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Torino vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 2-2
Torino
Torino
Vs
23%
29%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Juventus
Juventus
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Torino a 23% win probability against Juventus in the Italy: Serie A on 2026-05-24, with 29% for the draw and 48% for Juventus. The model estimates around 2.4 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.7%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (78%), Over 1.5 (70%).

Results analysis

Torino finished 2-2 against Juventus (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 23% home win, 29% draw and 48% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (70%). Missed: Under 3.5 (78%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino win✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 12.8% · @ 7.23
Edge
+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.45
Edge
+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Juventus win✗ Miss
48.4%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.40
Edge
-17.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TorinoTorino

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L41W23L10W21W00D22D02L21W12LA·NAP06/03H·PAR13/03A·AC 21/03A·PIS05/04H·HEL11/04A·CRE19/04H·INT26/04A·UDI02/05H·SAS08/05A·CAG17/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.601.601.600.801.60
vs Stronger (11)1.092.451.402.400.832.50
vs Similar (19)1.261.111.701.200.781.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JuventusJuventus

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W11D20W10W20W00D11D10W02LH·PIS07/03A·UDI14/03H·SAS21/03H·GEN06/04A·ATA11/04H·BOL19/04A·AC 26/04H·HEL03/05A·LEC09/05H·FIO17/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.932.000.811.501.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)2.001.782.500.751.602.60
vs Weaker (21)1.670.571.830.831.440.22
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
@ 1.72-11.5%
Under 2.5
57.4%
@ 2.03+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.8%
Torino goals ↓
Juventus goals →
01234
010%12%9.8%4.8%1.8%
17.3%14%9.1%4.4%1.6%
23.9%5.7%4.2%2.0%0.7%
31.2%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torino goals (down), columns = Juventus goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Torino is 0.63 points worse than Juventus in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Torino is 0.45 goals worse than Juventus in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Torino is 0.76 goals worse than Juventus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Torino is 13.4 percentage points worse than Juventus in terms of average possession (44% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

TorinoTorino

For 3.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

13015752555163621642721161271079310913A·CAGH·SASA·UDIH·INTA·CREH·HELA·PISA·AC H·PARA·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

60114211123141131332623351443A·CAGH·SASA·UDIH·INTA·CREH·HELA·PISA·AC H·PARA·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

3001381391811108121113171212109171311921222918233024193020A·CAGH·SASA·UDIH·INTA·CREH·HELA·PISA·AC H·PARA·NAP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

JuventusJuventus

For 6.2 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

150627114131612135594624488154715101388H·FIOA·LECH·HELA·AC H·BOLA·ATAH·GENH·SASA·UDIH·PIS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

5014111432131411213135255145344H·FIOA·LECH·HELA·AC H·BOLA·ATAH·GENH·SASA·UDIH·PIS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

28015121879198121051171087714127727252820151818142614H·FIOA·LECH·HELA·AC H·BOLA·ATAH·GENH·SASA·UDIH·PIS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

TorinoTorino

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.69.08.13.33.13.524.623.725.4
vs Stronger (23)9.08.79.33.22.73.722.821.324.2
vs Similar (26)8.19.27.03.53.63.426.326.026.5
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-1.01.0-21.021.0-
% over line42%48%36%44%40%48%68%68%68%
% under line58%52%64%56%60%52%32%32%32%
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JuventusJuventus

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.610.29.03.73.53.923.221.924.5
vs Stronger (1)20.0-20.01.0-1.028.0-28.0
vs Similar (13)7.68.26.64.14.04.224.526.421.6
vs Weaker (36)10.011.19.13.63.24.022.619.825.1
% over line42%48%36%58%52%64%68%60%76%
% under line58%52%64%42%48%36%32%40%24%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.1
Udinese
9.7
Juventus
9.6
Bologna
9.4
Atalanta
9.3
Inter
9.2
Cremonese
9.1
Sassuolo
9.0
Fiorentina
8.9
Cagliari
8.8
Parma
8.8
Genoa
8.8
AC Milan
8.7
AS Roma
8.7
Lazio
8.6
Hellas Verona
8.6
Torino
8.6
Napoli
8.4
Pisa
8.3
Como
7.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.3
Fiorentina
4.8
Como
4.6
Genoa
4.5
Sassuolo
4.4
AS Roma
4.2
Hellas Verona
4.1
Cremonese
4.0
Bologna
4.0
Pisa
4.0
Lecce
3.9
Parma
3.8
Cagliari
3.8
Juventus
3.8
Udinese
3.8
AC Milan
3.8
Atalanta
3.6
Torino
3.5
Napoli
3.4
Inter
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
28.4
Cremonese
28.4
AS Roma
28.4
Fiorentina
28.1
Cagliari
27.8
Genoa
27.7
Como
26.4
Hellas Verona
25.9
Lecce
25.7
Udinese
25.2
Pisa
25.2
Lazio
24.9
Sassuolo
24.7
Torino
24.6
Parma
24.5
Inter
24.1
Napoli
23.6
Juventus
23.2
AC Milan
22.0
Atalanta
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
38.0%
Under 9.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.7%
Under 3.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
68.7%
Under 21.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (29)
€480m
NAP (35)
€458m
ATA (34)
€452m
COM (31)
€397m
BOL (36)
€279m
LAZ (30)
€236m
SAS (43)
€212m
FIO (33)
€203m
CAG (43)
€196m
UDI (29)
€180m
GEN (38)
€174m
PAR (34)
€149m
TOR (33)
€124m
LEC (30)
€118m
PIS (38)
€104m
CRE (35)
€76m
HV (37)
€65m
Torino's squad is €356m less valuable than Juventus's (€124m vs €480m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (10)
€236m
NAP (12)
€214m
JUV (9)
€210m
ATA (10)
€163m
BOL (12)
€136m
LAZ (10)
€78m
SAS (13)
€78m
GEN (14)
€70m
LEC (10)
€66m
CAG (12)
€62m
FIO (8)
€55m
UDI (7)
€41m
PIS (13)
€40m
TOR (10)
€40m
PAR (10)
€36m
CRE (12)
€21m
HV (8)
€18m
Torino's attack is €171m less valuable than Juventus's (€40m vs €210m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ATA (11)
€141m
JUV (6)
€124m
NAP (7)
€90m
COM (5)
€79m
LAZ (7)
€69m
FIO (8)
€64m
UDI (9)
€64m
SAS (9)
€57m
TOR (10)
€54m
PAR (7)
€47m
PIS (12)
€42m
BOL (6)
€40m
CAG (13)
€37m
GEN (7)
€30m
CRE (10)
€25m
HV (11)
€18m
LEC (9)
€16m
Torino's midfield is €70m less valuable than Juventus's (€54m vs €124m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAP (16)
€153m
ATA (13)
€148m
JUV (14)
€146m
BOL (18)
€103m
CAG (18)
€97m
LAZ (13)
€88m
FIO (17)
€84m
COM (16)
€81m
SAS (21)
€77m
UDI (13)
€76m
GEN (17)
€74m
PAR (17)
€66m
LEC (11)
€36m
TOR (13)
€31m
CRE (13)
€30m
HV (18)
€29m
PIS (13)
€22m
Torino's defence is €115m less valuable than Juventus's (€31m vs €146m).

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Torino vs Juventus · H/A from TOR
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25AJuventus Vs TOR0-0
11/01/25HTOR Vs Juventus1-1
09/11/24AJuventus Vs TOR2-0
13/04/24HTOR Vs Juventus0-0
07/10/23AJuventus Vs TOR2-0
28/02/23AJuventus Vs TOR4-2
15/10/22HTOR Vs Juventus0-1
18/02/22AJuventus Vs TOR1-1

TorinoTorino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26ACagliari Vs TOR2-1
08/05/26HTOR Vs Sassuolo2-1
02/05/26AUdinese Vs TOR2-0
26/04/26HTOR Vs Inter2-2
19/04/26ACremonese Vs TOR0-0
11/04/26HTOR Vs Hellas Verona2-1
05/04/26APisa Vs TOR0-1
21/03/26AAC Milan Vs TOR3-2
13/03/26HTOR Vs Parma4-1
06/03/26ANapoli Vs TOR2-1

JuventusJuventus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HJUV Vs Fiorentina0-2
09/05/26ALecce Vs JUV0-1
03/05/26HJUV Vs Hellas Verona1-1
26/04/26AAC Milan Vs JUV0-0
19/04/26HJUV Vs Bologna2-0
11/04/26AAtalanta Vs JUV0-1
06/04/26HJUV Vs Genoa2-0
21/03/26HJUV Vs Sassuolo1-1
14/03/26AUdinese Vs JUV0-1
07/03/26HJUV Vs Pisa4-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Torino
Torino
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL1.20
HomeWWWDW1.52
AwayLWDLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals2.582.642.52
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.081.280.88
Conceded1.501.361.64
BTTS46%56%36%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners8.569.008.12
Cards3.463.253.67
Juventus
Juventus
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.82
HomeDWWDL2.04
AwayDWWDW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals2.722.882.56
Over 1.5 %76%92%60%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.681.961.40
Conceded1.040.921.16
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners9.6010.209.00
Cards3.783.484.08

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
0
0002.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
458
214901531.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
0
0001.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
397
23679811.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
0
0001.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
480
2101241461.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
452
1631411481.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
279
136401031.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
236
7869881.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
180
4164761.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
212
7857771.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
149
3647660.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
124
4054311.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
196
6237971.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
203
5564841.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
174
7030741.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
118
6616360.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
76
2125300.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
65
1818290.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
104
4042220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

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