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Triglav vs Tabor Sežana Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2024
Time: 15:45
Final 3-2
Triglav
Triglav
Vs
44%
26%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Triglav win✓ Hit
44.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana win✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L12L22D23L31W20W22D11D31W20WA·PRI12/05H·DEK18/05A·ILI09/08H·GOR16/08A·BEL23/08H·BRI30/08A·RUD06/09A·SLO15/09H·BIS21/09A·NŠ 28/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.301.501.291.501.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.501.221.551.361.431.00
vs Weaker (12)1.501.421.331.001.561.56
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W00D13L41W21W52W00D30W22D11DA·FUŽ11/05H·PRI19/05A·DEK10/08H·DRA18/08A·ALU23/08H·ILI31/08H·GOR06/09H·BEL14/09A·BRI20/09H·RUD29/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.571.931.531.271.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.601.571.931.531.271.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.9%
No
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
Triglav goals ↓
Tabor Sežana goals →
01234
06.1%5.5%4.4%2.0%0.7%
17.2%12%7.4%3.3%1.1%
26.9%9.2%6.1%2.7%0.9%
33.8%5.1%3.4%1.5%0.5%
41.6%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Triglav goals (down), columns = Tabor Sežana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aluminij
2.13
Triglav
2.10
Gorica
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.83
Tabor Sežana
1.80
Bistrica
1.70
Dravinja
1.50
Krka
1.27
Beltinci
1.10
Bilje
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.10
Dekani
1.07
Rudar
1.07
Ilirija
0.87
Tolmin
0.73
NŠ Drava
0.67
Triglav is 0.30 points better than Tabor Sežana in terms of average points per game (2.10 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Gorica
2.00
Bistrica
2.00
Aluminij
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.93
Tabor Sežana
1.90
Beltinci
1.33
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.17
Slovan Ljubljana
1.13
Dekani
1.07
Ilirija
0.93
Krka
0.93
Rudar
0.90
Tolmin
0.87
NŠ Drava
0.73
Triglav is 0.50 goals better than Tabor Sežana in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 1.90).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aluminij
0.93
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.03
Krka
1.07
Triglav
1.10
Gorica
1.13
Tabor Sežana
1.17
Dravinja
1.20
Bistrica
1.27
Slovan Ljubljana
1.30
Rudar
1.47
Bilje
1.50
Beltinci
1.60
Ilirija
1.63
Dekani
1.87
Tolmin
2.07
NŠ Drava
2.17
Triglav is 0.07 goals better than Tabor Sežana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W01L21W11D10W12L01L21W00DA·PRI12/05H·DEK18/05A·ILI09/08H·GOR16/08A·BEL23/08H·BRI30/08A·RUD06/09A·SLO15/09H·BIS21/09A·NŠ 28/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.930.710.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.670.910.820.430.43
vs Weaker (12)0.670.831.000.330.561.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D12L01L10W40W00D10W20W11DA·FUŽ11/05H·PRI19/05A·DEK10/08H·DRA18/08A·ALU23/08H·ILI31/08H·GOR06/09H·BEL14/09A·BRI20/09H·RUD29/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.800.730.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.730.730.800.730.670.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L21W02L20W10W10W10W10W20WA·PRI12/05H·DEK18/05A·ILI09/08H·GOR16/08A·BEL23/08H·BRI30/08A·RUD06/09A·SLO15/09H·BIS21/09A·NŠ 28/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.570.571.000.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.560.640.551.000.57
vs Weaker (12)0.830.580.330.671.000.56
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D01L40W11D12L00D20W02L00DA·FUŽ11/05H·PRI19/05A·DEK10/08H·DRA18/08A·ALU23/08H·ILI31/08H·GOR06/09H·BEL14/09A·BRI20/09H·RUD29/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.831.130.800.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.870.831.130.800.600.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
Triglav and Tabor Sežana have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Triglav and Tabor Sežana have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Triglav and Tabor Sežana have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Triglav and Tabor Sežana have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
TRI wins
1
Draws
1
TS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Triglav vs Tabor Sežana · H/A from TRI
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23HTRI Vs Tabor Sežana1-2
29/07/23ATabor Sežana Vs TRI2-2

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24ANŠ Drava Vs TRI0-2
21/09/24HTRI Vs Bistrica3-1
15/09/24ASlovan Ljubljana Vs TRI1-1
06/09/24ARudar Vs TRI2-2
30/08/24HTRI Vs Brinje-Grosuplje2-0
23/08/24ABeltinci Vs TRI1-3
16/08/24HTRI Vs Gorica2-3
09/08/24AIlirija Vs TRI2-2
18/05/24HTRI Vs Dekani1-2
12/05/24APrimorje Vs TRI4-0

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24HTS Vs Rudar1-1
20/09/24ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs TS2-2
14/09/24HTS Vs Beltinci3-0
06/09/24HTS Vs Gorica0-0
31/08/24HTS Vs Ilirija5-2
23/08/24AAluminij Vs TS1-2
18/08/24HTS Vs Dravinja4-1
10/08/24ADekani Vs TS3-1
19/05/24HTS Vs Primorje0-0
11/05/24AFužinar Vs TS1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Triglav
Triglav
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.60
HomeLLLWW1.38
AwayDWDDW1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%42%50%
AVG goals2.802.712.88
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %32%21%42%
Scored1.521.381.65
Conceded1.281.331.23
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDD1.02
HomeWWDWD1.07
AwayLWLWD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%22%22%
AVG goals2.903.222.52
Over 1.5 %78%85%70%
Over 2.5 %52%59%43%
Over 3.5 %34%41%26%
Scored1.261.441.04
Conceded1.641.781.48
BTTS60%63%57%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners9.918.8311.20
Cards2.733.332.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AluminijAluminij3064
67%
2.1
5928+31
2.9
83%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.00.9
-
2TriglavTriglav3063
67%
2.1
7233+39
3.5
80%
60%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.1
-
3GoricaGorica3059
57%
2.0
6034+26
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
4Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3055
53%
1.8
5831+27
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3054
47%
1.8
5735+22
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.2
-
6BistricaBistrica3051
43%
1.7
6038+22
3.3
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.3
-
7DravinjaDravinja3045
43%
1.5
3736+1
2.4
63%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8KrkaKrka3038
33%
1.3
2832-4
2.0
63%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
9Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
80%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10BeltinciBeltinci3033
30%
1.1
4048-8
2.9
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.6
-
11BiljeBilje3033
27%
1.1
3545-10
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
12RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
2744-17
2.4
70%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.91.5
-
13DekaniDekani3032
30%
1.1
3256-24
2.9
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.9
-
14IlirijaIlirija3026
17%
0.9
2849-21
2.6
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.6
-
15TolminTolmin3022
20%
0.7
2662-36
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
16NŠ DravaNŠ Drava3020
17%
0.7
2265-43
2.9
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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