This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.90
1.62
1.00
1.50
0.79
vs Stronger (3)
2.33
1.00
4.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.38
0.86
1.45
1.18
1.30
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
1.00
1.50
0.75
2.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.0%
@ 2.14-3.0%
Under 2.5
59.0%
@ 1.68+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-0 ✓
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
Ternana goals ↓
Bari goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
8.7%
3.9%
1.3%
1
8.4%
14%
8.6%
3.8%
1.3%
2
4.8%
6.4%
4.3%
1.9%
0.6%
3
1.6%
2.1%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ternana goals (down), columns = Bari goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Ternana is 0.51 points worse than Bari in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Ternana is 0.45 goals worse than Bari in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Ternana is 0.42 goals worse than Bari in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ternana
For 9.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bari
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ternana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
8.4
11.7
2.2
2.1
2.3
29.0
30.3
27.8
vs Stronger (21)
12.1
10.8
14.0
1.6
2.1
1.2
28.7
31.0
25.7
vs Similar (29)
9.1
6.8
10.9
2.6
2.1
3.1
29.1
29.8
28.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
30%
82%
32%
33%
31%
90%
90%
91%
% under line
43%
70%
18%
68%
67%
69%
10%
10%
9%
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.3
10.4
1.8
1.6
2.0
28.1
27.9
28.3
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
-
13.0
1.8
0.0
2.3
28.0
-
28.0
vs Similar (37)
10.7
11.4
10.1
2.0
1.8
2.3
28.1
28.0
28.2
vs Weaker (9)
10.8
11.0
10.0
1.1
1.5
0.3
28.0
27.7
29.0
% over line
62%
70%
55%
24%
24%
24%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
38%
30%
45%
76%
76%
76%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.5%
Under 9.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.1%
Under 3.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
94.9%
Under 21.5
5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ternana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.86
0.29
0.25
1.06
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
0.86
0.83
0.33
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.56
0.88
0.25
0.25
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
0.94
0.38
0.71
0.29
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.29
0.64
0.45
0.50
0.10
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.17
1.25
0.25
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ternana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ternana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.21
0.57
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
0.71
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.62
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.56
0.00
0.38
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.69
0.62
0.79
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.57
0.82
0.73
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.83
0.25
0.50
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ternana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ternana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Favilli35%
Anthony Partipilo19%
Stefano Pettinari14%
Antonio Palumbo11%
Mamadou Coulibaly11%
César Falletti9%
Raúl Moro8%
Luca Ghiringhelli8%
Gabriele Capanni6%
Alfredo Donnarumma5%
Valerio Mantovani3%
Salim Diakite3%
Frederik Sørensen3%
Francesco Di Tacchio3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Luka Bogdan0%
Davide Agazzi0%
Marco Capuano0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Bruno Martella0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Federico Mazzarani0%
Marino Defendi0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Mattia Proietti0%
Pietro Rovaglia0%
Samuele Spalluto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samuele Spalluto33%
Francesco Di Tacchio31%
Francesco Cassata30%
Fabrizio Paghera25%
Alessandro Celli25%
Luca Ghiringhelli23%
Andrea Favilli23%
Antonio Palumbo20%
Salim Diakite19%
Marco Capuano18%
Valerio Mantovani17%
Anthony Partipilo17%
Luka Bogdan15%
Marino Defendi15%
Frederik Sørensen15%
Davide Agazzi14%
Mamadou Coulibaly11%
Niccolò Corrado9%
Raúl Moro8%
Antony Iannarilli8%
Stefano Pettinari7%
César Falletti6%
Mattia Proietti6%
Gabriele Capanni6%
Bruno Martella5%
Alfredo Donnarumma0%
Federico Mazzarani0%
Pietro Rovaglia0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Palumbo23%
Alfredo Donnarumma14%
Andrea Favilli12%
Fabrizio Paghera8%
Anthony Partipilo8%
Francesco Cassata7%
Davide Agazzi7%
Stefano Pettinari7%
Marino Defendi5%
Mamadou Coulibaly4%
Valerio Mantovani3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Luca Ghiringhelli0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Marco Capuano0%
Bruno Martella0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Federico Mazzarani0%
César Falletti0%
Francesco Di Tacchio0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Mattia Proietti0%
Pietro Rovaglia0%
Gabriele Capanni0%
Raúl Moro0%
Salim Diakite0%
Samuele Spalluto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrea Favilli27%
Anthony Partipilo25%
Stefano Pettinari7%
Mamadou Coulibaly4%
César Falletti3%
Antonio Palumbo3%
Francesco Di Tacchio3%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Luca Ghiringhelli0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Davide Agazzi0%
Marco Capuano0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Bruno Martella0%
Alfredo Donnarumma0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Federico Mazzarani0%
Marino Defendi0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Mattia Proietti0%
Pietro Rovaglia0%
Gabriele Capanni0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Raúl Moro0%
Salim Diakite0%
Samuele Spalluto0%
Bari
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Walid Cheddira43%
Mirco Antenucci29%
Sebastiano Esposito27%
Michael Folorunsho27%
Aurélien Scheidler15%
Eddie Salcedo13%
Leonardo Benedetti11%
Gregorio Morachioli8%
Valerio Di Cesare8%
Rubén Botta7%
Nicola Bellomo7%
Giacomo Ricci5%
Mattia Maita3%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Elia Caprile0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Raffaele Maiello0%
Andrea D'Errico0%
Antonio Mazzotta0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Cristian Galano0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Damir Ceter0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Žan Žužek0%
Mehdi Dorval0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mattia Maita42%
Valerio Di Cesare35%
Andrea D'Errico30%
Michael Folorunsho30%
Raffaele Maiello22%
Giacomo Ricci18%
Antonio Mazzotta17%
Gianmarco Cangiano17%
Rubén Botta15%
Alessandro Mallamo15%
Nicola Bellomo15%
Francesco Vicari14%
Sebastiano Esposito13%
Raffaele Pucino12%
Leonardo Benedetti11%
Aurélien Scheidler10%
Emanuele Terranova10%
Mirco Antenucci9%
Walid Cheddira9%
Ahmad Benali8%
Damir Ceter7%
Elia Caprile5%
Mehdi Dorval5%
Eddie Salcedo0%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Cristian Galano0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Žan Žužek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gregorio Morachioli17%
Nicola Bellomo15%
Walid Cheddira14%
Sebastiano Esposito13%
Salvatore Molina12%
Rubén Botta11%
Aurélien Scheidler10%
Andrea D'Errico10%
Giacomo Ricci9%
Raffaele Pucino9%
Damir Ceter7%
Eddie Salcedo7%
Michael Folorunsho7%
Mirco Antenucci6%
Leonardo Benedetti6%
Mattia Maita6%
Mehdi Dorval5%
Raffaele Maiello3%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Elia Caprile0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Antonio Mazzotta0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Cristian Galano0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Valerio Di Cesare0%
Žan Žužek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Walid Cheddira46%
Michael Folorunsho27%
Leonardo Benedetti9%
Rubén Botta7%
Damir Ceter7%
Sebastiano Esposito7%
Eddie Salcedo7%
Mirco Antenucci6%
Valerio Di Cesare5%
Aurélien Scheidler5%
Francesco Vicari3%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Elia Caprile0%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Raffaele Maiello0%
Andrea D'Errico0%
Antonio Mazzotta0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Cristian Galano0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mattia Maita0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Nicola Bellomo0%
Žan Žužek0%
Mehdi Dorval0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Frosinone
Genoa
Cagliari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cosenza
Cittadella
Brescia
Perugia
Spal
Benevento