This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.23
1.81
0.81
1.64
1.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.64
1.27
1.83
1.17
1.40
1.40
vs Weaker (19)
1.79
1.21
1.80
0.60
1.78
1.89
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
Stade Brestois 29 goals ↓
Lorient goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
6.6%
6.2%
3.4%
1.4%
1
5.7%
12%
8.9%
4.8%
1.9%
2
4.9%
7.8%
6.3%
3.4%
1.4%
3
2.3%
3.7%
3.0%
1.6%
0.7%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stade Brestois 29 goals (down), columns = Lorient goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Reims
2.32
Nimes
1.92
Le Havre
1.74
Stade Brestois 29
1.71
Clermont Foot
1.66
Lorient
1.63
Paris FC
1.61
Chateauroux
1.58
Ajaccio
1.43
Sochaux
1.39
Auxerre
1.24
Orleans
1.21
Valenciennes
1.18
Lens
1.13
Niort
1.11
Nancy
1.00
Bourg Peronnas
0.95
Rouen
0.87
Tours
0.61
Stade Brestois 29 is 0.08 points better than Lorient in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nimes
1.97
Reims
1.95
Lorient
1.61
Stade Brestois 29
1.53
Clermont Foot
1.42
Le Havre
1.39
Orleans
1.37
Auxerre
1.34
Sochaux
1.34
Bourg Peronnas
1.32
Valenciennes
1.32
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.28
Lens
1.26
Niort
1.24
Paris FC
1.21
Rouen
1.18
Nancy
1.03
Tours
0.89
Stade Brestois 29 is 0.08 goals worse than Lorient in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Reims
0.63
Le Havre
0.89
Paris FC
0.95
Clermont Foot
0.95
Nimes
0.97
Stade Brestois 29
1.13
Lorient
1.21
Lens
1.29
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.36
Nancy
1.42
Auxerre
1.45
Niort
1.58
Orleans
1.61
Sochaux
1.63
Valenciennes
1.68
Rouen
1.74
Tours
1.79
Bourg Peronnas
2.29
Stade Brestois 29 is 0.08 goals better than Lorient in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stade Brestois 29
For 5.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Lorient
For 3.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Stade Brestois 29
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.1
9.9
2.5
2.6
2.5
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.5
11.6
7.7
1.4
1.7
1.3
-
-
-
vs Weaker (33)
11.0
10.9
11.2
3.1
2.8
3.4
-
-
-
% over line
59%
75%
44%
32%
32%
32%
-
-
-
% under line
41%
25%
56%
68%
68%
68%
-
-
-
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.1
3.7
3.8
3.5
22.2
21.3
23.0
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
12.5
8.7
2.8
3.0
2.7
23.2
20.5
25.0
vs Similar (19)
10.2
9.5
11.0
3.6
3.6
3.6
21.2
21.5
21.0
vs Weaker (26)
9.7
9.6
9.8
3.9
4.0
3.8
22.6
21.7
24.0
% over line
48%
46%
50%
48%
54%
42%
61%
56%
67%
% under line
52%
54%
50%
52%
46%
58%
39%
44%
33%
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Le Havre
11.0
Chateauroux
11.0
Rouen
10.7
Reims
10.5
Stade Brestois 29
10.5
Sochaux
10.1
Clermont Foot
10.1
Auxerre
10.0
Lorient
10.0
Niort
9.9
Valenciennes
9.7
Lens
9.6
Orleans
9.4
Nimes
9.4
Nancy
9.2
Bourg Peronnas
9.1
Tours
9.1
Paris FC
8.9
Ajaccio
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nimes
5.4
Orleans
4.5
Niort
4.5
Rouen
4.4
Paris FC
4.3
Ajaccio
4.2
Nancy
4.2
Lens
4.1
Tours
4.1
Valenciennes
4.0
Bourg Peronnas
3.9
Stade Brestois 29
3.9
Reims
3.8
Sochaux
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.7
Lorient
3.7
Auxerre
3.6
Le Havre
3.6
Chateauroux
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
28.2
Nancy
25.3
Lorient
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.3%
Under 9.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stade Brestois 29
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.40
0.67
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.45
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
0.42
0.63
0.40
0.80
0.44
0.44
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.62
0.31
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.64
0.83
0.50
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (19)
0.68
0.47
0.50
0.20
0.89
0.78
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stade Brestois 29
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.53
0.80
0.27
1.13
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.55
0.40
0.20
1.17
0.83
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
0.53
1.00
0.30
1.11
0.78
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.70
1.19
0.50
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.64
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (19)
1.11
0.74
1.30
0.40
0.89
1.11
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Stade Brestois 29 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Romain Del Castillo27%
Ludovic Ajorque22%
