001.000.001.003.001.00
Clean sheet %46% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W31W02L10W11D11D10W10W01LA·HNK03/12H·DUG19/02H·KUS03/03A·CRO08/03A·HRV11/03H·RUD18/03H·BSK25/03A·HRV31/03H·DUG06/04H·ORI17/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.810.691.000.500.580.92
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.680.920.500.700.90
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %42% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Solin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
SOL wins
0
Draws
2
DZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Solin vs Dubrava Zagreb · H/A from SOL
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22HSOL Vs Dubrava Zagreb0-2
27/08/22ADubrava Zagreb Vs SOL4-1

SolinSolin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23ADugopolje Vs SOL0-4
08/04/23HSOL Vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac3-0
01/04/23ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs SOL6-0
26/03/23HSOL Vs Kustosija0-1
19/03/23HSOL Vs Dugopolje1-1
11/03/23AVukovar Vs SOL4-0
04/03/23HSOL Vs HNK Cibalia0-1
25/02/23ARudes Vs SOL2-0
18/02/23HSOL Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo0-3
02/12/22AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs SOL3-3

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/23HDZ Vs Orijent 19190-3
06/04/23HDZ Vs Dugopolje1-1
31/03/23AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs DZ0-1
25/03/23HDZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-2
18/03/23HDZ Vs Rudes1-1
11/03/23AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs DZ1-1
08/03/23ACroatia Zmijavci Vs DZ2-0
03/03/23HDZ Vs Kustosija5-2
19/02/23HDZ Vs Dugopolje2-0
03/12/22AHNK Cibalia Vs DZ1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Solin
Solin
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.35
HomeLLDLW1.77
AwayDLLLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%54%23%
AVG goals2.732.233.23
Over 1.5 %73%69%77%
Over 2.5 %50%38%62%
Over 3.5 %31%15%46%
Scored1.271.381.15
Conceded1.460.852.08
BTTS38%31%46%
Clean Sheet31%38%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.23
HomeWDLDL1.50
AwayLLLDW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%43%17%
AVG goals2.382.642.08
Over 1.5 %69%71%67%
Over 2.5 %31%43%17%
Over 3.5 %19%21%17%
Scored1.271.570.92
Conceded1.121.071.17
BTTS46%43%50%
Clean Sheet23%29%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3363
52%
1.9
5725+32
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
2RudesRudes3361
55%
1.8
5327+26
2.4
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.60.8
-
3HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3354
39%
1.6
3726+11
1.9
58%
30%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.8
-
4Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3344
36%
1.3
4137+4
2.4
67%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
5JarunJarun3344
39%
1.3
4357-14
3.0
73%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193343
30%
1.3
4545+0
2.7
73%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
7Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3343
36%
1.3
3744-7
2.5
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
8SolinSolin3343
36%
1.3
4755-8
3.1
79%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
9Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3342
33%
1.3
3839-1
2.3
67%
30%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.2
-
10DugopoljeDugopolje3341
27%
1.2
3035-5
2.0
70%
24%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.1
-
11KustosijaKustosija3537
29%
1.1
3752-15
2.5
69%
46%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
12Hrvatski DragovoljacHrvatski Dragovoljac3325
15%
0.8
3356-23
2.7
76%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
14Inter ZaprešićInter Zaprešić00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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