Universitatea Cluj are the clear favourite to win, with a 58% chance of taking the match home, compared to 26% for a draw and 15% for Petrolul Ploiesti. The model expects 2.4 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Cluj, carrying a 14.2% probability. Cluj’s home form shows they average 2.07 goals scored and only 0.53 conceded against similar opposition, while Petrolul, on the road, averages 1.17 scored and 1.08 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.4% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.7% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (96.6% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (96.3% with a 6% edge), and Home +2 handicap (95.5% with a 5% edge).
Results analysis
The upset came early as Universitatea Cluj, the pre-match favourite with a 58% chance of victory, fell to a 2-3 defeat. The model’s call was wrong, but the match lived up to its own predictions: the game finished with 5 goals, far above the expected 2.4 and the most likely scoreline of 2-0. The home side’s recent form, after two straight defeats, was a warning sign, while Petrolul Ploiesti, coming off a win, capitalised. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.4%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.6%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.6%, Away under 2.5 goals missed at 96.3%, and Home +2 handicap hit at 95.5%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Universitatea Cluj win✗ Miss
58.4%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.66
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.71
SBO
1.71
William Hil
1.70
Betano
1.70
Dafabet
1.68
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.70
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.94
Betfair
3.90
1xBet
3.88
Superbet
3.85
Unibet
3.85
Petrolul Ploiesti win✓ Hit
15.1%
Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.81
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.50
Unibet
5.10
Superbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Dafabet
4.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Universitatea Cluj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.90
2.00
0.50
1.21
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.66
0.93
2.07
0.53
1.21
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul Ploiesti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.47
0.79
1.50
1.00
1.44
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
2.86
0.00
3.33
0.75
2.50
vs Similar (23)
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.00
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.7%
@ 1.24-5.7%
Under 1.5
30.3%
@ 3.79+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
4.10
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Betano
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.4%
@ 1.80-10.1%
Under 2.5
57.6%
@ 1.98+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
SBO
1.84
Betano
1.82
Unibet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.05
Betfair
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.6%
@ 2.98-9.7%
Under 3.5
78.4%
@ 1.36+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.19
Unibet
3.05
Betano
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Under
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.35
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.8%
@ 1.76-9.9%
No
57.2%
@ 1.96+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
No
Superbet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%@ 6.75+7.6%
2-0
12.7%@ 7.66+6.8%
1-1
12.2%@ 6.70+5.6%
0-0
10.4%@ 10.79+6.3%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.47+3.2%
3-0
7.0%@ 12.37+3.4%
0-1
5.6%@ 12.33+2.0%
3-1
5.0%@ 12.20+1.4%
Universitatea Cluj goals ↓
Petrolul Ploiesti goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
5.6%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
1
14%
12%
4.0%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.2%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
3
7.0%
5.0%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.9%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Universitatea Cluj goals (down), columns = Petrolul Ploiesti goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Universitatea Cluj is 0.21 points worse than Petrolul Ploiesti in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Universitatea Cluj is 0.50 goals better than Petrolul Ploiesti in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Universitatea Cluj is 0.07 goals worse than Petrolul Ploiesti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Universitatea Cluj is 14.2 percentage points better than Petrolul Ploiesti in terms of average possession (57% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Universitatea Cluj
For 4.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Petrolul Ploiesti
For 4.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Universitatea Cluj
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.4
10.3
3.3
2.6
4.1
21.3
20.9
21.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.9
9.3
10.6
3.4
2.6
4.3
21.3
21.0
21.6
vs Weaker (3)
8.7
10.0
6.0
1.3
2.0
0.0
20.7
20.0
22.0
% over line
47%
45%
48%
44%
35%
54%
47%
45%
48%
% under line
53%
55%
52%
56%
65%
46%
53%
55%
52%
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul Ploiesti
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.3
4.1
4.3
4.0
25.8
26.3
25.4
vs Stronger (12)
8.3
6.2
10.0
3.6
3.3
3.8
26.2
28.4
24.3
vs Similar (38)
9.8
10.5
9.1
4.3
4.6
4.0
25.7
25.7
25.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
45%
52%
60%
70%
52%
78%
77%
78%
% under line
51%
55%
48%
40%
30%
48%
22%
23%
22%
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.4
Rapid
10.1
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.7
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.8
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
FC Voluntari
8.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.1
FC Botosani
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Uta Arad
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Rapid
4.5
Oţelul
4.3
Farul Constanta
4.3
Universitatea Cluj
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.3
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.7
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.4
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.4
Corvinul Hunedoara
25.0
Csikszereda
24.9
FCSB
24.8
Uta Arad
24.2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.7
Rapid
23.7
FC Voluntari
23.5
Farul Constanta
23.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.6
Universitatea Cluj
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.2%
@ 1.98+0.1%
Under 9.5
52.8%
@ 1.75-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.15
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Unibet
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.7%
@ 1.39+2.6%
Under 3.5
31.3%
@ 2.70-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
Under
Superbet
2.70
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
64.4%
Under 21.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Universitatea Cluj or Draw✗ Miss
84.9%
Avg Implied 80.7% · @ 1.15
Edge
+4.2%
58%
26%
15%
covers Universitatea Cluj + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Universitatea Cluj or Petrolul Ploiesti✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.23
Edge
-2.0%
58%
26%
15%
covers Universitatea Cluj + Petrolul Ploiesti
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Draw or Petrolul Ploiesti✓ Hit
41.6%
Avg Implied 43.8% · @ 2.13
Edge
-2.2%
58%
26%
15%
covers Draw + Petrolul Ploiesti
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.14
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.8%
@ 1.14-1.0%
Under
19.2%
@ 5.12+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Under
Superbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.40
BetVictor
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.1%
@ 1.73-5.0%
Under
50.9%
@ 2.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.74
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
BetVictor
2.05
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.9%
@ 3.29-5.3%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.30+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.42
Superbet
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Under
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Universitatea Cluj over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 7.40-4.1%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.08+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.20
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.02
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
51.6%
@ 1.53-9.4%
Under
48.4%
@ 2.38+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Under
Superbet
2.52
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.47
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.40
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
16.5%
@ 3.61-9.3%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.25+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.85
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Under
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
3.7%
@ 9.92-5.7%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.04+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
9.90
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.50
Betfair
9.50
Under
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 26.17-3.1%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
32.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Universitatea Cluj, so a minus line means Universitatea Cluj give that many goals of a start and Petrolul Ploiesti receive them. At -1, Universitatea Cluj must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Universitatea Cluj win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +2 (Universitatea Cluj)Actual: Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj +2
95.5%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Draw +2
3.6%
@ 15.00-2.7%
Petrolul Ploiesti -2
0.9%
@ 31.00-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Universitatea Cluj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
1.00
0.12
0.36
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.69
0.48
1.00
0.13
0.36
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul Ploiesti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.60
0.36
0.71
0.31
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
1.14
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.43
0.45
0.55
0.42
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.34+2.0%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 3.06-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.29
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.15
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.1%
@ 2.61-0.5%
Under 1.5
64.9%
@ 1.44+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.72
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
Marathonbet
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
11.8%
@ 6.24-3.0%
Under 2.5
88.2%
@ 1.09+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.20
Betano
6.10
Marathonbet
6.05
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.8%
@ 1.67+0.3%
Under
44.2%
@ 2.09-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.22
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Unibet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 4.35-3.5%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.18+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.45
Betano
4.35
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Under
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 11.58-3.2%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
31.1%
@ 2.65-3.9%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.43+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.78
Unibet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Superbet
2.60
Under
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
5.8%
@ 9.64-3.9%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
9.80
Superbet
9.40
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 40.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Universitatea Cluj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.43
1.00
0.38
0.86
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.97
0.45
1.07
0.40
0.86
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul Ploiesti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.43
0.79
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.71
0.00
2.00
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.61
0.55
0.45
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.21+0.5%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 4.01-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Under
Betano
4.20
Superbet
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
William Hil
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.4%
@ 2.02-1.7%
Under 1.5
55.6%
@ 1.73+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Unibet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Under
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
William Hil
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.5%
@ 4.13-2.1%
Under 2.5
79.5%
@ 1.20+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.25
William Hil
4.20
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.9%
@ 1.47+0.8%
Under
36.1%
@ 2.52-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
28.0%
@ 3.19-1.1%
Under
72.0%
@ 1.30+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.50
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.25
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 8.10-3.9%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.05+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.20
1xBet
8.10
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
38.4%
@ 2.17-4.3%
Under
61.6%
@ 1.62+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 7.08-5.2%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.07+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
10Bet
7.50
1xBet
7.30
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 20.67-3.3%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.3%
1.04
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+5.7%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
95.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.4%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.02
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.7%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.11
+7.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.07
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
84.9%
1.15
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
84.9%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+8.2%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
1.14
Superbet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
83.5%
1.25
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
+9.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.2%
1.18
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.20
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.4%
1.36
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.35
+9.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.1%
1.30
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
1.25
Unibet
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.5%
1.23
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.0%
1.30
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.25
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.34
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
+2.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Universitatea Cluj
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alibek Aliev50%
Mouhamadou Drammeh40%
Jovo Lukić33%
Oucasse Mendy25%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Dan Nistor0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Adams Friday0%
Alin Chinteș0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dorin Codrea40%
Pedro Pinho40%
Marius Ștefănescu33%
Alin Chinteș33%
Alexandru Chipciu20%
Dino Mikanović20%
Mouhamadou Drammeh20%
Iulian Cristea17%
Ovidiu Bic17%
Dan Nistor17%
Alibek Aliev17%
Issouf Macalou17%
Jovo Lukić0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Oucasse Mendy0%
Adams Friday0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Nistor33%
Alibek Aliev33%
Jovo Lukić33%
Adams Friday20%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Mouhamadou Drammeh0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Oucasse Mendy0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Alin Chinteș0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jovo Lukić33%
Oucasse Mendy25%
Mouhamadou Drammeh20%
Dan Nistor17%
Alibek Aliev17%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Adams Friday0%
Alin Chinteș0%
Petrolul Ploiesti
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alejandro Bran40%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Breston Malula25%
Robert Jerdea20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Papp50%
Adam Zaian40%
Rodrigo Martins33%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Mario Ioniță33%
Mark Țuțu33%
Breston Malula25%
Alejandro Bran20%
Robert Jerdea20%
Lukáš Zima17%
Andres Dumitrescu17%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Lucho Vega0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rodrigo Martins17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Alejandro Bran0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paul Papp33%
Alejandro Bran20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Dan N'Lundulu17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Universitatea Cluj's squad is €11m more valuable than Petrolul Ploiesti's (€17m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Universitatea Cluj's attack is €5m more valuable than Petrolul Ploiesti's (€7m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Universitatea Cluj's midfield is €3m more valuable than Petrolul Ploiesti's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Universitatea Cluj's defence is €3m more valuable than Petrolul Ploiesti's (€5m vs €3m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Universitatea Craiova
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda