PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Solin vs Vukovar Result & Analysis

Date: 14/04/2024
Time: 14:30
Final 0-1
Solin
Solin
Vs
25%
29%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vukovar
Vukovar
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Solin win✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vukovar win✓ Hit
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SolinSolin

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L00D12L31W02L11D22D01L21WH·HNK25/11A·SES01/12H·DUG17/02A·CRO27/02H·DUB03/03A·JAR09/03H·VUK17/03A·DUG23/03H·JAR29/03A·SES05/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.671.141.500.941.81
vs Stronger (3)1.672.671.503.002.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.961.561.081.250.871.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VukovarVukovar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W11D21W01L32W11D20W00D22DH·SES24/11A·DUG02/12H·CRO18/02A·DUB25/02H·JAR03/03H·BSK09/03A·SOL17/03H·CRO23/03A·ORI27/03H·BSK04/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.031.811.061.711.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.331.221.801.200.751.25
vs Weaker (21)1.950.951.821.002.100.90
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.9%
Under 1.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.7%
Under 2.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1 ✓
11.4%
0-0
10.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
Solin goals ↓
Vukovar goals →
01234
010%11%9.1%4.3%1.5%
17.5%14%9.0%4.3%1.5%
24.4%6.2%4.5%2.1%0.8%
31.4%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.3%
40.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Solin goals (down), columns = Vukovar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sibenik
2.48
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.45
Vukovar
1.76
Sesvete
1.27
Jarun
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Dugopolje
1.12
Orijent 1919
1.11
Croatia Zmijavci
1.09
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.03
Solin
0.73
Kustosija
0.00
Solin is 1.03 points worse than Vukovar in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 1.76).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sibenik
2.06
Vukovar
1.70
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.61
Croatia Zmijavci
1.18
Dugopolje
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
Orijent 1919
1.09
Jarun
1.06
Solin
1.00
Kustosija
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Solin is 0.70 goals worse than Vukovar in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.70).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sibenik
0.55
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.55
Vukovar
1.09
Sesvete
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Dugopolje
1.36
Jarun
1.39
Orijent 1919
1.43
Croatia Zmijavci
1.45
Solin
1.52
HNK Cibalia
1.73
Kustosija
2.00
Solin is 0.42 goals worse than Vukovar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.09).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SolinSolin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D00D20W01L01L10W00D20WH·HNK25/11A·SES01/12H·DUG17/02A·CRO27/02H·DUB03/03A·JAR09/03H·VUK17/03A·DUG23/03H·JAR29/03A·SES05/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.360.500.560.62
vs Stronger (3)1.000.670.501.002.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.410.560.330.420.470.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VukovarVukovar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L10W00D11D10W10W00D10WH·SES24/11A·DUG02/12H·CRO18/02A·DUB25/02H·JAR03/03H·BSK09/03A·SOL17/03H·CRO23/03A·ORI27/03H·BSK04/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.690.620.640.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.671.000.800.000.50
vs Weaker (21)0.710.430.550.550.900.30
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Solin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SolinSolin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D12L11D01L10W12L01L01LH·HNK25/11A·SES01/12H·DUG17/02A·CRO27/02H·DUB03/03A·JAR09/03H·VUK17/03A·DUG23/03H·JAR29/03A·SES05/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.100.791.000.381.19
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.561.000.750.830.401.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VukovarVukovar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W11D01L21W01L10W00D12LH·SES24/11A·DUG02/12H·CRO18/02A·DUB25/02H·JAR03/03H·BSK09/03A·SOL17/03H·CRO23/03A·ORI27/03H·BSK04/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.531.120.441.070.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.560.800.400.750.75
vs Weaker (21)1.240.521.270.451.200.60
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Solin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Solin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.9%-------✗ Miss

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Vukovar · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jakov Puljić48%
Robin GonzÃĄlez14%
Lovro Banovec12%
Šimun Butić6%
Jakov Gurlica6%
Mario Tadić5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu5%
Vito Čaić4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Å―ivković0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Kristijan Čabrajić0%
Lovre KuluÅĄić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pilj80%
Lovre KuluÅĄić43%
David Mejía30%
Moreno Å―ivković29%
Jakov Biljan27%
Jakov Puljić22%
Rafael Camacho20%
Josip Elez20%
Lovro Banovec20%
Luka Klanac20%
Eniss Shabani18%
Robin GonzÃĄlez17%
Kristijan Pavičić17%
Vito Čaić17%
Jakov Gurlica17%
Mario Tadić16%
Mario Tičinović15%
Marino Bulat13%
Antonio Bosec10%
Alen Jurilj10%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu10%
Kristijan Čabrajić10%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Šimun Butić0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Banovec16%
Robin GonzÃĄlez14%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu10%
Mario Tičinović10%
Eniss Shabani9%
Moreno Å―ivković7%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kristijan Čabrajić5%
Rafael Camacho0%
Jakov Puljić0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Mario Tadić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Marino Bulat0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito Čaić0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Lovre KuluÅĄić0%
Šimun Butić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakov Puljić30%
Robin GonzÃĄlez7%
Šimun Butić6%
Mario Tadić5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu5%
Lovro Banovec4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan Pavičić0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno Å―ivković0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David Mejía0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito Čaić0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Kristijan Čabrajić0%
Lovre KuluÅĄić0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Niko Pajvančić0%
Danijel Vinković0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
SOL wins
2
Draws
2
VUK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Solin vs Vukovar · H/A from SOL
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/24HSOL Vs Vukovar1-1
21/10/23AVukovar Vs SOL2-2
15/05/23HSOL Vs Vukovar2-5
11/03/23AVukovar Vs SOL4-0
15/10/22HSOL Vs Vukovar1-0

SolinSolin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/24ASesvete Vs SOL1-2
29/03/24HSOL Vs Jarun0-1
23/03/24ADugopolje Vs SOL2-2
17/03/24HSOL Vs Vukovar1-1
09/03/24AJarun Vs SOL2-0
03/03/24HSOL Vs Dubrava Zagreb3-1
27/02/24ACroatia Zmijavci Vs SOL2-1
17/02/24HSOL Vs Dugopolje0-0
01/12/23ASesvete Vs SOL2-0
25/11/23HSOL Vs HNK Cibalia0-3

VukovarVukovar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/24HVUK Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-2
27/03/24AOrijent 1919 Vs VUK0-0
23/03/24HVUK Vs Croatia Zmijavci2-0
17/03/24ASolin Vs VUK1-1
09/03/24HVUK Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo3-2
03/03/24HVUK Vs Jarun0-1
25/02/24ADubrava Zagreb Vs VUK1-2
18/02/24HVUK Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-1
02/12/23ADugopolje Vs VUK1-2
24/11/23HVUK Vs Sesvete3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Solin
Solin
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.04
HomeLDWDL1.16
AwayLLLDW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.762.602.92
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.161.281.04
Conceded1.601.321.88
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet20%28%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Vukovar
Vukovar
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDD1.98
HomeDLWWD2.08
AwayWWWDD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%58%54%
AVG goals2.742.812.67
Over 1.5 %78%88%67%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.822.041.58
Conceded0.920.771.08
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet36%42%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SibenikSibenik3382
79%
2.5
6818+50
2.6
73%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.5
-
2Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac3381
79%
2.5
5318+35
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.5
-
3VukovarVukovar3358
48%
1.8
5636+20
2.8
79%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
4SesveteSesvete3342
36%
1.3
3641-5
2.3
67%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.2
-
5JarunJarun3340
33%
1.2
3546-11
2.5
70%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193539
26%
1.1
3850-12
2.5
60%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.4
-
7Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3338
30%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
73%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
8DugopoljeDugopolje3337
24%
1.1
3845-7
2.5
82%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
9HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3337
33%
1.1
3757-20
2.8
76%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
10Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3336
24%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3334
21%
1.0
3044-14
2.2
64%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.3
-
12SolinSolin3324
12%
0.7
3350-17
2.5
73%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
13KustosijaKustosija20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

← all matches