This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.30
0.93
1.40
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (17)
0.65
1.24
0.80
1.40
0.43
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.92
1.42
1.20
1.40
0.71
1.43
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.0%
Under 1.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.7%
@ 2.31-8.9%
Under 2.5
68.3%
@ 1.58+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
13.9%
Under 3.5
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
36.9%
No
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.8%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Racing Ferrol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
8.1%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
1
17%
13%
4.1%
0.9%
0.2%
2
12%
7.9%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
3
5.1%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
4
1.7%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Racing Ferrol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levante
1.88
Elche
1.83
Oviedo
1.78
Mirandes
1.78
Racing Santander
1.64
Almeria
1.59
Granada CF
1.55
Huesca
1.52
Eibar
1.38
Albacete
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Cordoba
1.31
Cadiz
1.31
Malaga
1.26
Castellón
1.26
Deportivo La Coruna
1.26
Zaragoza
1.21
Eldense
1.07
Tenerife
0.86
Racing Ferrol
0.71
FC Cartagena
0.55
Sporting Gijon is 0.62 points better than Racing Ferrol in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.68
Levante
1.64
Racing Santander
1.57
Castellón
1.55
Granada CF
1.55
Mirandes
1.48
Elche
1.40
Cordoba
1.40
Huesca
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.36
Albacete
1.36
Zaragoza
1.33
Deportivo La Coruna
1.33
Oviedo
1.33
Cadiz
1.31
Eibar
1.05
Eldense
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Burgos
0.98
Tenerife
0.83
FC Cartagena
0.79
Racing Ferrol
0.52
Sporting Gijon is 0.83 goals better than Racing Ferrol in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 0.52).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Elche
0.81
Eibar
0.98
Levante
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Malaga
1.10
Burgos
1.14
Huesca
1.17
Cadiz
1.26
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Deportivo La Coruna
1.29
Granada CF
1.29
Tenerife
1.31
Racing Santander
1.32
Almeria
1.32
Albacete
1.36
Castellón
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Eldense
1.50
Cordoba
1.50
Racing Ferrol
1.52
FC Cartagena
1.86
Sporting Gijon is 0.24 goals better than Racing Ferrol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Elche
62%
Castellón
57%
Cordoba
56%
Deportivo La Coruna
54%
Almeria
53%
Malaga
52%
Racing Santander
52%
Oviedo
52%
Granada CF
51%
Zaragoza
51%
Eibar
50%
Sporting Gijon
50%
Levante
49%
Burgos
49%
Tenerife
48%
Cadiz
48%
Racing Ferrol
48%
Eldense
46%
Mirandes
45%
Huesca
44%
Albacete
43%
FC Cartagena
40%
Sporting Gijon is 2.0 percentage points better than Racing Ferrol in terms of average possession (50% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 5.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 9.0 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Ferrol
For 4.5 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.4 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.0
9.3
5.0
5.4
4.7
23.6
22.8
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
8.9
8.8
9.2
5.3
5.5
5.2
23.9
23.1
24.7
vs Weaker (10)
10.0
10.2
9.8
3.9
5.0
2.8
22.3
21.4
23.5
% over line
38%
44%
30%
76%
80%
72%
62%
48%
78%
% under line
62%
56%
70%
24%
20%
28%
38%
52%
22%
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.6
8.9
4.2
5.1
3.4
25.9
27.4
24.3
vs Stronger (31)
9.1
8.6
9.9
4.7
5.5
3.6
26.5
28.4
23.9
vs Similar (18)
8.1
8.7
7.6
3.7
4.0
3.5
24.8
24.7
24.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
40%
39%
68%
80%
56%
75%
80%
70%
% under line
60%
60%
61%
32%
20%
44%
25%
20%
30%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Deportivo La Coruna
10.4
Oviedo
10.4
Racing Santander
10.1
Cordoba
9.8
Burgos
9.8
Levante
9.7
Eldense
9.6
Almeria
9.6
Eibar
9.5
Albacete
9.4
Zaragoza
9.4
Tenerife
9.4
Castellón
9.3
Sporting Gijon
9.3
Granada CF
9.2
Mirandes
9.1
Huesca
9.0
Malaga
9.0
Cadiz
8.9
FC Cartagena
8.9
Racing Ferrol
8.8
Elche
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.1
Elche
5.7
Cadiz
5.6
Tenerife
5.5
Malaga
5.5
Zaragoza
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Granada CF
5.3
Cordoba
5.1
Huesca
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Almeria
4.8
Eibar
4.8
Albacete
4.6
Deportivo La Coruna
4.5
FC Cartagena
4.5
Levante
4.5
Castellón
4.4
Burgos
4.4
Eldense
4.4
Racing Ferrol
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
29.7
Cadiz
29.0
Racing Santander
29.0
Malaga
28.9
Elche
28.1
Oviedo
26.9
Castellón
26.8
Granada CF
26.8
Almeria
26.7
Tenerife
26.6
Zaragoza
26.4
Deportivo La Coruna
26.4
Racing Ferrol
25.9
Eldense
25.9
Levante
25.6
Mirandes
25.4
Huesca
24.4
Albacete
24.3
FC Cartagena
23.8
Sporting Gijon
23.5
Eibar
23.1
Burgos
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.4%
Under 9.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.1%
Under 3.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.1%
Under 21.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.64
0.43
0.38
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.38
0.67
0.33
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.47
0.20
0.53
