This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.97
1.93
1.29
2.44
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
3.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
5.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
2.86
1.14
1.67
1.67
3.75
0.75
vs Weaker (14)
1.36
0.86
2.14
1.00
0.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.4%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.3%
Under 2.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.5%
Under 3.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.2%
No
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.2%
Spartak Trnava goals ↓
Žilina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.2%
7.7%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.7%
2.9%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartak Trnava goals (down), columns = Žilina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.25
Žilina
1.69
Dunajska Streda
1.68
Spartak Trnava
1.62
FK Košice
1.36
Komárno
1.22
Zemplín Michalovce
1.21
Skalica
1.19
AS Trencin
1.15
Ružomberok
1.12
Podbrezová
1.12
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.69
Zlaté Moravce
0.50
Spartak Trnava is 0.06 points worse than Žilina in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.69).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.31
Žilina
1.72
Dunajska Streda
1.56
Zlaté Moravce
1.50
Zemplín Michalovce
1.48
Spartak Trnava
1.44
FK Košice
1.42
Podbrezová
1.29
AS Trencin
1.24
Komárno
1.12
Skalica
1.12
Ružomberok
1.09
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.09
Spartak Trnava is 0.28 goals worse than Žilina in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.72).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Trnava
1.06
Dunajska Streda
1.09
FK Košice
1.21
Slovan Bratislava
1.22
Žilina
1.25
Skalica
1.41
Podbrezová
1.41
Komárno
1.50
AS Trencin
1.50
Ružomberok
1.56
Zemplín Michalovce
1.76
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.88
Zlaté Moravce
2.50
Spartak Trnava is 0.19 goals better than Žilina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Žilina
59%
Slovan Bratislava
59%
AS Trencin
53%
Dunajska Streda
52%
Zemplín Michalovce
50%
Podbrezová
49%
Spartak Trnava
48%
Ružomberok
48%
FK Košice
47%
Skalica
46%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
45%
Komárno
43%
Spartak Trnava is 11.1 percentage points worse than Žilina in terms of average possession (48% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spartak Trnava
For 5.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 13.0 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
For 5.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 13.7 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartak Trnava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
9.6
7.6
3.6
3.3
3.7
27.8
28.1
27.6
vs Stronger (7)
7.4
6.5
7.8
6.6
5.0
7.2
33.6
38.5
31.6
vs Similar (35)
8.9
9.8
8.0
2.9
3.1
2.7
26.8
27.8
25.8
vs Weaker (8)
8.4
10.2
5.3
4.0
3.6
4.7
26.1
24.4
29.0
% over line
39%
50%
29%
56%
52%
59%
93%
90%
95%
% under line
61%
50%
71%
44%
48%
41%
7%
10%
5%
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.5
9.8
3.5
4.0
3.1
25.9
26.6
25.3
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
10.3
7.5
2.8
3.3
2.0
26.4
26.7
26.0
vs Similar (21)
9.7
8.8
10.6
3.5
4.3
2.8
26.5
27.6
25.6
vs Weaker (24)
9.7
9.8
9.6
3.7
3.8
3.6
25.3
25.8
24.9
% over line
51%
45%
57%
50%
61%
41%
82%
82%
83%
% under line
49%
55%
43%
50%
39%
59%
18%
18%
17%
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Podbrezová
10.9
Slovan Bratislava
10.6
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.3
Zemplín Michalovce
10.3
Zlaté Moravce
10.1
Dunajska Streda
9.9
AS Trencin
9.7
Komárno
9.7
Ružomberok
9.7
Skalica
9.5
Žilina
9.4
FK Košice
9.3
Spartak Trnava
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Komárno
4.8
Skalica
4.7
AS Trencin
4.6
Dunajska Streda
4.5
Spartak Trnava
4.3
Ružomberok
4.2
Zemplín Michalovce
4.2
Podbrezová
4.1
Žilina
4.0
Slovan Bratislava
4.0
Zlaté Moravce
3.8
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.8
FK Košice
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Skalica
28.1
Zemplín Michalovce
27.0
Spartak Trnava
27.0
Komárno
27.0
Dunajska Streda
26.3
AS Trencin
25.9
Zlaté Moravce
25.8
Žilina
25.2
Slovan Bratislava
24.6
FK Košice
24.5
Podbrezová
24.5
Ružomberok
24.4
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartak Trnava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
0.46
0.46
1.18
0.41
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.57
0.33
0.56
1.25
0.58
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.17
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.43
0.71
0.50
1.31
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
1.57
0.64
0.83
0.83
2.12
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.29
0.71
0.29
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartak Trnava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.40
1.00
0.38
0.94
0.41
