This opponent (Morton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.37
0.87
1.33
1.07
1.40
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.04
1.33
1.00
1.23
1.07
1.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.3%
Under 2.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
Stenhousemuir goals ↓
Morton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
7.3%
2.9%
0.9%
1
9.7%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.0%
7.2%
4.4%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.2%
2.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stenhousemuir goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.25
Aberdeen
2.20
ST Mirren
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Turriff United
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Dundee North End
1.75
Brechin
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Fraserburgh
1.75
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Culter
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Rangers
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Livingston
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Queen's Park
1.25
Tweedmouth
1.03
Lossiemouth
1.03
Johnstone Burgh
1.03
St Cadoc's
1.03
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Keith
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Morton
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Stenhousemuir is 1.50 points better than Morton in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Threave Rovers
4.00
Peterhead
4.00
Stirling
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Lochee United
3.33
Ayr Utd
3.33
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Celtic
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Fraserburgh
2.75
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Culter
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Aberdeen
2.40
Bo'ness United
2.33
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
ST Mirren
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Dundee North End
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Partick
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Livingston
1.67
Dunfermline
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Brechin
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Broxburn Athletic
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Tweedmouth
1.41
Lossiemouth
1.41
Johnstone Burgh
1.41
St Cadoc's
1.41
Hibernian
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Kilmarnock
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Pollok
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Keith
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Morton
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Stenhousemuir is 2.50 goals better than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 0.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Turriff United
0.50
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Rangers
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Hibernian
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Culter
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Stirling
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Dunfermline
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Stranraer
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Keith
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Morton
2.00
Partick
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Tweedmouth
2.09
Lossiemouth
2.09
Johnstone Burgh
2.09
St Cadoc's
2.09
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Peterhead
3.00
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
Stenhousemuir is 0.50 goals better than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stenhousemuir
For 4.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Morton
For 4.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stenhousemuir
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.1
8.3
3.8
3.9
3.7
23.7
24.0
23.4
vs Stronger (44)
8.3
8.2
8.5
3.7
3.6
3.8
24.0
24.6
23.3
vs Similar (5)
7.4
8.0
6.5
6.0
6.7
5.0
21.8
20.0
24.5
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
27%
40%
56%
58%
54%
62%
59%
65%
% under line
67%
73%
60%
44%
42%
46%
38%
41%
35%
This opponent (Morton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.7
9.8
1.0
1.3
0.7
22.9
22.6
23.4
vs Stronger (7)
8.0
7.0
9.0
2.7
5.0
1.0
20.2
20.5
20.0
vs Similar (41)
10.6
10.8
10.3
0.8
1.0
0.7
24.2
23.4
25.7
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
57%
60%
14%
19%
8%
50%
43%
60%
% under line
42%
43%
40%
86%
81%
92%
50%
57%
40%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
11.6
Ross County
11.4
Morton
11.0
Stirling
10.9
Hibernian
10.9
Dundee Utd
10.8
Celtic
10.8
Aberdeen
10.7
ST Mirren
10.7
Falkirk
10.7
Dumbarton
10.6
Rangers
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.4
Dundee
10.3
Airdrie United
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.3
Stranraer
10.2
Elgin
10.2
Kilmarnock
10.2
Partick
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Arbroath
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.7
Dunfermline
9.7
East Fife
9.6
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Motherwell
9.4
Clyde
9.4
Livingston
9.3
Edinburgh City
9.2
Forfar
9.2
Kelty Hearts
9.2
Inverness CT
9.1
Cove Rangers
9.1
Spartans
8.9
Peterhead
8.8
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.9
Peterhead
5.4
Edinburgh City
5.2
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Forfar
5.0
Elgin
4.9
Morton
4.9
Ayr Utd
4.8
Clyde
4.6
Hibernian
4.5
Aberdeen
4.5
Motherwell
4.5
Stranraer
4.4
Stirling
4.3
Spartans
4.3
Partick
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Livingston
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
Kilmarnock
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.1
East Fife
4.1
Falkirk
3.9
ST Mirren
3.9
Kelty Hearts
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.9
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
Dunfermline
3.8
Montrose
3.8
Dumbarton
3.7
Brechin
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Dundee
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Ross County
3.3
Inverness CT
3.2
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.0
Raith Rovers
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
27.4
Peterhead
26.2
Livingston
25.6
Motherwell
25.0
Rangers
24.3
Forfar
24.3
Edinburgh City
24.0
East Fife
23.9
Aberdeen
23.8
Elgin
23.6
Falkirk
23.5
Stenhousemuir
23.4
Kilmarnock
23.4
Heart Of Midlothian
22.9
Clyde
22.6
Morton
22.5
ST Johnstone
22.1
Cowdenbeath
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
Stranraer
21.8
Hibernian
21.7
Stirling
21.5
Inverness CT
21.5
Dundee
21.4
Spartans
21.2
Montrose
21.2
Annan Athletic
21.2
ST Mirren
21.1
Dunfermline
20.9
Celtic
20.8
Kelty Hearts
20.8
Cove Rangers
20.8
Ross County
20.8
Arbroath
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.3
Partick
20.2
Dumbarton
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.9%
Under 9.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.5%
Under 3.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.9%
Under 21.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stenhousemuir or Draw✓ Hit
62.7%
Avg Implied -
32%
31%
37%
covers Stenhousemuir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir or Morton✓ Hit
69.0%
Avg Implied -
32%
31%
37%
covers Stenhousemuir + Morton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Morton✗ Miss
68.2%
Avg Implied -
32%
31%
37%
covers Draw + Morton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.5%
Under
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.9%
Under
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.0%
Under
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.9%
Under
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
Under
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Stenhousemuir, so a minus line means Stenhousemuir give that many goals of a start and Morton receive them. At -1, Stenhousemuir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stenhousemuir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir -2
4.0%
Draw -2
9.1%
Morton +2
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir -1
13.1%
Draw -1
18.7%
Morton +1
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir +1
62.7%
Draw +1
20.7%
Morton -1
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir +2
83.4%
Draw +2
11.1%
Morton -2
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stenhousemuir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.88
0.38
0.29
0.64
vs Stronger (28)
0.57
0.54
0.87
0.40
0.23
0.69
vs Similar (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.40
0.73
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.41
0.63
0.46
0.69
0.36
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stenhousemuir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.81
0.44
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (28)
0.68
0.46
0.80
0.40
0.54
0.54
vs Similar (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.47
0.60
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.70
0.54
0.54
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Morton have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Morton have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Morton have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Morton have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
Scotland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
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