PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Triglav vs Dravinja Result & Analysis

Date: 18/05/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 4-0
Triglav
Triglav
Vs
57%
21%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dravinja
Dravinja
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Triglav win✓ Hit
57.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dravinja win✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W50W32W32W40W02L74W20W50W61WA·BRI16/03H·RUD22/03H·SLO30/03A·BIS06/04H·NŠ 13/04A·TAB18/04H·BIL27/04A·KRK04/05H·TOL07/05A·DEK12/05
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
3.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.272.731.271.731.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.641.642.291.571.001.71
vs Weaker (16)2.750.943.121.002.380.88
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D50W00D12L12L11D30W21W06L01LH·KRK15/03A·TOL22/03H·DEK29/03A·SLO05/04A·ALU12/04H·ILI19/04A·GOR26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI07/05H·RUD11/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.030.730.731.731.33
vs Stronger (8)1.001.880.501.751.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.320.730.820.361.821.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.3%
Under 2.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.8%
No
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
Triglav goals ↓
Dravinja goals →
01234
02.8%2.3%2.2%1.1%0.4%
14.3%8.1%5.4%2.6%1.0%
26.0%8.8%6.5%3.2%1.2%
34.8%7.1%5.2%2.6%0.9%
42.9%4.3%3.1%1.5%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Triglav goals (down), columns = Dravinja goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aluminij
2.13
Triglav
2.10
Gorica
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.83
Tabor Sežana
1.80
Bistrica
1.70
Dravinja
1.50
Krka
1.27
Beltinci
1.10
Bilje
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.10
Dekani
1.07
Rudar
1.07
Ilirija
0.87
Tolmin
0.73
NŠ Drava
0.67
Triglav is 0.60 points better than Dravinja in terms of average points per game (2.10 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Gorica
2.00
Bistrica
2.00
Aluminij
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.93
Tabor Sežana
1.90
Beltinci
1.33
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.17
Slovan Ljubljana
1.13
Dekani
1.07
Ilirija
0.93
Krka
0.93
Rudar
0.90
Tolmin
0.87
NŠ Drava
0.73
Triglav is 1.17 goals better than Dravinja in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aluminij
0.93
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.03
Krka
1.07
Triglav
1.10
Gorica
1.13
Tabor Sežana
1.17
Dravinja
1.20
Bistrica
1.27
Slovan Ljubljana
1.30
Rudar
1.47
Bilje
1.50
Beltinci
1.60
Ilirija
1.63
Dekani
1.87
Tolmin
2.07
NŠ Drava
2.17
Triglav is 0.10 goals better than Dravinja in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W20W20W11D10W00D52W00D20W21WA·BRI16/03H·RUD22/03H·SLO30/03A·BIS06/04H·NŠ 13/04A·TAB18/04H·BIL27/04A·KRK04/05H·TOL07/05A·DEK12/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.531.330.400.600.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.860.641.290.570.430.71
vs Weaker (16)1.060.441.380.250.750.62
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DravinjaDravinja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W00D01L12L01L10W01L02L01LH·KRK15/03A·TOL22/03H·DEK29/03A·SLO05/04A·ALU12/04H·ILI19/04A·GOR26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI07/05H·RUD11/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.270.530.800.53
vs Stronger (8)0.381.000.001.000.751.00
vs Similar (22)0.590.360.360.360.820.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W12L21W30W02L22D20W30W40WA·BRI16/03H·RUD22/03H·SLO30/03A·BIS06/04H·NŠ 13/04A·TAB18/04H·BIL27/04A·KRK04/05H·TOL07/05A·DEK12/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.731.400.871.130.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.791.001.001.000.571.00
vs Weaker (16)1.690.501.750.751.620.25
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DravinjaDravinja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W00D11D00D10W20W20W04L00DH·KRK15/03A·TOL22/03H·DEK29/03A·SLO05/04A·ALU12/04H·ILI19/04A·GOR26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI07/05H·RUD11/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.470.200.930.80
vs Stronger (8)0.620.880.500.750.751.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.360.450.001.000.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.3%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes70.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
Triglav and Dravinja have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Triglav and Dravinja have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Triglav and Dravinja have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Triglav and Dravinja have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
TRI wins
0
Draws
2
DRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Triglav vs Dravinja · H/A from TRI
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/24ADravinja Vs TRI1-0
11/11/23ADravinja Vs TRI2-1
30/08/23HTRI Vs Dravinja6-1

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/25ADekani Vs TRI1-6
07/05/25HTRI Vs Tolmin5-0
04/05/25AKrka Vs TRI0-2
27/04/25HTRI Vs Bilje7-4
18/04/25ATabor Sežana Vs TRI2-0
13/04/25HTRI Vs NŠ Drava4-0
06/04/25ABistrica Vs TRI2-3
30/03/25HTRI Vs Slovan Ljubljana3-2
22/03/25HTRI Vs Rudar5-0
16/03/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs TRI0-1

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/25HDRA Vs Rudar0-1
07/05/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs DRA6-0
02/05/25HDRA Vs Beltinci2-1
26/04/25AGorica Vs DRA0-3
19/04/25HDRA Vs Ilirija1-1
12/04/25AAluminij Vs DRA2-1
05/04/25ASlovan Ljubljana Vs DRA2-1
29/03/25HDRA Vs Dekani0-0
22/03/25ATolmin Vs DRA0-5
15/03/25HDRA Vs Krka0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Triglav
Triglav
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.80
HomeWWWWW1.96
AwayWWLWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals3.103.402.80
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.882.161.60
Conceded1.221.241.20
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Dravinja
Dravinja
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.36
HomeDDDWL1.23
AwayWLLWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%31%46%
AVG goals2.261.692.88
Over 1.5 %62%46%79%
Over 2.5 %50%31%71%
Over 3.5 %20%12%29%
Scored1.120.771.50
Conceded1.140.921.38
BTTS34%27%42%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AluminijAluminij3064
67%
2.1
5928+31
2.9
83%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.00.9
-
2TriglavTriglav3063
67%
2.1
7233+39
3.5
80%
60%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.1
-
3GoricaGorica3059
57%
2.0
6034+26
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
4Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3055
53%
1.8
5831+27
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3054
47%
1.8
5735+22
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.2
-
6BistricaBistrica3051
43%
1.7
6038+22
3.3
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.3
-
7DravinjaDravinja3045
43%
1.5
3736+1
2.4
63%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8KrkaKrka3038
33%
1.3
2832-4
2.0
63%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
9Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
80%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10BeltinciBeltinci3033
30%
1.1
4048-8
2.9
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.6
-
11BiljeBilje3033
27%
1.1
3545-10
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
12RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
2744-17
2.4
70%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.91.5
-
13DekaniDekani3032
30%
1.1
3256-24
2.9
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.9
-
14IlirijaIlirija3026
17%
0.9
2849-21
2.6
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.6
-
15TolminTolmin3022
20%
0.7
2662-36
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
16NŠ DravaNŠ Drava3020
17%
0.7
2265-43
2.9
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches