PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Triglav vs Dravinja Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-1
Triglav
Triglav
Vs
72%
17%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dravinja
Dravinja
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Triglav win✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dravinja win✗ Miss
10.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1001L34L02L101W00D40W11D21W20W20WH·TAB02/11A·BIS09/11H·NAF14/11H·BIL21/11A·BEL01/03H·BRI08/03H·ILI14/03A·SLO20/03H·RUD27/03A·KRK03/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.931.103.331.202.531.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.831.422.001.291.601.60
vs Weaker (18)3.670.894.501.123.000.70
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L02L11D02L03L12L10W11D11DH·GOR02/11A·KRŠ08/11H·JES15/11H·DEK23/11A·TAB01/03H·BIS07/03A·NAF16/03H·BIL21/03A·BEL28/03H·BRI04/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.771.001.401.002.13
vs Stronger (10)1.302.401.752.001.002.67
vs Similar (19)0.891.420.801.101.001.78
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.9%
Under 2.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.9%
Under 3.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.2%
2-1 ✓
9.1%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
6.2%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
Triglav goals ↓
Dravinja goals →
01234
03.2%1.9%1.3%0.4%0.1%
16.2%7.5%3.4%1.1%0.3%
29.2%9.1%4.5%1.5%0.4%
38.2%8.1%4.0%1.3%0.3%
45.5%5.4%2.7%0.9%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Triglav goals (down), columns = Dravinja goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Triglav is 0.90 points better than Dravinja in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Triglav is 1.33 goals better than Dravinja in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Triglav is 0.53 goals better than Dravinja in terms of goals conceded per game (0.93 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L22D01L40W00D20W01L20W00D10WH·TAB02/11A·BIS09/11H·NAF14/11H·BIL21/11A·BEL01/03H·BRI08/03H·ILI14/03A·SLO20/03H·RUD27/03A·KRK03/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.601.600.671.130.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.751.000.860.600.60
vs Weaker (18)1.720.502.120.501.400.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DravinjaDravinja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D11D02L02L01L00D01L00DH·GOR02/11A·KRŠ08/11H·JES15/11H·DEK23/11A·TAB01/03H·BIS07/03A·NAF16/03H·BIL21/03A·BEL28/03H·BRI04/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.000.400.930.471.07
vs Stronger (10)0.601.300.751.000.501.50
vs Similar (19)0.370.890.301.000.440.78
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D12L01L61W00D20W10W01L20W10WH·TAB02/11A·BIS09/11H·NAF14/11H·BIL21/11A·BEL01/03H·BRI08/03H·ILI14/03A·SLO20/03H·RUD27/03A·KRK03/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.501.730.531.400.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.000.671.000.431.001.00
vs Weaker (18)1.940.392.380.621.600.20
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DravinjaDravinja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L02L00D00D01L11D10W10W11DH·GOR02/11A·KRŠ08/11H·JES15/11H·DEK23/11A·TAB01/03H·BIS07/03A·NAF16/03H·BIL21/03A·BEL28/03H·BRI04/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.600.470.531.07
vs Stronger (10)0.701.101.001.000.501.17
vs Similar (19)0.530.530.500.100.561.00
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.8%-------✓ Hit
Home win72.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Triglav and Dravinja have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Triglav and Dravinja have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Triglav and Dravinja have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Triglav and Dravinja have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
TRI wins
0
Draws
2
DRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Triglav vs Dravinja · H/A from TRI
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25ADravinja Vs TRI2-4
18/05/25HTRI Vs Dravinja4-0
10/11/24ADravinja Vs TRI1-0
11/11/23ADravinja Vs TRI2-1
30/08/23HTRI Vs Dravinja6-1

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/26AKrka Vs TRI0-2
27/03/26HTRI Vs Rudar2-0
20/03/26ASlovan Ljubljana Vs TRI1-2
14/03/26HTRI Vs Ilirija1-1
08/03/26HTRI Vs Brinje-Grosuplje4-0
01/03/26ABeltinci Vs TRI0-0
21/11/25HTRI Vs Bilje10-1
14/11/25HTRI Vs Nafta0-2
09/11/25ABistrica Vs TRI4-3
02/11/25HTRI Vs Tabor Sežana0-1

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26HDRA Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-1
28/03/26ABeltinci Vs DRA1-1
21/03/26HDRA Vs Bilje1-0
16/03/26ANafta Vs DRA2-1
07/03/26HDRA Vs Bistrica0-3
01/03/26ATabor Sežana Vs DRA2-0
23/11/25HDRA Vs Dekani1-1
15/11/25HDRA Vs Jesenice0-2
08/11/25AKrško Vs DRA2-0
02/11/25HDRA Vs Gorica2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Triglav
Triglav
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.08
HomeLWWDW2.12
AwayWLDWW2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%68%64%
AVG goals3.584.083.08
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %60%72%48%
Over 3.5 %48%60%36%
Scored2.502.962.04
Conceded1.081.121.04
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet42%44%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Dravinja
Dravinja
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.28
HomeLDLWD1.36
AwayWLLLD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals2.522.082.96
Over 1.5 %72%60%84%
Over 2.5 %50%36%64%
Over 3.5 %20%12%28%
Scored1.140.921.36
Conceded1.381.161.60
BTTS36%40%32%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches