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Stirling vs Montrose Result & Analysis

Date: 12/09/2015
Time: 00:00
Final 1-0
Stirling
Stirling
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stirling win✓ Hit
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Montrose win✗ Miss
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D13L01L32WH·CLY08/08A·ANN15/08H·BER22/08A·ELG29/08A·EAS05/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.600.502.001.331.33
vs Stronger (3)1.332.001.003.001.501.50
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %0% (-27pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W20W23L20WA·BER08/08H·ARB15/08H·CLY22/08A·ANN29/08H·ELG05/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.002.330.001.502.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.501.002.000.001.002.00
vs Weaker (3)2.331.002.500.002.003.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-0 ✓
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
Stirling goals ↓
Montrose goals →
01234
05.5%5.3%4.6%2.2%0.8%
16.4%12%7.7%3.7%1.3%
26.3%9.0%6.4%3.1%1.1%
33.5%5.0%3.6%1.7%0.6%
41.5%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Montrose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.58
Queens Park
1.56
Annan Athletic
1.56
Berwick
1.36
Stirling
1.33
Montrose
1.19
Arbroath
1.08
East Stirling
0.89
Stirling is 0.14 points better than Montrose in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.92
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Stirling
1.31
Queens Park
1.28
Berwick
1.25
Arbroath
1.17
East Stirling
1.14
Stirling is 0.08 goals worse than Montrose in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.39).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.89
East Fife
1.14
Clyde
1.25
Elgin
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Berwick
1.39
Arbroath
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.58
Montrose
1.94
East Stirling
2.19
Stirling is 0.67 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.94).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StirlingStirling

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MontroseMontrose

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L01L21WH·CLY08/08A·ANN15/08H·BER22/08A·ELG29/08A·EAS05/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.001.000.670.67
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W00D02L10WA·BER08/08H·ARB15/08H·CLY22/08A·ANN29/08H·ELG05/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.601.000.000.501.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D11D00D11DH·CLY08/08A·ANN15/08H·BER22/08A·ELG29/08A·EAS05/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.501.000.670.67
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W21W10WA·BER08/08H·ARB15/08H·CLY22/08A·ANN29/08H·ELG05/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.401.330.001.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.500.002.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Stirling and Montrose have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Stirling and Montrose have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Stirling and Montrose have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Stirling and Montrose have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
STI wins
0
Draws
0
MON wins

Head-to-head

Stirling vs Montrose · H/A from STI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/09/15AEast Stirling Vs STI2-3
29/08/15AElgin Vs STI1-0
22/08/15HSTI Vs Berwick1-3
15/08/15AAnnan Athletic Vs STI1-1
08/08/15HSTI Vs Clyde0-1

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/09/15HMON Vs Elgin2-0
29/08/15AAnnan Athletic Vs MON3-2
22/08/15HMON Vs Clyde2-0
15/08/15HMON Vs Arbroath3-0
08/08/15ABerwick Vs MON2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW0.80
HomeLL0.00
AwayDLW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%0%33%
AVG goals2.602.502.67
Over 1.5 %60%50%67%
Over 2.5 %40%50%33%
Over 3.5 %40%50%33%
Scored1.000.501.33
Conceded1.602.001.33
BTTS60%50%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.80
HomeWWW3.00
AwayLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%100%0%
AVG goals3.002.334.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %60%33%100%
Over 3.5 %20%0%50%
Scored2.002.331.50
Conceded1.000.002.50
BTTS40%0%100%
Clean Sheet60%100%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East FifeEast Fife3662
50%
1.7
6241+21
2.9
78%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
2ElginElgin3659
47%
1.6
5946+13
2.9
81%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3ClydeClyde3657
47%
1.6
5645+11
2.8
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3656
42%
1.6
4632+14
2.2
64%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
5Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3656
44%
1.6
6957+12
3.5
81%
64%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6
B
Berwick
3649
39%
1.4
4550-5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7StirlingStirling3648
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.6
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
8MontroseMontrose3643
31%
1.2
5070-20
3.3
86%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
9ArbroathArbroath3639
31%
1.1
4251-9
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
10
ES
East Stirling
3632
25%
0.9
4179-38
3.3
83%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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