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Toulouse vs Nice Result & Analysis

Date: 17/01/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 5-1
Toulouse
Toulouse
Vs
39%
25%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nice
Nice
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse win✓ Hit
39.0%
Avg Implied 48.8% · @ 1.92
Edge
-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.51
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nice win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.82
Edge
+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D00D11D01L22D10W30W21W03L11DH·REN29/10H·LE 02/11A·LOR09/11H·ANG23/11A·MAR29/11H·STR06/12A·PAR13/12A·LYO20/12H·LEN02/01A·ANG10/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.371.501.641.441.12
vs Stronger (8)1.502.251.673.001.401.80
vs Similar (22)1.451.051.451.271.450.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NiceNice

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L15L03L13L01L01L02L21W11D11DA·MET09/11H·MAR21/11A·FC 27/11A·LOR30/11H·ANG07/12H·SC 11/12A·LEN14/12H·SAI21/12H·STR03/01A·NAN11/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.701.441.310.792.14
vs Stronger (6)0.332.000.502.000.252.00
vs Similar (22)1.361.731.621.311.002.33
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.2%
@ 1.85+11.7%
Under 2.5
37.8%
@ 1.89-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.9%
No
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
Toulouse goals ↓
Nice goals →
01234
05.1%5.3%4.9%2.6%1.0%
15.6%11%8.1%4.2%1.7%
25.5%8.6%6.7%3.5%1.4%
33.0%4.7%3.7%1.9%0.7%
41.2%1.9%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Toulouse goals (down), columns = Nice goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Rodez
2.00
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Marseille
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Nantes
0.70
Saint Etienne
0.67
Metz
0.50
RED Star FC 93
0.00
Toulouse is 0.33 points better than Nice in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Rodez
1.50
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Auxerre
1.00
Metz
0.94
Le Havre
0.94
Nantes
0.88
Angers
0.85
Saint Etienne
0.33
Toulouse is 0.29 goals better than Nice in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Rodez
1.00
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Auxerre
1.29
Le Havre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Saint Etienne
1.33
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Nantes
1.58
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Metz
2.24
RED Star FC 93
3.00
Toulouse is 0.30 goals better than Nice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.69).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
RED Star FC 93
63%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Saint Etienne
52%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Metz
49%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Nantes
42%
Angers
42%
Rodez
38%
Toulouse is 4.5 percentage points worse than Nice in terms of average possession (42% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

For 5.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

13061289471219111461025871091131012101213A·ANGH·LENA·LYOA·PARH·STRA·MARH·ANGA·LORH·LE H·REN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

8035334213331213412238664634435A·ANGH·LENA·LYOA·PARH·STRA·MARH·ANGA·LORH·LE H·REN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 11.9 · Total 26.9

⚠️ Fouls

340191216161612141221131071515186121491231322826341730242621A·ANGH·LENA·LYOA·PARH·STRA·MARH·ANGA·LORH·LE H·REN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NiceNice

For 5.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

140815755273417334863691257105107149A·NANH·STRH·SAIA·LENH·SC H·ANGA·LORA·FC H·MARA·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

6021122224221212222423342633446A·NANH·STRH·SAIA·LENH·SC H·ANGA·LORA·FC H·MARA·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

31011101212121013178151191171316910191221242230232018291931A·NANH·STRH·SAIA·LENH·SC H·ANGA·LORA·FC H·MARA·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ToulouseToulouse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.79.34.13.74.526.026.925.3
vs Stronger (13)9.48.29.93.82.54.324.123.024.6
vs Similar (34)8.98.88.94.64.34.826.827.725.8
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line45%45%44%64%58%69%81%82%80%
% under line55%55%56%36%42%31%19%18%20%
This opponent (Nice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NiceNice

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.59.83.93.93.924.424.224.6
vs Stronger (7)10.38.511.04.04.53.824.025.523.4
vs Similar (36)9.910.49.34.34.14.524.623.526.0
vs Weaker (7)11.812.311.01.72.01.523.628.316.5
% over line54%60%48%58%56%60%65%72%57%
% under line46%40%52%42%44%40%35%28%43%
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.3
Nice
10.2
Lyon
10.0
Auxerre
9.8
Nantes
9.8
Lille
9.8
Lens
9.6
Rennes
9.6
Paris Saint Germain
9.5
Stade Brestois 29
9.5
Metz
9.4
Paris FC
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.3
Le Havre
9.2
RED Star FC 93
9.2
Toulouse
9.0
Monaco
9.0
Marseille
8.9
Angers
8.9
Strasbourg
8.5
Lorient
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lens
4.8
Auxerre
4.7
Lyon
4.6
Rennes
4.5
Monaco
4.4
Lille
4.4
Strasbourg
4.3
Toulouse
4.3
Paris FC
4.2
Marseille
4.2
Rodez
4.2
Nantes
4.1
Le Havre
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Nice
4.0
Lorient
3.9
Metz
3.7
Stade Brestois 29
3.7
Angers
3.7
RED Star FC 93
3.5
Paris Saint Germain
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Toulouse
26.1
Lens
26.0
Lyon
25.4
RED Star FC 93
25.3
Saint Etienne
25.2
Monaco
25.1
Le Havre
24.9
Nantes
24.9
Lorient
24.9
Auxerre
24.7
Stade Brestois 29
24.6
Paris FC
24.5
Nice
24.4
Rennes
24.3
Rodez
24.3
Metz
23.8
Strasbourg
23.8
Lille
23.4
Angers
23.2
Marseille
23.2
Paris Saint Germain
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.7%
Under 9.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.2%
Under 21.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L10W10W20W00D00D00DH·REN29/10H·LE 02/11A·LOR09/11H·ANG23/11A·MAR29/11H·STR06/12A·PAR13/12A·LYO20/12H·LEN02/01A·ANG10/01
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.430.790.440.44
vs Stronger (8)0.501.250.672.330.400.60
vs Similar (22)0.410.360.360.360.450.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Nice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NiceNice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L02L12L01L01L01L11D01L10WA·MET09/11H·MAR21/11A·FC 27/11A·LOR30/11H·ANG07/12H·SC 11/12A·LEN14/12H·SAI21/12H·STR03/01A·NAN11/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.750.690.711.07
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.000.000.251.50
vs Similar (22)0.910.910.920.850.891.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D00D10W00D12L00D10W21W03L11DH·REN29/10H·LE 02/11A·LOR09/11H·ANG23/11A·MAR29/11H·STR06/12A·PAR13/12A·LYO20/12H·LEN02/01A·ANG10/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.771.070.861.000.69
vs Stronger (8)1.001.001.000.671.001.20
vs Similar (22)1.050.681.090.911.000.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Nice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NiceNice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L13L01L01L00D00D01L10W10W01LA·MET09/11H·MAR21/11A·FC 27/11A·LOR30/11H·ANG07/12H·SC 11/12A·LEN14/12H·SAI21/12H·STR03/01A·NAN11/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.830.690.620.071.07
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.502.000.000.50
vs Similar (22)0.450.820.690.460.111.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls89.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.584.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls79.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards75.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Toulouse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frank Magri24%
Yann Gboho23%
Emersonn23%
Aron Dønnum16%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Julian Vignolo13%
Charlie Cresswell12%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie7%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.6%
Pape Diop5%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Mario Sauer3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kjetil Haug33%
Dayann Methalie33%
Aron Dønnum28%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.26%
Abu Francis25%
Charlie Cresswell25%
Rafik Messali21%
Mark McKenzie21%
Pape Diop21%
Alexis Vossah20%
Emersonn19%
Frank Magri18%
Mario Sauer17%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Rasmus Nicolaisen11%
Guillaume Restes9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Djibril Sidibé3%
Yann Gboho3%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Santiago Hidalgo19%
