This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.17
0.80
1.00
0.73
1.33
vs Stronger (16)
0.88
1.12
0.86
0.71
0.89
1.44
vs Similar (14)
0.64
1.21
0.75
1.25
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.6%
@ 1.96-8.4%
Under 2.5
60.4%
@ 1.81+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 3.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Ponferradina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.3%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.3%
8.6%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.2%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Ponferradina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Granada CF
1.79
Levante
1.72
Alaves
1.72
Las Palmas
1.71
Eibar
1.64
Albacete
1.52
FC Andorra
1.40
Oviedo
1.40
FC Cartagena
1.38
Tenerife
1.36
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.29
Leganes
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Huesca
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Villarreal II
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.19
Malaga
1.05
Ponferradina
1.05
Ibiza
0.81
Lugo
0.74
Sporting Gijon is 0.14 points better than Ponferradina in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.05).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Albacete
1.34
Granada CF
1.31
Villarreal II
1.17
Las Palmas
1.17
Mirandes
1.14
Levante
1.13
FC Andorra
1.12
FC Cartagena
1.12
Alaves
1.11
Eibar
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Tenerife
1.00
Ponferradina
0.95
Zaragoza
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Malaga
0.88
Leganes
0.88
Huesca
0.86
Oviedo
0.81
Burgos
0.79
Ibiza
0.79
Lugo
0.64
Sporting Gijon is 0.07 goals better than Ponferradina in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 0.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Las Palmas
0.69
Levante
0.70
Granada CF
0.71
Alaves
0.74
Burgos
0.83
Oviedo
0.83
Huesca
0.86
Tenerife
0.88
FC Andorra
0.88
Eibar
0.89
Zaragoza
0.93
Racing Santander
0.95
Leganes
1.00
Malaga
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.17
Albacete
1.20
Ponferradina
1.26
Mirandes
1.29
Villarreal II
1.31
Lugo
1.36
Ibiza
1.57
Sporting Gijon is 0.12 goals better than Ponferradina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ponferradina
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.0
11.2
0.6
0.7
0.6
21.8
26.5
18.0
vs Stronger (1)
14.0
14.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
9.0
9.0
-
vs Similar (37)
10.8
9.0
12.0
0.5
0.5
0.5
22.6
31.0
17.0
vs Weaker (12)
9.3
8.0
10.0
0.9
1.0
0.9
24.7
35.0
19.5
% over line
56%
50%
60%
6%
8%
4%
56%
75%
40%
% under line
44%
50%
40%
94%
92%
96%
44%
25%
60%
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.8
8.8
0.8
1.1
0.5
22.7
22.8
22.5
vs Stronger (26)
11.6
12.7
10.0
0.8
1.4
0.2
22.8
23.0
22.5
vs Similar (24)
6.5
5.5
7.5
0.8
0.8
0.9
22.5
22.5
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
22%
20%
25%
8%
12%
4%
89%
100%
75%
% under line
78%
80%
75%
92%
88%
96%
11%
0%
25%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
9.9
Huesca
9.9
Alaves
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Levante
9.0
Racing Santander
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Las Palmas
8.7
Leganes
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.5
Albacete
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Granada CF
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Albacete
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Levante
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
FC Cartagena
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Leganes
4.9
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Alaves
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Eibar
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.0
Albacete
29.4
FC Cartagena
28.9
Ibiza
28.1
Huesca
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.7
Oviedo
27.2
Alaves
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Granada CF
25.9
Mirandes
25.6
Levante
25.3
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.3%
Under 9.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.6%
Under 3.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.9%
Under 21.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.64
0.57
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.54
0.58
0.67
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.47
0.27
0.40