Remy Labeau Lascary21%
Julien Le Cardinal17%
Kamory Doumbia17%
Junior Dina Ebimbe15%
Mama Baldé11%
Joris Chotard6%
Lucas Tousart4%
Daouda Guindo4%
Pathé Mboup4%
Brendan Chardonnet3%
Hugo Magnetti3%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Kenny Lala0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Soumaila Coulibaly0%
Bradley Locko0%
Michel Diaz0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Raphaël Le Guen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ludovic Ajorque28%
Kamory Doumbia25%
Michel Diaz24%
Brendan Chardonnet23%
Pathé Mboup21%
Soumaila Coulibaly19%
Julien Le Cardinal17%
Daouda Guindo15%
Hugo Magnetti15%
Kenny Lala15%
Junior Dina Ebimbe11%
Grégoire Coudert8%
Remy Labeau Lascary7%
Romain Del Castillo6%
Joris Chotard6%
Lucas Tousart0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Mama Baldé0%
Bradley Locko0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Raphaël Le Guen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ludovic Ajorque22%
Kamory Doumbia17%
Romain Del Castillo12%
Mama Baldé11%
Brendan Chardonnet10%
Kenny Lala9%
Bradley Locko9%
Daouda Guindo4%
Remy Labeau Lascary4%
Hugo Magnetti3%
Joris Chotard3%
Lucas Tousart0%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Junior Dina Ebimbe0%
Soumaila Coulibaly0%
Michel Diaz0%
Pathé Mboup0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Raphaël Le Guen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ludovic Ajorque19%
Julien Le Cardinal17%
Mama Baldé16%
Kamory Doumbia8%
Remy Labeau Lascary7%
Pathé Mboup7%
Romain Del Castillo6%
Joris Chotard6%
Junior Dina Ebimbe4%
Brendan Chardonnet3%
Lucas Tousart0%
Hugo Magnetti0%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Kenny Lala0%
Radosław Majecki0%
Soumaila Coulibaly0%
Bradley Locko0%
Daouda Guindo0%
Michel Diaz0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Raphaël Le Guen0%
Lorient · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng44%
Pablo Pagis28%
Aiyegun Tosin18%
Noah Cadiou13%
Jean-Victor Makengo11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Sambou Soumano9%
Théo Le Bris6%
Karim Dermane6%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Arsène Kouassi6%
Panos Katseris6%
Igor Silva5%
Laurent Abergel3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoulaye Faye42%
Laurent Abergel27%
Bamo Meïté21%
Panos Katseris17%
Darlin Yongwa16%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng16%
Mohamed Bamba16%
Arsène Kouassi15%
Bingourou Kamara14%
Montassar Talbi13%
Arthur Avom Ebong12%
Noah Cadiou6%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Igor Silva5%
Aiyegun Tosin4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arsène Kouassi18%
Pablo Pagis12%
Panos Katseris11%
Igor Silva11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Bamo Meïté10%
Théo Le Bris9%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Darlin Yongwa4%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng4%
Noah Cadiou3%
Montassar Talbi3%
Arthur Avom Ebong3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Aiyegun Tosin0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng32%
Pablo Pagis25%
Aiyegun Tosin11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Nathaniel Adjei6%
Noah Cadiou3%
Sambou Soumano3%
Igor Silva0%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Karim Dermane0%
Panos Katseris0%
Arsène Kouassi0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
SOC (20)
€7m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
BP (8)
€1m
CHA (5)
€1m
Stade Brestois 29's squad is €23m less valuable than Lorient's (€64m vs €87m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
NAN (9)
€5m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
BP (2)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Stade Brestois 29's attack is €5m more valuable than Lorient's (€25m vs €20m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
REI (6)
€13m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
BP (0)
€0m
Stade Brestois 29's midfield is €12m less valuable than Lorient's (€20m vs €32m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
CF (12)
€10m
NAN (11)
€6m
SOC (9)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
ROU (6)
€1m
BP (6)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Stade Brestois 29's defence is €16m less valuable than Lorient's (€19m vs €35m).
France: Ligue 2 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Ajaccio
Reims
Nimes
Le Havre
Clermont Foot
Paris FC
Chateauroux
Sochaux
Auxerre
Orleans
Valenciennes
Lens
Niort
Nancy
Bourg Peronnas
Rouen
Tours