This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.20
2.13
1.20
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.59
1.17
2.14
1.14
1.07
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.4%
No
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
0-0 â
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
St Patrick's Athl. goals ↓
Bohemians goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
5.8%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
1
13%
13%
4.5%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.4%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.5%
5.1%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St Patrick's Athl. goals (down), columns = Bohemians goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
2.00
Derry City
1.81
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Shelbourne
1.67
Dundalk
1.61
Bohemians
1.61
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
1.03
Waterford
1.00
Cork City
0.86
UCD
0.31
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.11 points better than Bohemians in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.61).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.86
Dundalk
1.64
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.58
Bohemians
1.47
Shelbourne
1.22
Drogheda United
1.11
Waterford
1.00
Sligo Rovers
1.00
Cork City
0.97
UCD
0.53
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.17 goals better than Bohemians in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.47).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derry City
0.67
Shelbourne
0.75
Shamrock Rovers
0.75
Waterford
1.00
Bohemians
1.11
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Dundalk
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.50
Cork City
1.76
UCD
2.67
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.06 goals worse than Bohemians in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.11).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Bohemians
57%
Dundalk
56%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
Sligo Rovers
49%
St Patrick's Athl.
46%
Cork City
45%
Drogheda United
40%
UCD
38%
St Patrick's Athl. is 11.2 percentage points worse than Bohemians in terms of average possession (46% vs 57%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
St Patrick's Athl.
For 4.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.8 · Total 7.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.2 · Total 24.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
For 6.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.2
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 9.0 · Total 21.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St Patrick's Athl.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.8
10.0
1.3
1.3
1.4
24.2
22.2
28.0
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
6.0
10.0
8.0
10.0
6.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
9.2
9.2
9.0
1.2
1.1
1.4
24.0
22.7
28.0
vs Weaker (15)
11.0
10.0
12.0
0.7
0.6
0.8
24.5
21.0
28.0
% over line
60%
50%
75%
18%
16%
20%
67%
50%
100%
% under line
40%
50%
25%
82%
84%
80%
33%
50%
0%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
10.0
16.0
0.4
0.8
0.0
21.2
21.5
20.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
11.2
10.0
16.0
0.5
0.9
0.0
21.2
21.5
20.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
50%
100%
6%
12%
0%
40%
50%
0%
% under line
40%
50%
0%
94%
88%
100%
60%
50%
100%
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
11.2
Shamrock Rovers
10.0
Sligo Rovers
10.0
Cork City
9.7
St Patrick's Athl.
9.3
Derry City
9.2
Drogheda United
9.0
UCD
8.8
Shelbourne
7.8
Dundalk
7.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St Patrick's Athl.
7.3
Derry City
6.1
Dundalk
5.4
Shelbourne
5.2
UCD
5.0
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Sligo Rovers
4.6
Bohemians
4.4
Drogheda United
3.5
Cork City
3.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Derry City
26.2
Shelbourne
26.2
Dundalk
26.0
Sligo Rovers
25.6
Drogheda United
24.3
St Patrick's Athl.
24.2
Cork City
24.0
Shamrock Rovers
22.6
UCD
21.2
Bohemians
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.7%
Under 9.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.6%
Under 3.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.7%
Under 21.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
St Patrick's Athl.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
0.80
0.27
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.50
0.91
0.36
0.89
0.67
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.83
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.67
0.67
0.20
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.45
0.59
0.71
0.71
0.20
0.47
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
St Patrick's Athl.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.77
1.40
0.53
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.90
1.36
0.55
0.56
1.33
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.63
1.47
0.53
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.14
0.59
1.43
0.43
0.87
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
St Patrick's Athl.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Mulraney18%
Joe Redmond18%
Mason Melia17%
Mark Doyle15%
Conor Carty15%
Christopher Forrester14%
Kian Leavy11%
Sam Curtis8%
Tom Lonergan8%
Harry Brockbank0%
Eoin Doyle0%
Thijs Timmermans0%
David Norman0%
Jamie Lennon0%
Jason McClelland0%
Anto Breslin0%
Dean Lyness0%
Ben McCormack0%
John-Alan McGrath0%
Alex Nolan0%
Adam Murphy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John-Alan McGrath50%
Jamie Lennon45%
Thijs Timmermans33%
Jake Mulraney27%
Sam Curtis25%
Mason Melia17%
Mark Doyle15%
Conor Carty15%
Christopher Forrester14%
Anto Breslin14%
David Norman12%
Alex Nolan12%
Ben McCormack11%
Tom Lonergan8%
Adam Murphy8%
Harry Brockbank0%
Eoin Doyle0%
Jason McClelland0%
Dean Lyness0%
Joe Redmond0%
Kian Leavy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie Lennon27%
Jake Mulraney9%
Joe Redmond9%
Sam Curtis8%
Adam Murphy8%
Christopher Forrester7%
Dean Lyness7%
Harry Brockbank0%
Eoin Doyle0%
Thijs Timmermans0%
David Norman0%
Jason McClelland0%
Mark Doyle0%
Anto Breslin0%
Ben McCormack0%
Conor Carty0%
Kian Leavy0%
John-Alan McGrath0%
Alex Nolan0%
Tom Lonergan0%
Mason Melia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamie Lennon18%
Conor Carty15%
Christopher Forrester14%
Kian Leavy11%
Jake Mulraney9%
Mark Doyle8%
Harry Brockbank0%
Eoin Doyle0%
Thijs Timmermans0%
David Norman0%
Jason McClelland0%
Anto Breslin0%
Dean Lyness0%
Joe Redmond0%
Sam Curtis0%
Ben McCormack0%
John-Alan McGrath0%
Alex Nolan0%
Tom Lonergan0%
Adam Murphy0%
Mason Melia0%
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonathan Afolabi53%
James Clarke27%
Daniel Grant17%
Alistair Coote14%
John O'Sullivan11%
James McManus8%
Kacper Radkowski8%
Krystian Nowak0%
James Akintunde0%
Adam McDonnell0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Declan McDaid0%
Jordan Flores0%
James Talbot0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Keith Buckley0%
Kristopher Twardek0%
Cian Byrne0%
Bartlomiej KukuÅowicz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adam McDonnell50%
James Akintunde25%
Dylan Connolly21%
Jordan Flores21%
Paddy Kirk15%
John O'Sullivan11%
Bartlomiej KukuÅowicz11%
Keith Buckley8%
Kacper Radkowski8%
Krystian Nowak7%
Jonathan Afolabi7%
James Clarke7%
Declan McDaid0%
James Talbot0%
Daniel Grant0%
Kristopher Twardek0%
Cian Byrne0%
Alistair Coote0%
James McManus0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dylan Connolly21%
Jordan Flores21%
Jonathan Afolabi20%
James Clarke13%
Bartlomiej KukuÅowicz11%
Keith Buckley8%
James McManus8%
Paddy Kirk8%
Krystian Nowak0%
James Akintunde0%
Adam McDonnell0%
Kacper Radkowski0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Declan McDaid0%
James Talbot0%
Daniel Grant0%
Kristopher Twardek0%
Cian Byrne0%
Alistair Coote0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonathan Afolabi47%
Adam McDonnell25%
Jordan Flores14%
Daniel Grant8%
Alistair Coote7%
James Clarke7%
Krystian Nowak0%
James Akintunde0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Kacper Radkowski0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Declan McDaid0%
James Talbot0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Keith Buckley0%
Kristopher Twardek0%
Cian Byrne0%
Bartlomiej KukuÅowicz0%
James McManus0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Bohemians have a similar squad value (both €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Bohemians have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Bohemians have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Bohemians have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Cork City
UCD
Waterford