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (21)
1.10
0.38
1.11
0.44
1.08
0.33
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.53
1.21
0.79
1.12
0.31
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
1.29
0.50
0.83
0.83
1.62
0.25
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.57
1.43
0.71
0.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Spartak Trnava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Philip Azango29%
Kelvin Ofori26%
Miloš Kratochvíl20%
Roman Procházka16%
Jakub Paur14%
Michal Ďuriš13%
Erik Daniel10%
Erik Sabo10%
Róbert Pich9%
Roko Jureškin7%
Lukáš Štetina6%
Martin Mikovič5%
Adrian Zeljković3%
Vojtech Kubista0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Martin Šulek0%
Milan Corryn0%
Martin Bukata0%
Libor Holík0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Hugo Ahl0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miloš Kratochvíl36%
Adrian Zeljković34%
Lukáš Štetina31%
Roman Procházka28%
Vojtech Kubista25%
Martin Šulek25%
Sebastian Kóša25%
Michal Ďuriš23%
Martin Mikovič21%
Erik Sabo20%
Jakub Paur18%
Marek Ujlaky15%
Róbert Pich13%
Cédric Badolo11%
Filip Twardzik8%
Roko Jureškin7%
Libor Holík6%
Philip Azango5%
Erik Daniel3%
Žiga Frelih3%
Milan Corryn0%
Martin Bukata0%
Kelvin Ofori0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Hugo Ahl0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Ďuriš17%
Roman Procházka16%
Miloš Kratochvíl16%
Martin Mikovič16%
Cédric Badolo11%
Philip Azango10%
Róbert Pich9%
Martin Šulek8%
Roko Jureškin7%
Erik Daniel7%
Adrian Zeljković7%
Libor Holík6%
Jakub Paur5%
Kelvin Ofori4%
Žiga Frelih3%
Vojtech Kubista0%
Lukáš Štetina0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Milan Corryn0%
Martin Bukata0%
Erik Sabo0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Hugo Ahl0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Philip Azango38%
Kelvin Ofori22%
Michal Ďuriš20%
Miloš Kratochvíl16%
Erik Daniel7%
Martin Mikovič5%
Jakub Paur5%
Róbert Pich4%
Adrian Zeljković3%
Roman Procházka0%
Vojtech Kubista0%
Lukáš Štetina0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Martin Šulek0%
Milan Corryn0%
Martin Bukata0%
Libor Holík0%
Erik Sabo0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Kazeem Bolaji Soliu0%
Hugo Ahl0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián Kaprálik31%
Yves Erick Bile28%
Dávid Ďuriš25%
Mario Sauer19%
Denis Alijagič17%
Xavier Adang16%
Peter Pekarík14%
Timotej Hranica12%
Ján Minárik10%
Ridwan Sanusi10%
Timotej Jambor9%
Miroslav Káčer7%
Krisztián Bari6%
Lukas Prokop6%
Samuel Gidi4%
Samuel Kopásek3%
Patrik Iľko3%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
James Ndjeungoue0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Basirou Badjie0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Adama Drame0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandre Narimanidze57%
James Ndjeungoue38%
Samuel Kopásek20%
Frantisek Kosa20%
Tomáš Hubočan18%
Adama Drame15%
Ján Minárik15%
Samuel Gidi15%
Peter Pekarík14%
Miroslav Káčer14%
Adrián Kaprálik12%
Yves Erick Bile11%
Samuel Ďatko10%
Ridwan Sanusi10%
Krisztián Bari10%
Dávid Ďuriš9%
Mario Sauer9%
Timotej Hranica6%
Lukas Prokop6%
Patrik Iľko3%
Denis Alijagič0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Xavier Adang0%
Basirou Badjie0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Ďatko30%
Yves Erick Bile28%
Adrián Kaprálik19%
Miroslav Káčer18%
Mario Sauer12%
Patrik Iľko10%
Krisztián Bari10%
Timotej Jambor9%
Denis Alijagič8%
Samuel Gidi7%
James Ndjeungoue6%
Lukas Prokop6%
Xavier Adang5%
Ján Minárik5%
Samuel Kopásek3%
Dávid Ďuriš3%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Peter Pekarík0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Basirou Badjie0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Adama Drame0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrián Kaprálik31%
Dávid Ďuriš28%
Yves Erick Bile22%
Xavier Adang21%
Mario Sauer12%
Ján Minárik10%
Timotej Jambor9%
Lukas Prokop6%
Samuel Gidi4%
Tomáš Hubočan4%
Peter Pekarík0%
Miroslav Káčer0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Denis Alijagič0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
James Ndjeungoue0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Basirou Badjie0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Adama Drame0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
ZM (14)
€1m
Spartak Trnava's squad is €5m less valuable than Žilina's (€7m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
Spartak Trnava's attack is €2m less valuable than Žilina's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
ZM (4)
€0m
Spartak Trnava and Žilina have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
Spartak Trnava's defence is €3m less valuable than Žilina's (€3m vs €6m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
FK Košice
Zemplín Michalovce
AS Trencin
Komárno
Podbrezová
Skalica
Ružomberok
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Zlaté Moravce