The match between Tranmere and Rotherham is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away victory. The probability of a Tranmere win sits at 39%, a draw at 31%, and an away win at 30%. The expected total goals is 2.3, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 28% of the time. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.5% chance. Tranmere, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 0.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded, while Rotherham, on the road, averages 0.64 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.1% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.8% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (97.1% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (96.3% with a 4% edge), Under 4.5 (91.8% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (91.0% with a 4% edge), and Home +2 handicap (88.0% with a 3% edge). Both teams have shown resilience recently, with Tranmere unbeaten in five games and Rotherham coming off a win. The contest remains finely balanced.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Tranmere at 39%, failed to materialise as the match finished 2-2, a draw that kept both sides unbeaten in their last five. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the most likely scoreline of 1-1 in the model’s distribution, but the actual result was a draw. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.8%, Under 5.5 at 97.1%, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.3%, Under 4.5 at 91.8%, Away under 2.5 goals at 91.1%, and Home +2 handicap at 88.1%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick was reported once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tranmere win✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied 41.5% · @ 2.24
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.30
Dafabet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Draw✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.30
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.55
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
10Bet
3.35
Rotherham win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.06
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.20
BetVictor
3.13
Pinnacle
3.12
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
3.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tranmere
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.77
0.80
1.60
1.00
1.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
3.00
-
-
0.33
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.92
1.62
0.71
1.57
1.17
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.83
0.88
1.62
0.86
2.07
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
2.38
0.80
2.20
1.67
2.67
vs Similar (21)
0.76
1.67
0.90
1.40
0.64
1.91
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Tranmere) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.9%
@ 1.32-2.5%
Under 1.5
32.1%
@ 3.15+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Unibet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.0%
@ 2.03-6.2%
Under 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.75+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.12
Pinnacle
2.09
Bet365
2.08
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Under
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
Unibet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.8%
@ 3.57-6.3%
Under 3.5
80.2%
@ 1.26+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
Pinnacle
3.72
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Under
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.4%
@ 1.78-4.6%
No
52.6%
@ 1.93+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
No
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.96
William Hil
1.95
10Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 5.87+6.9%
0-0
11.5%@ 8.82+6.4%
1-0
11.3%@ 6.98+4.9%
0-1
9.3%@ 8.41+4.0%
2-1
8.2%@ 8.54+3.0%
2-0
7.8%@ 10.14+3.4%
1-2
6.9%@ 10.16+2.5%
0-2
5.6%@ 14.19+2.4%
Tranmere goals ↓
Rotherham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.3%
5.6%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
15%
6.9%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.8%
8.2%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.2%
3.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tranmere goals (down), columns = Rotherham goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Salford
1.71
Grimsby
1.69
Chesterfield
1.67
Barnet
1.65
Swindon
1.63
Rotherham
1.63
Port Vale
1.62
Exeter
1.58
Oldham
1.48
Crewe
1.46
Colchester
1.43
Walsall
1.41
Northampton
1.40
Bristol Rvs
1.35
Fleetwood Town
1.33
Accrington
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.07
Newport County
0.93
Tranmere
0.89
Rochdale
0.88
Crawley Town
0.87
York
0.66
Tranmere is 0.74 points worse than Rotherham in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Grimsby
1.60
Rotherham
1.52
Barnet
1.52
Swindon
1.52
Port Vale
1.52
Chesterfield
1.48
Exeter
1.48
Crewe
1.39
Colchester
1.35
Northampton
1.31
Salford
1.31
Oldham
1.30
Fleetwood Town
1.24
Bristol Rvs
1.22
Walsall
1.22
Tranmere
1.17
Cheltenham
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Newport County
1.04
Accrington
1.02
Crawley Town
0.96
Shrewsbury
0.91
Rochdale
0.82
York
0.61
Tranmere is 0.35 goals worse than Rotherham in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.52).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Oldham
0.96
Colchester
1.07
Rotherham
1.09
Port Vale
1.09
Grimsby
1.10
Exeter
1.12
Barnet
1.15
Salford
1.16
Chesterfield
1.19
Walsall
1.22
Accrington
1.26
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Northampton
1.26
Swindon
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.41
Crawley Town
1.48
Shrewsbury
1.50
Gillingham
1.57
Newport County
1.67
Cheltenham
1.72
Tranmere
1.72
Rochdale
2.01
York
2.70
Tranmere is 0.63 goals worse than Rotherham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chesterfield
58%
Barnet
56%
Crawley Town
56%
Grimsby
55%
Colchester
54%
Swindon
52%
Salford
50%
Crewe
50%
Fleetwood Town
50%
Cheltenham
49%
Tranmere
49%
Oldham
48%
Accrington
48%
Gillingham
47%
Newport County
47%
Shrewsbury
44%
Walsall
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tranmere
For 4.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rotherham
For 2.8 · Against 5.8 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.3 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tranmere
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.7
10.5
3.8
3.9
3.7
22.8
23.2
22.3
vs Stronger (7)
9.8
10.3
9.3
3.4
3.2
3.7
20.7
22.3
19.0
vs Similar (42)
10.2
9.7
10.6
3.9
4.1
3.7
22.9
23.0
22.8
vs Weaker (1)
7.0
7.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
29.0
29.0
-
% over line
53%
44%
62%
56%
54%
58%
61%
64%
58%
% under line
47%
56%
38%
44%
46%
42%
39%
36%
42%
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.4
9.5
3.9
4.2
3.7
23.6
23.5
23.7
vs Stronger (13)
9.3
8.9
9.8
4.6
5.1
4.0
22.5
21.6
23.5
vs Similar (36)
9.4
9.4
9.4
3.8
3.9
3.6
24.3
24.8
23.8
vs Weaker (1)
14.0
14.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
16.0
16.0
-
% over line
49%
52%
46%
60%
58%
62%
63%
60%
67%
% under line
51%
48%
54%
40%
42%
38%
37%
40%
33%
This opponent (Tranmere) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
York
12.0
Crawley Town
11.9
Swindon
11.4
Walsall
10.5
Grimsby
10.5
Barnet
10.4
Fleetwood Town
10.3
Port Vale
10.3
Exeter
10.3
Northampton
10.1
Chesterfield
10.1
Oldham
10.1
Rochdale
10.0
Tranmere
10.0
Cheltenham
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Accrington
9.7
Gillingham
9.7
Salford
9.6
Rotherham
9.6
Crewe
9.5
Bristol Rvs
9.3
Colchester
9.2
Shrewsbury
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Crawley Town
4.5
Shrewsbury
4.2
Colchester
4.1
Chesterfield
4.0
Accrington
4.0
Rotherham
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Gillingham
4.0
Newport County
4.0
Fleetwood Town
4.0
York
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Crewe
3.8
Grimsby
3.8
Walsall
3.7
Salford
3.7
Barnet
3.6
Northampton
3.5
Exeter
3.5
Port Vale
3.5
Cheltenham
3.5
Swindon
3.4
Rochdale
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crawley Town
25.2
Crewe
25.2
Colchester
25.0
Oldham
25.0
Salford
24.7
Rochdale
24.2
Barnet
24.1
Bristol Rvs
24.0
Grimsby
23.9
Gillingham
23.9
Rotherham
23.7
Newport County
23.0
Fleetwood Town
22.9
Walsall
22.9
Tranmere
22.8
Shrewsbury
22.6
Cheltenham
22.3
Chesterfield
22.1
Accrington
22.1
Northampton
22.1
Exeter
21.9
Port Vale
21.9
Swindon
20.4
York
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.3%
@ 1.97+3.3%
Under 9.5
49.7%
@ 1.75-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Unibet
1.96
Under
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.8%
Under 3.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
65.4%
Under 21.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Tranmere or Draw✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied 69.6% · @ 1.34
Edge
+0.6%
39%
31%
30%
covers Tranmere + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Tranmere or Rotherham✗ Miss
69.1%
Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.29
Edge
-3.0%
39%
31%
30%
covers Tranmere + Rotherham
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Rotherham✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied 58.3% · @ 1.60
Edge
+2.5%
39%
31%
30%
covers Draw + Rotherham
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
SBO
1.65
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Tranmere over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.0%
@ 1.26-2.7%
Under
29.0%
@ 3.54+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.63
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Tranmere over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.1%
@ 2.29-5.5%
Under
64.9%
@ 1.57+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.38
Marathonbet
2.31
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Tranmere over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 5.17-5.0%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.13+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Tranmere over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 12.50-3.9%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Rotherham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.9%
@ 1.39-2.1%
Under
35.1%
@ 2.82+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.89
Marathonbet
2.83
Superbet
2.82
Rotherham over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
28.2%
@ 2.84-4.6%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.38+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.02
Marathonbet
2.92
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.87
Under
Unibet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Rotherham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 7.28-3.9%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.07+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Rotherham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 17.08-3.4%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Tranmere, so a minus line means Tranmere give that many goals of a start and Rotherham receive them. At -1, Tranmere must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tranmere win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Tranmere)Actual: Rotherham
Tranmere -2
6.1%
@ 9.37-3.3%
Draw -2
11.8%
@ 6.06-2.8%
Rotherham +2
82.2%
@ 1.16+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Superbet
9.10
Marathonbet
6.25
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap -1 (Tranmere)Actual: Rotherham
Tranmere -1
17.8%
@ 4.41-2.5%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.81-2.1%
Rotherham +1
60.7%
@ 1.60+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Away
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +1 (Tranmere)Actual: Tranmere
Tranmere +1
70.2%
@ 1.34+3.3%
Draw +1
17.9%
@ 4.59-1.7%
Rotherham -1
11.9%
@ 6.61-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Handicap +2 (Tranmere)Actual: Tranmere
Tranmere +2
88.1%
@ 1.08+3.6%
Draw +2
8.4%
@ 9.03-1.7%
Rotherham -2
3.5%
@ 17.00-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
Superbet
8.10
Away
Bet365
19.00
Betfair
17.00
Superbet
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tranmere
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.77
0.33
0.87
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
-
-
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (26)
0.31
0.69
0.29
0.86
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.90
0.44
0.69
0.36
1.14
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.12
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.24
0.81
0.30
0.50
0.18
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tranmere) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.43
BetVictor
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
William Hil
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.77
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.10
Betano
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.95
Superbet
2.95
Under
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Under
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tranmere over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Tranmere over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.00
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Tranmere over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Rotherham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Under
Unibet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Rotherham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
9.00
Superbet
7.70
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Rotherham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tranmere
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.47
0.73
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
-
-
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.92
0.43
0.71
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.93
0.44
0.94
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.25
0.20
1.20
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.86
0.60
0.90
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Tranmere) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.52
1xBet
3.52
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tranmere over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Tranmere over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.95
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Tranmere over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Rotherham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Under
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Rotherham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.70
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Rotherham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.8%
1.07
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.1%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.1%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
82.2%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.2%
1.26
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.2%
1.26
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.8%
1.38
Unibet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
71.0%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.2%
1.34
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Unibet
1.34
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.2%
1.34
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
+3.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tranmere
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Ince50%
Z. Okoro50%
Jordan Davies33%
Charlie Whitaker33%
J. Turnbull0%
N. Smith0%
Tom Conlon0%
W. Vaulks0%
S. Finley0%
Joe Ironside0%
J. Senior0%
Bobby Faulkner0%
J. Slater0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Davies67%
Charlie Whitaker33%
N. Smith25%
Tom Ince25%
S. Finley25%
Joe Ironside25%
J. Senior25%
Bobby Faulkner25%
J. Slater25%
J. Turnbull0%
Tom Conlon0%
W. Vaulks0%
Z. Okoro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Turnbull25%
Tom Conlon25%
J. Senior25%
J. Slater25%
N. Smith0%
Tom Ince0%
W. Vaulks0%
S. Finley0%
Jordan Davies0%
Joe Ironside0%
Charlie Whitaker0%
Bobby Faulkner0%
Z. Okoro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
W. Vaulks33%
Jordan Davies33%
Charlie Whitaker33%
Tom Ince25%
Z. Okoro25%
J. Turnbull0%
N. Smith0%
Tom Conlon0%
S. Finley0%
Joe Ironside0%
J. Senior0%
Bobby Faulkner0%
J. Slater0%
Rotherham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fábio Tavares50%
Tom Bradshaw33%
Ewan Otoo33%
P. Mullin25%
J. Rafferty0%
D. Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
K. Spence0%
Brandon Cover0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brandon Cover75%
Jili Buyabu67%
Fábio Tavares25%
Sonny Aljofree25%
P. Mullin0%
J. Rafferty0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
D. Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
K. Spence0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Ewan Otoo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ar'Jany Martha50%
Ewan Otoo33%
K. Spence25%
P. Mullin0%
J. Rafferty0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Fábio Tavares0%
D. Hall0%
Ted Cann0%
Brandon Cover0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Tavares25%
P. Mullin0%
J. Rafferty0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
D. Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
K. Spence0%
Brandon Cover0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Ewan Otoo0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAL (26)
€8m
PV (23)
€7m
CHE (24)
€6m
BR (24)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Tranmere's squad is €1m less valuable than Rotherham's (€4m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Tranmere and Rotherham have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Tranmere and Rotherham have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PV (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Tranmere and Rotherham have a similar defence value (both €1m).
England: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bristol Rvs
Barnet
Walsall
Crewe
Oldham
York
Cheltenham
Swindon
Colchester
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
Exeter
Chesterfield
Crawley Town
Northampton
Rochdale
Salford
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
Accrington
Port Vale