Aron Dønnum16%
Pape Diop11%
Emersonn10%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.9%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Yann Gboho9%
Mark McKenzie6%
Frank Magri6%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Dayann Methalie3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Abu Francis0%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emersonn26%
Frank Magri18%
Pape Diop16%
Santiago Hidalgo12%
Aron Dønnum9%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Yann Gboho9%
Noah Edjouma8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie3%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Djibril Sidibé0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Warren Kamanzi0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Alexis Vossah0%
Nice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elye Wahi37%
Zoumana Diallo25%
Terem Moffi20%
Sofiane Diop20%
Kaïl Boudache16%
Djibril Coulibaly14%
Mohamed-Ali Cho11%
Jérémie Boga10%
Ali Abdi9%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi6%
Antoine Mendy5%
Tom Louchet5%
Melvin Bard5%
Jonathan Clauss4%
Tiago Gouveia4%
Isak Jansson3%
Hicham Boudaoui3%
Charles Vanhoutte3%
Kojo Peprah Oppong2%
Morgan Sanson2%
Tanguy Ndombélé0%
Yehvann Diouf0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Dante0%
Salis Abdul Samed0%
Badredine Bouanani0%
Everton Pereira0%
Abdulay Juma Bah0%
Gabin Bernardeau0%
Bernard Nguene0%
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elye Wahi32%
Charles Vanhoutte26%
Antoine Mendy22%
Hicham Boudaoui22%
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga20%
Abdulay Juma Bah20%
Tiago Gouveia16%
Salis Abdul Samed14%
Kojo Peprah Oppong14%
Melvin Bard14%
Morgan Sanson13%
Sofiane Diop11%
Dante11%
Kaïl Boudache11%
Isak Jansson10%
Ali Abdi9%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi9%
Bernard Nguene8%
Mohamed-Ali Cho8%
Maxime Dupé7%
Tom Louchet7%
Jonathan Clauss7%
Yehvann Diouf3%
Tanguy Ndombélé0%
Jérémie Boga0%
Terem Moffi0%
Badredine Bouanani0%
Zoumana Diallo0%
Everton Pereira0%
Gabin Bernardeau0%
Djibril Coulibaly0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jonathan Clauss24%
Mohamed-Ali Cho11%
Elye Wahi11%
Jérémie Boga10%
Charles Vanhoutte8%
Tanguy Ndombélé8%
Sofiane Diop7%
Hicham Boudaoui6%
Dante5%
Tom Louchet5%
Morgan Sanson4%
Salis Abdul Samed4%
Melvin Bard2%
Yehvann Diouf0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Ali Abdi0%
Terem Moffi0%
Isak Jansson0%
Tiago Gouveia0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Antoine Mendy0%
Badredine Bouanani0%
Zoumana Diallo0%
Kojo Peprah Oppong0%
Kaïl Boudache0%
Everton Pereira0%
Abdulay Juma Bah0%
Gabin Bernardeau0%
Bernard Nguene0%
Djibril Coulibaly0%
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elye Wahi21%
Sofiane Diop13%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi9%
Mohamed-Ali Cho8%
Tiago Gouveia8%
Terem Moffi7%
Hicham Boudaoui6%
Ali Abdi6%
Jérémie Boga5%
Isak Jansson3%
Antoine Mendy2%
Tom Louchet2%
Tanguy Ndombélé0%
Morgan Sanson0%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Yehvann Diouf0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Dante0%
Jonathan Clauss0%
Salis Abdul Samed0%
Melvin Bard0%
Badredine Bouanani0%
Zoumana Diallo0%
Kojo Peprah Oppong0%
Kaïl Boudache0%
Everton Pereira0%
Abdulay Juma Bah0%
Gabin Bernardeau0%
Bernard Nguene0%
Djibril Coulibaly0%
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
Toulouse's squad is €38m less valuable than Nice's (€115m vs €152m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
Toulouse's attack is €32m less valuable than Nice's (€30m vs €62m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
Toulouse's midfield is €8m more valuable than Nice's (€39m vs €31m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
Toulouse's defence is €14m less valuable than Nice's (€46m vs €60m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
TOU wins
4
Draws
2
NIC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Toulouse vs Nice · H/A from TOU
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25ANice Vs TOU0-1
02/02/25HTOU Vs Nice1-1
25/08/24ANice Vs TOU1-1
03/03/24HTOU Vs Nice2-1
26/11/23ANice Vs TOU1-0
21/05/23ANice Vs TOU0-0
07/08/22HTOU Vs Nice1-1
15/02/20HTOU Vs Nice0-2

