ST Johnstone vs Dundee Result & Analysis

The encounter between ST Johnstone and Dundee is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The odds are almost even: 28% for a home victory, 31% for a draw and 41% for Dundee to come away with the win. The average goal tally is 2.3, so a 2-goal match is most probable, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4% chance. ST Johnstone, playing at home against a similarly-strength opponent, averages 0.89 goals scored and 1.22 conceded, while Dundee, on the road, scores 1.75 and concedes 1.08 against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 86.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.3%, Under 3.5 at 79.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 78.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 75.0%, and Under 5.5 cards at 70.9%. The match is finely balanced, with no clear favourite beyond the slight edge for Dundee.

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, an away win, failed to materialise, leaving the game to finish 2-2. The model’s call was wrong, with a 41% probability of a Dundee victory. The match ended in a draw, the final score 2-2, matching the model’s predicted most likely score of 1-1? no. The suggested picks delivered a mixed bag: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 86.5%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 82.3%, Under 3.5 missed at 79.9%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 78.6%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 75.0%, and Under 5.5 cards hit at 70.9%. Home form was shaky with two straight defeats, while Dundee came off a win, yet the result was a stalemate.