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Tabor Sežana vs Bistrica Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2025
Time: 18:15
Final 2-1
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Vs
36%
28%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tabor Sežana win✓ Hit
35.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bistrica win✗ Miss
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L33D00D10W10W20W10W30W11DA·BIL11/05H·KRK18/05A·TOL23/05H·KRK09/08A·DRA16/08H·GOR24/08A·KRŠ31/08H·JES06/09A·DEK13/09H·ILI21/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.901.530.931.730.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.640.961.571.001.710.93
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-853W82W12L31W40W20W22D60W21W20WA·TOL11/05H·DEK17/05A·DRA24/05H·RUD08/08A·KRK18/08H·DRA25/08A·GOR31/08H·KRŠ06/09A·JES14/09H·DEK21/09
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.370.932.691.002.000.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)2.250.962.471.072.000.85
vs Weaker (2)4.000.506.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.8%
Under 2.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1 ✓
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
Tabor Sežana goals ↓
Bistrica goals →
01234
07.6%7.6%6.1%2.8%1.0%
17.6%13%8.3%3.8%1.3%
26.0%8.3%5.7%2.6%0.9%
32.8%3.8%2.6%1.2%0.4%
40.9%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tabor Sežana goals (down), columns = Bistrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Tabor Sežana is 0.17 points better than Bistrica in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Tabor Sežana is 0.43 goals worse than Bistrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Tabor Sežana is 0.10 goals better than Bistrica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L21W00D10W00D10W00D10W00DA·BIL11/05H·KRK18/05A·TOL23/05H·KRK09/08A·DRA16/08H·GOR24/08A·KRŠ31/08H·JES06/09A·DEK13/09H·ILI21/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.330.600.401.130.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.890.360.640.431.140.29
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W42W12L20W30W10W11D30W10W10WA·TOL11/05H·DEK17/05A·DRA24/05H·RUD08/08A·KRK18/08H·DRA25/08A·GOR31/08H·KRŠ06/09A·JES14/09H·DEK21/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.471.310.561.140.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.180.501.200.601.150.38
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D12L00D00D10W10W10W20W11DA·BIL11/05H·KRK18/05A·TOL23/05H·KRK09/08A·DRA16/08H·GOR24/08A·KRŠ31/08H·JES06/09A·DEK13/09H·ILI21/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.570.930.530.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.750.610.930.570.570.64
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D40W00D11D10W10W11D30W11D10WA·TOL11/05H·DEK17/05A·DRA24/05H·RUD08/08A·KRK18/08H·DRA25/08A·GOR31/08H·KRŠ06/09A·JES14/09H·DEK21/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.471.380.440.860.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.070.461.270.470.850.46
vs Weaker (2)2.000.503.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Tabor Sežana's squad is €1m more valuable than Bistrica's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Tabor Sežana and Bistrica have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Tabor Sežana and Bistrica have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Tabor Sežana and Bistrica have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
TS wins
2
Draws
1
BIS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tabor Sežana vs Bistrica · H/A from TS
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25ABistrica Vs TS0-0
12/10/24HTS Vs Bistrica0-0
21/04/24HTS Vs Bistrica2-0
30/09/23ABistrica Vs TS1-0

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HTS Vs Ilirija1-1
13/09/25ADekani Vs TS0-3
06/09/25HTS Vs Jesenice1-0
31/08/25AKrško Vs TS0-2
24/08/25HTS Vs Gorica1-0
16/08/25ADravinja Vs TS0-1
09/08/25HTS Vs Krka0-0
23/05/25ATolmin Vs TS3-3
18/05/25HTS Vs Krka0-1
11/05/25ABilje Vs TS1-3

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HBIS Vs Dekani2-0
14/09/25AJesenice Vs BIS1-2
06/09/25HBIS Vs Krško6-0
31/08/25AGorica Vs BIS2-2
25/08/25HBIS Vs Dravinja2-0
18/08/25AKrka Vs BIS0-4
08/08/25HBIS Vs Rudar3-1
24/05/25ADravinja Vs BIS2-1
17/05/25HBIS Vs Dekani8-2
11/05/25ATolmin Vs BIS3-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.84
HomeLDWWD1.88
AwayWDWWW1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.822.852.79
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %40%46%33%
Scored1.741.811.67
Conceded1.081.041.12
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.74
HomeWWWWW2.12
AwayWLWDW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%33%
AVG goals3.263.542.96
Over 1.5 %86%85%88%
Over 2.5 %62%65%58%
Over 3.5 %46%50%42%
Scored1.962.351.54
Conceded1.301.191.42
BTTS62%65%58%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
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Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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