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26AAngers Vs TOU1-1
02/01/26HTOU Vs Lens0-3
20/12/25ALyon Duchere Vs TOU1-2
13/12/25AParis FC Vs TOU0-3
06/12/25HTOU Vs Strasbourg1-0
29/11/25AMarseille Vs TOU2-2
23/11/25HTOU Vs Angers0-1
09/11/25ALorient Vs TOU1-1
02/11/25HTOU Vs Le Havre0-0
29/10/25HTOU Vs Rennes2-2

NiceNice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/26ANantes Vs NIC1-1
03/01/26HNIC Vs Strasbourg1-1
21/12/25HNIC Vs Saint Etienne2-1
14/12/25ALens Vs NIC2-0
11/12/25HNIC Vs SC Braga0-1
07/12/25HNIC Vs Angers0-1
30/11/25ALorient Vs NIC3-1
27/11/25AFC Porto Vs NIC3-0
21/11/25HNIC Vs Marseille1-5
09/11/25AMetz Vs NIC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.36
HomeDDLWL1.29
AwayDDWWD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%33%38%
AVG goals2.602.752.46
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.361.331.38
Conceded1.241.421.08
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet30%25%35%
Corners9.008.689.28
Cards4.434.194.64
Nice
Nice
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.24
HomeLLLWD1.60
AwayLLLLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.862.683.04
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %54%40%68%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.361.481.24
Conceded1.501.201.80
BTTS62%52%72%
Clean Sheet16%28%4%
Corners10.1710.489.83
Cards4.043.884.22

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3476
71%
2.2
7429+45
3.0
76%
62%
32%
9.5
41%
2.9
26%
18.6
26%
1477
6384304092.20.9
69%
2LensLens3470
65%
2.1
6635+31
3.0
82%
65%
29%
10.4
53%
4.6
70%
24.7
59%
187
52241121.91.0
51%
3LilleLille3461
53%
1.8
5237+15
2.6
65%
38%
21%
9.5
44%
4.5
68%
24.2
68%
312
133102761.51.1
56%
4LyonLyon3460
53%
1.8
5340+13
2.7
65%
56%
32%
10.9
50%
4.8
71%
26.4
79%
293
12282891.61.2
55%
5MarseilleMarseille3459
53%
1.7
6345+18
3.2
74%
62%
41%
8.8
38%
4.4
73%
23.7
56%
225
9168661.91.3
57%
6RennesRennes3459
50%
1.7
5950+9
3.2
82%
71%
50%
10.6
62%
4.3
66%
24.4
71%
241
87441091.71.5
54%
7MonacoMonaco3454
47%
1.6
6054+6
3.4
74%
65%
53%
9.4
47%
4.2
62%
23.8
65%
326
14884931.81.6
54%
8StrasbourgStrasbourg3453
44%
1.6
5847+11
3.1
76%
65%
35%
8.9
44%
3.8
56%
24.1
74%
304
112561361.71.4
54%
9LorientLorient3445
32%
1.3
4851-3
2.9
88%
44%
35%
8.9
47%
4.1
55%
22.8
50%
87
2032351.41.5
45%
10ToulouseToulouse3344
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.8
67%
55%
33%
9.6
55%
4.5
70%
25.5
82%
115
3039461.41.4
42%
11Paris FCParis FC3444
32%
1.3
4750-3
2.9
74%
56%
32%
9.9
59%
3.9
47%
21.4
50%
176
5954621.41.5
50%
12Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293439
29%
1.1
4355-12
2.9
82%
50%
29%
9.7
47%
3.8
55%
24.4
65%
64
2520191.31.6
43%
13AngersAngers3436
26%
1.1
2948-19
2.3
65%
29%
18%
8.8
41%
3.2
45%
22.4
53%
73
3011320.91.4
42%
14NiceNice3636
22%
1.0
4161-20
2.8
75%
50%
42%
10.8
67%
4.0
56%
23.6
53%
152
6231601.11.7
47%
15Le HavreLe Havre3435
21%
1.0
3244-12
2.2
62%
32%
18%
9.1
44%
4.2
65%
27.8
94%
55
923230.91.3
47%
16AuxerreAuxerre3434
24%
1.0
3444-10
2.3
62%
44%
26%
9.5
41%
4.9
74%
27.2
85%
84
2328331.01.3
44%
17NantesNantes3323
15%
0.7
2952-23
2.5
67%
45%
21%
9.4
48%
4.7
73%
26.8
85%
82
3116340.91.6
42%
18MetzMetz3417
9%
0.5
3276-44
3.2
74%
62%
41%
9.5
41%
3.5
53%
22.6
59%
43
171880.92.2
49%
19RodezRodez24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
100%
15
4471.51.0
38%
20Saint EtienneSaint Etienne32
0%
0.7
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
100%
1.7
0%
19.3
33%
93
5411280.31.3
52%
21RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9310
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
23.0
100%
15
4372.03.0
63%
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches