Standard Liege vs Antwerp Result & Analysis

The contest between Standard Liege and Antwerp is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away victory. The probabilities are 37% for a Standard Liege win, 28% for a draw, and 35% for an Antwerp win. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 13.6% chance. Standard Liege, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded, while Antwerp, on the road, averages 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against similar teams. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 89.6%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.0%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 72.3%, and Under 3.5 goals at 72.2%. Recent form shows Standard Liege on a two-game winning streak after a 2-1 win over OH Leuven, whereas Antwerp has just bounced back from a loss, having lost 1-4 to St. Truiden. All figures are presented as percentages, with the home win as the model’s pick.

The pre-match favourite, Standard Liege, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s home-win call incorrect. Standard Liege, riding a two-game winning streak, had a 37% chance of victory, while the model had given Antwerp a 35% chance and a 28% chance of a draw. The model’s selection of Over 2.5 cards proved right, hitting the 89.6% probability, and Over 1.5 cards also hit at 75.7%. The other picks - Over 3.5 cards (77% probability, missed), Under 11.5 corners (72.3%, hit) and Under 3.5 (72.2%, hit) - were settled accordingly. The game’s final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, which had a 13.6% chance.