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (16)
0.38
0.25
0.29
0.14
0.44
0.33
vs Similar (14)
0.14
0.71
0.25
0.62
0.00
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.47
0.50
0.36
0.19
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.29
0.46
0.50
0.33
0.08
0.58
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
0.88
0.57
0.57
0.44
1.11
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.62
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aitor García16%
Cristo González15%
Juan Otero15%
Uroš Đurđević12%
Pedro Díaz12%
José Gragera12%
Giovanni Zarfino11%
Víctor Campuzano10%
Dani Queipo10%
Jony6%
Pablo Insua6%
Diego Sanchez5%
Jordan Carrillo Rodriguez5%
Carlos Izquierdoz3%
Guille Rosas3%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Axel Bamba0%
Diego Mariño0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Pol Valentín0%
Bruno González0%
José Ángel0%
Iván Cuéllar0%
Cristian Rivera0%
José Marsà0%
Jordi Pola0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Ignacio Martín0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Rivera33%
Pablo Insua31%
Uroš Đurđević28%
Giovanni Zarfino26%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Juan Otero22%
Carlos Izquierdoz21%
Guille Rosas20%
Ignacio Martín19%
José Ángel18%
Jonathan Varane18%
Bruno González17%
José Marsà15%
Víctor Campuzano15%
Diego Sanchez15%
Ignacio Jeraldino12%
Iván Cuéllar12%
Cristo González12%
Pedro Díaz9%
José Gragera6%
Jordan Carrillo Rodriguez5%
Pol Valentín5%
Dani Queipo3%
Aitor García3%
Axel Bamba0%
Diego Mariño0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Jony0%
Jordi Pola0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Díaz15%
José Ángel15%
Jonathan Varane12%
Pol Valentín9%
Bruno González8%
José Marsà8%
Giovanni Zarfino7%
Diego Mariño6%
Diego Sanchez5%
Cristian Rivera4%
Iván Cuéllar4%
Uroš Đurđević3%
Carlos Izquierdoz3%
Guille Rosas3%
Pablo Insua3%
Cristo González0%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Axel Bamba0%
Juan Otero0%
Aitor García0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Víctor Campuzano0%
Jony0%
José Gragera0%
Jordi Pola0%
Jordan Carrillo Rodriguez0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Dani Queipo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Uroš Đurđević22%
Juan Otero15%
Ignacio Jeraldino12%
José Gragera12%
Víctor Campuzano10%
Pedro Díaz9%
Giovanni Zarfino7%
Aitor García6%
Cristo González6%
Jordan Carrillo Rodriguez5%
Carlos Izquierdoz0%
Axel Bamba0%
Diego Mariño0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Pol Valentín0%
Bruno González0%
Jony0%
José Ángel0%
Iván Cuéllar0%
Cristian Rivera0%
Pablo Insua0%
José Marsà0%
Jordi Pola0%
Guille Rosas0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Dani Queipo0%
Diego Sanchez0%
Ponferradina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yuri19%
Eduardo Espiau12%
Daniel Ojeda11%
Hugo Vallejo10%
José Naranjo8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Naim García6%
Adrián Castellano6%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
José Amo6%
Alexandru Paşcanu6%
Agus Medina3%
Kelechi Nwakali3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Erik Morán0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Amo38%
Kelechi Nwakali31%
Agus Medina30%
Adrián Diéguez30%
Adrián Castellano29%
Jordan Lukaku29%
Paris Barandiaran28%
Alexandru Paşcanu28%
Erik Morán24%
Daniel Ojeda22%
Heriberto Tavares21%
Derik Lacerda21%
Sabit Abdulai21%
José Naranjo19%
Naim García19%
Eduardo Espiau18%
Amir Abedzadeh17%
Moises Delgado15%
Giorgi Makaridze14%
Hugo Vallejo14%
Aldair12%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
Yuri3%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Ojeda14%
Naim García12%
Kelechi Nwakali8%
Alexandru Paşcanu8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Moises Delgado6%
José Naranjo6%
Paris Barandiaran6%
Heriberto Tavares5%
Sabit Abdulai5%
Hugo Vallejo3%
Adrián Diéguez3%
Agus Medina3%
Yuri3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
José Amo0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Eduardo Espiau0%
Aldair0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Naim García19%
José Naranjo14%
Daniel Ojeda14%
Kelechi Nwakali6%
Yuri5%
Derik Lacerda5%
Eduardo Espiau5%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
José Amo0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Agus Medina0%
Miguel San Román0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →