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Tabor Sežana vs Bilje Result & Analysis

Date: 10/10/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-1
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Vs
51%
26%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tabor Sežana win✗ Miss
50.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bilje win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D00D10W10W20W10W30W11D21W13LA·TOL23/05H·KRK09/08A·DRA16/08H·GOR24/08A·KRŠ31/08H·JES06/09A·DEK13/09H·ILI21/09H·BIS28/09A·NAF04/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.901.600.931.670.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.640.961.641.001.640.93
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L12L21W10W20W11D21W21W00DA·KRK23/05H·TRI09/08A·SLO15/08H·RUD23/08A·KRK31/08H·DRA06/09A·GOR13/09H·KRŠ20/09A·JES28/09H·DEK04/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.431.061.001.431.93
vs Stronger (8)1.122.621.332.331.002.80
vs Similar (21)1.241.001.000.691.621.50
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
Tabor Sežana goals ↓
Bilje goals →
01234
07.4%5.6%3.6%1.3%0.4%
19.4%13%6.2%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.7%5.2%1.9%0.5%
35.1%5.5%3.0%1.1%0.3%
42.1%2.3%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tabor Sežana goals (down), columns = Bilje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Tabor Sežana is 0.53 points better than Bilje in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Tabor Sežana is 0.33 goals better than Bilje in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 0.90).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Tabor Sežana is 0.47 goals better than Bilje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D10W00D10W00D10W00D21W01LA·TOL23/05H·KRK09/08A·DRA16/08H·GOR24/08A·KRŠ31/08H·JES06/09A·DEK13/09H·ILI21/09H·BIS28/09A·NAF04/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.330.670.401.130.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.930.360.710.431.140.29
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D01L00D10W10W20W10W00DA·KRK23/05H·TRI09/08A·SLO15/08H·RUD23/08A·KRK31/08H·DRA06/09A·GOR13/09H·KRŠ20/09A·JES28/09H·DEK04/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.440.690.710.86
vs Stronger (8)0.501.500.331.330.601.60
vs Similar (21)0.570.520.460.540.750.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D10W10W10W20W11D00D12LA·TOL23/05H·KRK09/08A·DRA16/08H·GOR24/08A·KRŠ31/08H·JES06/09A·DEK13/09H·ILI21/09H·BIS28/09A·NAF04/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.930.530.530.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.710.610.930.570.500.64
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L01L20W10W10W01L01L11D00DA·KRK23/05H·TRI09/08A·SLO15/08H·RUD23/08A·KRK31/08H·DRA06/09A·GOR13/09H·KRŠ20/09A·JES28/09H·DEK04/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.620.310.711.07
vs Stronger (8)0.621.121.001.000.401.20
vs Similar (21)0.670.480.540.150.881.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Tabor Sežana and Bilje have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Tabor Sežana and Bilje have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Tabor Sežana and Bilje have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Tabor Sežana and Bilje have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
TS wins
2
Draws
0
BIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tabor Sežana vs Bilje · H/A from TS
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/25ABilje Vs TS1-3
03/11/24HTS Vs Bilje2-2
09/03/24HTS Vs Bilje3-1
20/08/23ABilje Vs TS1-1

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25ANafta Vs TS3-1
28/09/25HTS Vs Bistrica2-1
21/09/25HTS Vs Ilirija1-1
13/09/25ADekani Vs TS0-3
06/09/25HTS Vs Jesenice1-0
31/08/25AKrško Vs TS0-2
24/08/25HTS Vs Gorica1-0
16/08/25ADravinja Vs TS0-1
09/08/25HTS Vs Krka0-0
23/05/25ATolmin Vs TS3-3

BiljeBilje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25HBIL Vs Dekani0-0
28/09/25AJesenice Vs BIL1-2
20/09/25HBIL Vs Krško2-1
13/09/25AGorica Vs BIL1-1
06/09/25HBIL Vs Dravinja2-0
31/08/25AKrka Vs BIL0-1
23/08/25HBIL Vs Rudar2-1
15/08/25ASlovan Ljubljana Vs BIL2-1
09/08/25HBIL Vs Triglav0-1
23/05/25AKrka Vs BIL2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.88
HomeDWWDW1.96
AwayDWWWL1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals2.782.812.75
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %38%42%33%
Scored1.741.811.67
Conceded1.041.001.08
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.24
HomeLWWWD1.52
AwayDLWDW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.502.162.84
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.141.121.16
Conceded1.361.041.68
BTTS40%28%52%
Clean Sheet32%52%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
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Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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