This opponent (Cork City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cork City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.83
1.27
1.13
0.87
2.53
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
2.22
1.00
1.75
1.20
2.60
vs Similar (21)
1.05
1.67
1.36
0.91
0.70
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.4%
Under 2.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-2 ✓
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
UCD goals ↓
Cork City goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
8.4%
6.5%
3.0%
1.0%
1
7.9%
14%
8.4%
3.8%
1.3%
2
5.9%
8.0%
5.4%
2.5%
0.8%
3
2.5%
3.4%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UCD goals (down), columns = Cork City goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
2.00
Derry City
1.81
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Shelbourne
1.67
Dundalk
1.61
Bohemians
1.61
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
1.03
Waterford
1.00
Cork City
0.86
UCD
0.31
UCD is 0.56 points worse than Cork City in terms of average points per game (0.31 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.86
Dundalk
1.64
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.58
Bohemians
1.47
Shelbourne
1.22
Drogheda United
1.11
Waterford
1.00
Sligo Rovers
1.00
Cork City
0.97
UCD
0.53
UCD is 0.45 goals worse than Cork City in terms of goals scored per game (0.53 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derry City
0.67
Shelbourne
0.75
Shamrock Rovers
0.75
Waterford
1.00
Bohemians
1.11
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Dundalk
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.50
Cork City
1.76
UCD
2.67
UCD is 0.91 goals worse than Cork City in terms of goals conceded per game (2.67 vs 1.76).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Bohemians
57%
Dundalk
56%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
Sligo Rovers
49%
St Patrick's Athl.
46%
Cork City
45%
Drogheda United
40%
UCD
38%
UCD is 6.3 percentage points worse than Cork City in terms of average possession (38% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
UCD
For 3.4 · Against 7.7 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 12.4 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cork City
For 3.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
UCD
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.5
11.7
1.0
0.8
1.2
20.2
19.2
21.2
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
10.0
-
1.0
2.0
0.0
20.0
20.0
-
vs Similar (42)
10.6
9.4
11.7
1.0
0.7
1.4
20.2
19.0
21.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
75%
67%
83%
14%
12%
16%
42%
50%
33%
% under line
25%
33%
17%
86%
88%
84%
58%
50%
67%
This opponent (Cork City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cork City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.6
9.4
1.1
0.9
1.3
24.9
25.6
24.4
vs Stronger (10)
10.2
9.0
10.7
2.0
2.0
2.0
23.8
25.0
23.3
vs Similar (32)
8.5
8.5
8.5
1.1
0.9
1.4
25.5
25.8
25.2
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
42%
20%
57%
16%
12%
20%
75%
80%
71%
% under line
58%
80%
43%
84%
88%
80%
25%
20%
29%
This opponent (UCD) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
12.0
UCD
10.6
Shamrock Rovers
10.3
Derry City
9.9
Drogheda United
9.5
St Patrick's Athl.
9.3
Cork City
9.1
Sligo Rovers
8.9
Shelbourne
7.9
Dundalk
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St Patrick's Athl.
6.9
Shelbourne
5.9
Sligo Rovers
5.5
Dundalk
5.5
Derry City
5.4
Shamrock Rovers
5.1
Bohemians
5.0
Cork City
4.7
UCD
4.2
Drogheda United
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sligo Rovers
28.8
Dundalk
27.4
Shelbourne
25.9
St Patrick's Athl.
25.1
Cork City
24.9
Bohemians
24.0
Derry City
23.8
Shamrock Rovers
23.1
Drogheda United
21.0
UCD
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.3%
Under 9.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.7%
Under 3.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.2%
Under 21.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
UCD
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
1.20
0.07
0.93
0.27
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (26)
0.19
1.15
0.08
1.00
0.31
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cork City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cork City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.67
0.40
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.78
0.50
0.50
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.57
0.73
0.36
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
UCD over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
UCD
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
1.40
0.40
1.07
0.13
1.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.31
1.46
0.46
1.08
0.15
1.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Cork City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cork City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.20
0.60
0.73
0.40
1.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.44
0.50
1.25
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (21)
0.48
1.10
0.64
0.55
0.30
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
UCD over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
UCD
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danu Kinsella Bishop21%
Michael Gallagher17%
Mikey Raggett10%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Sean Brennan0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Daniel Norris0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eanna Clancy57%
Adam Verdon43%
Harvey O'Brien29%
Jesse Dempsey25%
Jack Keaney23%
Sean Brennan23%
Adam Wells23%
Dara Keane18%
Kian Moore17%
Harry Curtis17%
Donal Higgins12%
Mikey Raggett10%
Brendan Barr9%
Danu Kinsella Bishop7%
Evan Osam0%
Michael Gallagher0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Daniel Norris0%
Daniel Babb0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Gallagher17%
Mikey Raggett10%
Ciaran Behan9%
Daniel Norris9%
Sean Brennan8%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Danu Kinsella Bishop0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danu Kinsella Bishop21%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Michael Gallagher0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Sean Brennan0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Daniel Norris0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Mikey Raggett0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Cork City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruairi Keating29%
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh 25%
Kevin Custovic9%
Barry Coffey9%
Cian Bargary7%
Oliver Byrne0%
Ben Worman0%
Jonas Hakkinen0%
Andriy Kravchuk0%
Ally Gilchrist0%
Cian Coleman0%
Cian Murphy0%
Gordon Walker0%
Jaze Kabia0%
Rokas Stanulevicius0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Joshua Honohan0%
Tunde Owolabi0%
Conor Drinan0%
James Corcoran0%
Tiernan Brooks0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Oran Crowe0%
John O'Donovan0%
Joshua Fitzpatrick0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ruairi Keating36%
Aaron Bolger36%
John O'Donovan33%
Conor Drinan25%
Jaze Kabia22%
Cian Coleman21%
Joshua Honohan21%
Rokas Stanulevicius20%
Jonas Hakkinen17%
Malik Dijksteel12%
Oliver Byrne10%
Kevin Custovic9%
Tunde Owolabi8%
Cian Bargary7%
Ben Worman0%
Andriy Kravchuk0%
Ally Gilchrist0%
Cian Murphy0%
Gordon Walker0%
Barry Coffey0%
James Corcoran0%
Tiernan Brooks0%
Oran Crowe0%
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh 0%
Joshua Fitzpatrick0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ben Worman18%
John O'Donovan11%
Aaron Bolger7%
Cian Bargary7%
Oliver Byrne0%
Jonas Hakkinen0%
Andriy Kravchuk0%
Ally Gilchrist0%
Cian Coleman0%
Cian Murphy0%
Gordon Walker0%
Jaze Kabia0%
Rokas Stanulevicius0%
Ruairi Keating0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Joshua Honohan0%
Barry Coffey0%
Tunde Owolabi0%
Conor Drinan0%
James Corcoran0%
Tiernan Brooks0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Oran Crowe0%
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh 0%
Joshua Fitzpatrick0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ruairi Keating43%
Barry Coffey18%
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh 12%
Ben Worman9%
Cian Bargary7%
Oliver Byrne0%
Jonas Hakkinen0%
Andriy Kravchuk0%
Ally Gilchrist0%
Cian Coleman0%
Cian Murphy0%
Gordon Walker0%
Jaze Kabia0%
Rokas Stanulevicius0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Joshua Honohan0%
Tunde Owolabi0%
Conor Drinan0%
James Corcoran0%
Tiernan Brooks0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Oran Crowe0%
John O'Donovan0%
Joshua Fitzpatrick0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ireland: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Waterford