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (17)
0.18
0.47
0.20
0.60
0.14
0.29
vs Similar (12)
0.17
0.50
0.20
0.40
0.14
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.86
0.50
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.58
1.00
0.50
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.73
0.87
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.76
0.60
0.80
0.29
0.71
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.92
1.00
1.00
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero29%
Jonathan Dubasin21%
Carlos Dotor15%
Gaspar Campos15%
Víctor Campuzano12%
César Gelabert12%
Nico Serrano11%
Ignacio Méndez10%
Jordy Caicedo8%
Róber Pier6%
Lander Olaetxea6%
Guille Rosas5%
José Ángel4%
Diego Sánchez3%
Ignacio Martín2%
Nikola Maraš0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Eric Curbelo0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Kevin Vázquez0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Pablo García0%
Dani Queipo0%
Alex Oyón0%
Pierre Mbemba0%
Iker Martinez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Ángel31%
Jordy Caicedo23%
Guille Rosas23%
Lander Olaetxea22%
Pablo García22%
Róber Pier21%
Eric Curbelo20%
Nikola Maraš18%
Christian Sanchez17%
Jonathan Dubasin16%
Ignacio Méndez15%
César Gelabert15%
Dani Queipo14%
Víctor Campuzano12%
Gaspar Campos12%
Nico Serrano11%
Diego Sánchez10%
Kevin Vázquez10%
Juan Otero9%
Jesús Bernal8%
Carlos Dotor8%
Ignacio Martín7%
Rubén Yáñez3%
Alex Oyón0%
Pierre Mbemba0%
Iker Martinez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jonathan Dubasin21%
Pablo García17%
Gaspar Campos12%
José Ángel8%
Guille Rosas8%
Nico Serrano6%
Víctor Campuzano5%
César Gelabert5%
Kevin Vázquez5%
Nikola Maraš4%
Diego Sánchez3%
Juan Otero3%
Lander Olaetxea3%
Ignacio Méndez2%
Ignacio Martín2%
Jordy Caicedo0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Eric Curbelo0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Róber Pier0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Dani Queipo0%
Alex Oyón0%
Pierre Mbemba0%
Iker Martinez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nico Serrano28%
Juan Otero23%
Jonathan Dubasin21%
Gaspar Campos12%
Ignacio Méndez8%
Víctor Campuzano8%
Dani Queipo7%
José Ángel4%
César Gelabert2%
Jordy Caicedo0%
Nikola Maraš0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Eric Curbelo0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Kevin Vázquez0%
Róber Pier0%
Lander Olaetxea0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Diego Sánchez0%
Alex Oyón0%
Pierre Mbemba0%
Iker Martinez0%
Racing Ferrol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álvaro Giménez13%
Eneko Jauregi13%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara8%
Nacho Sánchez7%
Bebé6%
Luis Perea6%
Josep Señé5%
Josué Dorrio5%
Aitor Buñuel3%
Christian Borrego3%
Aleksa Puric3%
Alex López0%
Emanuel Insua0%
Róber0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Naldo0%
Erick Cabaco0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Heber Pena Picos0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
David Castro0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Raúl Blanco0%
Brais Martínez0%
Naim García0%
David Carballo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Naldo32%
Aleksa Puric32%
David Castro31%
Erick Cabaco25%
Francisco De La Manzanara25%
Róber21%
Josep Señé20%
Moises Delgado19%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara12%
Christian Borrego11%
Álvaro Giménez11%
Nacho Sánchez10%
Aitor Buñuel10%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán10%
Emanuel Insua9%
Eneko Jauregi8%
Julián Delmás6%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez6%
Naim García6%
Brais Martínez5%
Josué Dorrio5%
Alex López0%
Luis Perea0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Bebé0%
Heber Pena Picos0%
Raúl Blanco0%
David Carballo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josep Señé7%
Josué Dorrio7%
Heber Pena Picos6%
Naim García6%
Róber4%
Francisco De La Manzanara4%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara4%
Aitor Buñuel3%
Naldo3%
Christian Borrego3%
Álvaro Giménez3%
Alex López0%
Emanuel Insua0%
Luis Perea0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Nacho Sánchez0%
Erick Cabaco0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Bebé0%
Eneko Jauregi0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
David Castro0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Raúl Blanco0%
Brais Martínez0%
Aleksa Puric0%
David Carballo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bebé19%
Álvaro Giménez8%
Raúl Blanco7%
Luis Perea6%
Aleksa Puric5%
Josué Dorrio5%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara4%
Nacho Sánchez3%
Eneko Jauregi3%
Josep Señé2%
Alex López0%
Emanuel Insua0%
Róber0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Naldo0%
Erick Cabaco0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Aitor Buñuel0%
Heber Pena Picos0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
David Castro0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Christian Borrego0%
Brais Martínez0%
Naim García0%
David Carballo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Mirandes
Oviedo
Levante
Elche
Racing Santander
Almeria
Granada CF
Huesca
Eibar
Albacete
Cadiz
Cordoba
Burgos
Castellón
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
Zaragoza
Eldense
Tenerife
FC Cartagena