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Triglav vs Slovan Ljubljana Result & Analysis

Date: 30/03/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Triglav
Triglav
Vs
47%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Triglav win✓ Hit
46.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana win✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W01L10W01L14L10W02L01L10W50WH·KRK18/10A·TOL26/10H·DEK03/11A·DRA10/11H·ALU16/11H·ILI26/11A·GOR01/03H·BEL09/03A·BRI16/03H·RUD22/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.101.731.131.471.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.311.441.501.751.121.12
vs Weaker (14)1.930.712.000.431.861.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L52W10W02L21W12L11D20W01LA·ILI19/10H·TAB27/10A·GOR02/11H·BIL09/11A·BEL17/11H·KRK23/11A·BRI28/02H·TOL09/03A·RUD16/03H·DEK22/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.951.300.801.301.101.30
vs Stronger (6)1.331.831.001.501.502.00
vs Similar (14)0.791.070.751.250.830.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.7%
Under 2.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
Triglav goals ↓
Slovan Ljubljana goals →
01234
07.9%6.3%4.2%1.6%0.4%
19.4%13%6.7%2.5%0.7%
28.4%9.4%5.3%2.0%0.6%
34.4%4.9%2.8%1.0%0.3%
41.7%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Triglav goals (down), columns = Slovan Ljubljana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aluminij
2.13
Triglav
2.10
Gorica
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.83
Tabor Sežana
1.80
Bistrica
1.70
Dravinja
1.50
Krka
1.27
Beltinci
1.10
Bilje
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.10
Dekani
1.07
Rudar
1.07
Ilirija
0.87
Tolmin
0.73
NŠ Drava
0.67
Triglav is 1.00 points better than Slovan Ljubljana in terms of average points per game (2.10 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Gorica
2.00
Bistrica
2.00
Aluminij
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.93
Tabor Sežana
1.90
Beltinci
1.33
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.17
Slovan Ljubljana
1.13
Dekani
1.07
Ilirija
0.93
Krka
0.93
Rudar
0.90
Tolmin
0.87
NŠ Drava
0.73
Triglav is 1.27 goals better than Slovan Ljubljana in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aluminij
0.93
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.03
Krka
1.07
Triglav
1.10
Gorica
1.13
Tabor Sežana
1.17
Dravinja
1.20
Bistrica
1.27
Slovan Ljubljana
1.30
Rudar
1.47
Bilje
1.50
Beltinci
1.60
Ilirija
1.63
Dekani
1.87
Tolmin
2.07
NŠ Drava
2.17
Triglav is 0.20 goals better than Slovan Ljubljana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D12L00D01L00D10W20WH·KRK18/10A·TOL26/10H·DEK03/11A·DRA10/11H·ALU16/11H·ILI26/11A·GOR01/03H·BEL09/03A·BRI16/03H·RUD22/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.870.470.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.621.000.750.380.50
vs Weaker (14)0.710.360.710.140.710.57
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L12L00D01L10W11D01L10W01LA·ILI19/10H·TAB27/10A·GOR02/11H·BIL09/11A·BEL17/11H·KRK23/11A·BRI28/02H·TOL09/03A·RUD16/03H·DEK22/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.650.300.500.500.80
vs Stronger (6)0.671.001.000.500.501.25
vs Similar (14)0.290.500.120.500.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L10W01L02L10W01L01L00D30WH·KRK18/10A·TOL26/10H·DEK03/11A·DRA10/11H·ALU16/11H·ILI26/11A·GOR01/03H·BEL09/03A·BRI16/03H·RUD22/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.600.870.670.930.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.620.810.501.000.750.62
vs Weaker (14)1.210.361.290.291.140.43
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L40W10W01L11D01L10W10W00DA·ILI19/10H·TAB27/10A·GOR02/11H·BIL09/11A·BEL17/11H·KRK23/11A·BRI28/02H·TOL09/03A·RUD16/03H·DEK22/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.650.500.800.600.50
vs Stronger (6)0.670.830.001.001.000.75
vs Similar (14)0.500.570.620.750.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
Triglav's squad is €1m more valuable than Slovan Ljubljana's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Triglav and Slovan Ljubljana have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Triglav and Slovan Ljubljana have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Triglav and Slovan Ljubljana have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
TRI wins
1
Draws
0
SL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Triglav vs Slovan Ljubljana · H/A from TRI
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/24ASlovan Ljubljana Vs TRI1-1

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/25HTRI Vs Rudar5-0
16/03/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs TRI0-1
09/03/25HTRI Vs Beltinci0-1
01/03/25AGorica Vs TRI2-0
26/11/24HTRI Vs Ilirija1-0
16/11/24HTRI Vs Aluminij1-4
10/11/24ADravinja Vs TRI1-0
03/11/24HTRI Vs Dekani1-0
26/10/24ATolmin Vs TRI1-0
18/10/24HTRI Vs Krka3-0

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/25HSL Vs Dekani0-1
16/03/25ARudar Vs SL0-2
09/03/25HSL Vs Tolmin1-1
28/02/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs SL2-1
23/11/24HSL Vs Krka2-1
17/11/24ABeltinci Vs SL2-0
09/11/24HSL Vs Bilje1-0
02/11/24AGorica Vs SL2-5
27/10/24HSL Vs Tabor Sežana0-2
19/10/24AIlirija Vs SL0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Triglav
Triglav
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.68
HomeWLWLW1.76
AwayWLLLW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals2.722.842.60
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %32%24%40%
Scored1.601.721.48
Conceded1.121.121.12
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL0.90
HomeLWWDL0.90
AwayDWLLW0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals2.252.102.40
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %30%30%30%
Over 3.5 %5%0%10%
Scored0.950.801.10
Conceded1.301.301.30
BTTS55%60%50%
Clean Sheet15%10%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AluminijAluminij3064
67%
2.1
5928+31
2.9
83%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.00.9
-
2TriglavTriglav3063
67%
2.1
7233+39
3.5
80%
60%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.1
-
3GoricaGorica3059
57%
2.0
6034+26
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
4Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3055
53%
1.8
5831+27
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3054
47%
1.8
5735+22
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.2
-
6BistricaBistrica3051
43%
1.7
6038+22
3.3
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.3
-
7DravinjaDravinja3045
43%
1.5
3736+1
2.4
63%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8KrkaKrka3038
33%
1.3
2832-4
2.0
63%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
9Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
80%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10BeltinciBeltinci3033
30%
1.1
4048-8
2.9
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.6
-
11BiljeBilje3033
27%
1.1
3545-10
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
12RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
2744-17
2.4
70%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.91.5
-
13DekaniDekani3032
30%
1.1
3256-24
2.9
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.9
-
14IlirijaIlirija3026
17%
0.9
2849-21
2.6
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.6
-
15TolminTolmin3022
20%
0.7
2662-36
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
16NŠ DravaNŠ Drava3020
17%
0.7
2265-43
2.9
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
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Slovenia: 2. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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