This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.20
1.75
1.25
2.64
1.14
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
2.14
1.43
1.43
1.71
2.86
1.14
vs Weaker (13)
2.23
1.23
2.14
1.14
2.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.2%
Under 1.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.6%
Under 3.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
TSV Hartberg goals ↓
Wolfsberger AC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
7.2%
7.9%
5.1%
2.4%
1
4.3%
11%
9.7%
6.2%
3.0%
2
3.2%
6.2%
6.0%
3.8%
1.8%
3
1.3%
2.5%
2.4%
1.6%
0.8%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TSV Hartberg goals (down), columns = Wolfsberger AC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
1.97
Austria Vienna
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.78
Wolfsberger AC
1.72
Lask Linz
1.71
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.33
FC BW Linz
1.19
WSG Wattens
0.94
Grazer AK
0.88
Austria Klagenfurt
0.84
SCR Altach
0.81
TSV Hartberg is 0.39 points worse than Wolfsberger AC in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sturm Graz
2.06
Wolfsberger AC
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.66
Lask Linz
1.60
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.21
FC BW Linz
1.16
WSG Wattens
1.09
Grazer AK
1.06
Austria Klagenfurt
1.03
SCR Altach
0.91
TSV Hartberg is 0.66 goals worse than Wolfsberger AC in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Austria Vienna
1.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.12
Lask Linz
1.14
Wolfsberger AC
1.19
Sturm Graz
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.27
Rapid Vienna
1.32
FC BW Linz
1.41
SCR Altach
1.44
WSG Wattens
1.56
Grazer AK
1.69
Austria Klagenfurt
2.19
TSV Hartberg is 0.09 goals worse than Wolfsberger AC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
62%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
57%
Austria Vienna
54%
Sturm Graz
52%
TSV Hartberg
50%
SCR Altach
47%
Wolfsberger AC
46%
WSG Wattens
45%
Austria Klagenfurt
45%
FC BW Linz
41%
Grazer AK
41%
TSV Hartberg is 4.3 percentage points better than Wolfsberger AC in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
TSV Hartberg
For 3.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolfsberger AC
For 5.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
TSV Hartberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.1
8.8
4.8
4.7
4.9
23.4
23.3
23.5
vs Stronger (21)
9.3
11.3
7.5
4.9
4.5
5.3
24.5
24.8
24.2
vs Similar (28)
9.5
9.1
9.9
4.9
4.8
4.9
22.4
22.0
22.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
41%
50%
33%
74%
68%
79%
65%
68%
62%
% under line
59%
50%
67%
26%
32%
21%
35%
32%
38%
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.3
10.7
4.7
4.6
4.8
23.5
24.1
23.0
vs Stronger (6)
10.7
10.7
10.7
5.2
5.3
5.0
21.8
21.0
22.7
vs Similar (23)
10.2
8.9
11.5
5.2
5.0
5.3
24.3
24.5
24.0
vs Weaker (21)
9.7
9.4
9.9
4.0
4.0
4.1
23.2
24.6
21.8
% over line
52%
43%
61%
76%
72%
80%
61%
57%
65%
% under line
48%
57%
39%
24%
28%
20%
39%
43%
35%
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
10.3
Rapid Vienna
10.1
Austria Vienna
9.9
TSV Hartberg
9.7
Lask Linz
9.6
WSG Wattens
9.6
Sturm Graz
9.5
Grazer AK
9.3
Red Bull Salzburg
9.3
Austria Klagenfurt
9.2
SCR Altach
9.2
FC BW Linz
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Austria Vienna
6.1
Grazer AK
5.7
SCR Altach
5.4
Wolfsberger AC
5.2
TSV Hartberg
5.1
Austria Klagenfurt
4.9
Rapid Vienna
4.8
Lask Linz
4.6
FC BW Linz
4.4
WSG Wattens
4.4
Sturm Graz
4.3
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
27.0
Austria Vienna
25.5
Grazer AK
25.2
Sturm Graz
24.0
Wolfsberger AC
23.6
Lask Linz
23.6
TSV Hartberg
23.4
WSG Wattens
23.3
FC BW Linz
23.2
Austria Klagenfurt
22.5
Rapid Vienna
22.3
Red Bull Salzburg
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.7%
Under 9.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.2%
Under 3.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.7%
Under 21.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
TSV Hartberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.54
0.77
0.76
0.24
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.00
0.40
1.40
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.17
0.62
0.38
0.60
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.56
0.56
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.64
0.14
0.71
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
0.62
0.86
0.57
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
TSV Hartberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
0.69
0.69
1.41
0.82
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.11
0.61
0.75
0.50
1.40
0.70
