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Triglav vs Dekani Result & Analysis

Date: 06/05/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-0
Triglav
Triglav
Vs
79%
15%
6%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Triglav win✓ Hit
79.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dekani win✗ Miss
6.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W11D21W20W20W21W10W40W30WA·BEL01/03H·BRI08/03H·ILI14/03A·SLO20/03H·RUD27/03A·KRK03/04H·DRA11/04A·GOR18/04H·KRŠ24/04A·JES30/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.600.972.931.002.270.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.501.421.501.501.501.33
vs Weaker (18)3.330.673.890.672.780.67
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D30W22D02L10W03L22D02L11DH·GOR28/02A·KRŠ08/03H·JES15/03A·ILI20/03A·TAB28/03H·BIS03/04A·NAF11/04H·BIL18/04A·BEL25/04H·BRI29/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.771.601.730.731.80
vs Stronger (8)1.252.381.402.801.001.67
vs Similar (20)1.001.601.561.330.551.82
vs Weaker (2)2.501.003.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.7%
Under 2.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.8%
Under 3.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
12.3%
3-0
11.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
Triglav goals ↓
Dekani goals →
01234
04.0%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.0%
18.5%6.9%2.2%0.5%0.1%
212%8.5%2.9%0.7%0.1%
311%7.6%2.6%0.6%0.1%
47.5%5.1%1.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Triglav goals (down), columns = Dekani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Triglav is 1.03 points better than Dekani in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Triglav is 1.07 goals better than Dekani in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Triglav is 0.60 goals better than Dekani in terms of goals conceded per game (0.93 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L20W00D10W11D00D10W10WA·BEL01/03H·BRI08/03H·ILI14/03A·SLO20/03H·RUD27/03A·KRK03/04H·DRA11/04A·GOR18/04H·KRŠ24/04A·JES30/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.531.270.601.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.750.831.000.500.50
vs Weaker (18)1.500.391.560.331.440.44
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D10W01L00D00D22D01L01LH·GOR28/02A·KRŠ08/03H·JES15/03A·ILI20/03A·TAB28/03H·BIS03/04A·NAF11/04H·BIL18/04A·BEL25/04H·BRI29/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.800.930.470.67
vs Stronger (8)0.750.751.001.200.330.00
vs Similar (20)0.550.900.780.890.360.91
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W10W01L20W10W10W10W30W20WA·BEL01/03H·BRI08/03H·ILI14/03A·SLO20/03H·RUD27/03A·KRK03/04H·DRA11/04A·GOR18/04H·KRŠ24/04A·JES30/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.431.670.401.200.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.670.670.501.000.83
vs Weaker (18)1.830.282.330.331.330.22
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W30W12L01L10W03L00D01L10WH·GOR28/02A·KRŠ08/03H·JES15/03A·ILI20/03A·TAB28/03H·BIS03/04A·NAF11/04H·BIL18/04A·BEL25/04H·BRI29/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.970.800.800.271.13
vs Stronger (8)0.501.620.401.600.671.67
vs Similar (20)0.450.700.780.440.180.91
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.8%-------✓ Hit
Home win79.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Triglav and Dekani have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Triglav and Dekani have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Triglav and Dekani have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Triglav and Dekani have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
TRI wins
2
Draws
2
DEK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Triglav vs Dekani · H/A from TRI
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25ADekani Vs TRI3-4
12/05/25ADekani Vs TRI1-6
03/11/24HTRI Vs Dekani1-0
18/05/24HTRI Vs Dekani1-2
28/10/23ADekani Vs TRI3-1
13/05/23HTRI Vs Dekani0-0
29/10/22ADekani Vs TRI0-0

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/26AJesenice Vs TRI0-3
24/04/26HTRI Vs Krško4-0
18/04/26AGorica Vs TRI0-1
11/04/26HTRI Vs Dravinja2-1
03/04/26AKrka Vs TRI0-2
27/03/26HTRI Vs Rudar2-0
20/03/26ASlovan Ljubljana Vs TRI1-2
14/03/26HTRI Vs Ilirija1-1
08/03/26HTRI Vs Brinje-Grosuplje4-0
01/03/26ABeltinci Vs TRI0-0

DekaniDekani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/26HDEK Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-1
25/04/26ABeltinci Vs DEK2-0
18/04/26HDEK Vs Bilje2-2
11/04/26ANafta Vs DEK3-0
03/04/26HDEK Vs Bistrica1-0
28/03/26ATabor Sežana Vs DEK2-0
20/03/26AIlirija Vs DEK2-2
15/03/26HDEK Vs Jesenice3-0
08/03/26AKrško Vs DEK1-1
28/02/26HDEK Vs Gorica2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Triglav
Triglav
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.16
HomeWDWWW2.15
AwayDWWWW2.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%69%71%
AVG goals3.564.043.04
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %62%73%50%
Over 3.5 %46%58%33%
Scored2.542.962.08
Conceded1.021.080.96
BTTS38%42%33%
Clean Sheet46%46%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD0.92
HomeWWWDD1.17
AwayDDLLL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%12%
AVG goals2.803.122.50
Over 1.5 %78%88%69%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %26%29%23%
Scored1.061.420.73
Conceded1.741.711.77
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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