This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.57
1.50
1.71
1.12
1.44
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
2.17
1.50
2.75
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.41
1.53
1.71
1.29
1.20
1.70
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
1.14
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.61-4.4%
Under 2.5
46.0%
@ 2.26+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.0%
1-2 ✓
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
Standard Liege goals ↓
KV Mechelen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
5.2%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
1
9.2%
12%
6.0%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.8%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.3%
5.7%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.3%
2.5%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Standard Liege goals (down), columns = KV Mechelen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.41
Gent
1.90
Charleroi
1.86
Antwerp
1.83
Standard Liege
1.69
Genk
1.52
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.24
Mouscron
1.24
Kortrijk
1.14
St. Truiden
1.14
Eupen
1.03
Cercle Brugge
0.79
Oostende
0.76
SK Beveren
0.69
Standard Liege is 0.17 points better than KV Mechelen in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.52).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gent
2.03
Club Brugge KV
2.00
Charleroi
1.69
Antwerp
1.69
Standard Liege
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
Anderlecht
1.55
Genk
1.55
Zulte Waregem
1.41
Kortrijk
1.38
Mouscron
1.31
St. Truiden
1.14
Oostende
1.00
Eupen
0.97
Cercle Brugge
0.93
SK Beveren
0.72
Standard Liege is 0.03 goals better than KV Mechelen in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.59).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.48
Charleroi
0.79
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.10
Standard Liege
1.10
Gent
1.17
Mouscron
1.38
Genk
1.45
KV Mechelen
1.48
Kortrijk
1.52
Zulte Waregem
1.69
St. Truiden
1.72
Eupen
1.76
Cercle Brugge
1.86
Oostende
2.00
SK Beveren
2.07
Standard Liege is 0.38 goals better than KV Mechelen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Standard Liege
For 6.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 14.2 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KV Mechelen
For 4.8 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 15.4 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Standard Liege
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.1
9.0
5.0
4.5
5.5
27.9
27.3
28.6
vs Stronger (10)
8.9
8.6
9.2
3.9
3.4
4.4
22.7
21.0
23.5
vs Similar (23)
9.0
9.1
8.9
6.4
5.6
7.2
32.9
32.7
33.0
vs Weaker (17)
10.7
12.2
9.0
3.7
3.7
3.8
23.2
24.0
21.0
% over line
46%
52%
40%
68%
56%
80%
79%
86%
71%
% under line
54%
48%
60%
32%
44%
20%
21%
14%
29%
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.8
4.1
4.5
3.7
28.7
28.9
28.6
vs Stronger (10)
10.0
9.8
10.2
4.2
3.8
4.8
25.0
26.0
23.0
vs Similar (27)
8.7
8.8
8.7
4.2
5.2
3.4
30.9
30.2
31.5
vs Weaker (13)
12.7
14.0
11.7
3.7
3.7
3.7
26.7
29.0
25.5
% over line
43%
50%
36%
66%
71%
62%
86%
100%
71%
% under line
57%
50%
64%
34%
29%
38%
14%
0%
29%
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Eupen
10.7
Genk
10.7
Gent
10.5
Club Brugge KV
10.5
SK Beveren
10.4
Kortrijk
10.3
St. Truiden
10.2
Antwerp
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Cercle Brugge
9.8
Anderlecht
9.8
Mouscron
9.8
Oostende
9.7
Standard Liege
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.4
Charleroi
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.0
Antwerp
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.8
Mouscron
4.8
St. Truiden
4.7
Gent
4.7
KV Mechelen
4.6
Anderlecht
4.6
Charleroi
4.6
SK Beveren
4.5
Oostende
4.3
Eupen
4.3
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Genk
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.1
Kortrijk
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Charleroi
30.0
Kortrijk
29.8
Mouscron
29.1
Zulte Waregem
28.7
KV Mechelen
28.7
Anderlecht
28.5
Eupen
28.1
Standard Liege
27.9
Antwerp
27.8
Gent
27.6
Cercle Brugge
27.6
SK Beveren
27.3
Oostende
26.8
St. Truiden
26.7
Club Brugge KV
26.4
Genk
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.1%
Under 9.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.6%
Under 3.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.0%
Under 21.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Standard Liege
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
1.13
0.40
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.60
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.33
1.50
0.25
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.86
0.79
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.88
0.86
0.71
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.29
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Standard Liege
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.50
1.47
0.40
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.47
1.80
0.20
0.90
0.60
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.56
1.38
0.62
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.64
0.93
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.75
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.65
0.86
0.57
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.86
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Standard Liege · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dennis Eckert Ayensa50%
Salieu Drammeh33%
Casper Nielsen25%
Adnane Abid25%
Bernard Nguene25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matthieu Epolo50%
Ryan Fosso33%
Casper Nielsen25%
Alexis Trouillet25%
Gustav Mortensen25%
Adnane Abid25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Bernard Nguene0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Casper Nielsen50%
Adnane Abid50%
Marlon Fossey25%
Bernard Nguene25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bernard Nguene75%
Salieu Drammeh33%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa25%
Adnane Abid25%
Casper Nielsen0%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
KV Mechelen · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Myron Van Brederode50%
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Massimo Decoene33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Fredrik Hammar25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Adeshina Ayodele0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Standard Liege's squad is €9m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€54m vs €45m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
Standard Liege's attack is €2m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€14m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Standard Liege's midfield is €1m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€8m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
Standard Liege's defence is €6m more valuable than KV Mechelen's (€31m vs €25m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Gent
Charleroi
Antwerp
Genk
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
Oostende
SK Beveren