vs Weaker (1)
8.00
1.00
-
-
8.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.63
1.19
0.69
1.79
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
1.71
0.79
1.29
1.00
2.14
0.57
vs Weaker (13)
1.31
0.62
1.29
0.57
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
TSV Hartberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrik Mijić33%
Muharem Husković23%
Elias Havel18%
Maximilian Fillafer14%
Donis Avdijaj13%
Jed Drew13%
Dominik Prokop10%
Youba Diarra7%
Tobias Kainz6%
Fabian Wilfinger5%
Marco Hoffmann4%
Jurgen Heil3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Mateo Karamatić0%
Nelson Amadin0%
Justin Omoregie0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Paul Komposch0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Furkan Demir0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Furkan Demir40%
Raphael Hofer29%
Fabian Wilfinger29%
Justin Omoregie26%
Youba Diarra23%
Paul Komposch23%
Mateo Karamatić17%
Donis Avdijaj17%
Benjamin Markuš17%
Tobias Kainz16%
Jurgen Heil16%
Damjan Kovačević14%
Dominik Prokop14%
Manuel Pfeifer12%
Elias Havel12%
Raphael Sallinger9%
Marco Hoffmann9%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Patrik Mijić3%
Nelson Amadin0%
Muharem Husković0%
Jed Drew0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Justin Omoregie21%
Donis Avdijaj13%
Manuel Pfeifer12%
Furkan Demir12%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Youba Diarra7%
Benjamin Markuš7%
Patrik Mijić6%
Marco Hoffmann4%
Dominik Prokop3%
Paul Komposch3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Tobias Kainz0%
Jurgen Heil0%
Mateo Karamatić0%
Nelson Amadin0%
Elias Havel0%
Muharem Husković0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Jed Drew0%
Fabian Wilfinger0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrik Mijić21%
Donis Avdijaj20%
Dominik Prokop10%
Muharem Husković8%
Marco Hoffmann4%
Tobias Kainz3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Jurgen Heil0%
Mateo Karamatić0%
Youba Diarra0%
Nelson Amadin0%
Justin Omoregie0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Elias Havel0%
Paul Komposch0%
Maximilian Fillafer0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Jed Drew0%
Fabian Wilfinger0%
Furkan Demir0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
Wolfsberger AC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thierno Ballo32%
Erik Kojzek30%
David Atanga27%
Dejan Zukić26%
Alessandro Schöpf25%
Markus Pink14%
Emmanuel Agyemang8%
Chibuike Nwaiwu8%
Angelo Gattermayer7%
Thomas Sabitzer7%
Dominik Baumgartner7%
Maximilian Ullmann7%
Simon Piesinger7%
Sandro Altunashvili6%
Adis Jašić4%
Ervin Omić4%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
Nikolas Polster0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Boris Matic0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alessandro Schöpf38%
Sankara Karamoko33%
Dominik Baumgartner29%
Chibuike Nwaiwu24%
Thierno Ballo23%
Thomas Sabitzer21%
Adis Jašić21%
Ervin Omić21%
Simon Piesinger17%
Dejan Zukić16%
David Atanga13%
Angelo Gattermayer11%
Maximilian Ullmann10%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate9%
Nicolas Wimmer7%
Sandro Altunashvili6%
Erik Kojzek5%
Boris Matic5%
Nikolas Polster3%
Markus Pink0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dejan Zukić26%
Emmanuel Agyemang21%
Thierno Ballo19%
Boris Matic18%
Erik Kojzek15%
Adis Jašić12%
Angelo Gattermayer11%
Maximilian Ullmann10%
Ervin Omić8%
Simon Piesinger7%
David Atanga7%
Markus Pink5%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate5%
Chibuike Nwaiwu4%
Nicolas Wimmer4%
Alessandro Schöpf0%
Thomas Sabitzer0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Dominik Baumgartner0%
Nikolas Polster0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Angelo Gattermayer19%
Maximilian Ullmann13%
Thierno Ballo13%
Erik Kojzek10%
Dejan Zukić10%
Markus Pink9%
Ervin Omić8%
Adis Jašić4%
Emmanuel Agyemang4%
Dominik Baumgartner4%
Simon Piesinger3%
Alessandro Schöpf0%
Thomas Sabitzer0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
David Atanga0%
Nikolas Polster0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Chibuike Nwaiwu0%
Boris Matic0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
TSV Hartberg's squad is €2m less valuable than Wolfsberger AC's (€10m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
TSV Hartberg and Wolfsberger AC have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
TSV Hartberg and Wolfsberger AC have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
TSV Hartberg's defence is €1m less valuable than Wolfsberger AC's (€5m vs €6m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
Grazer AK
Austria Klagenfurt
SCR Altach